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Miami Dolphins

Adam Gase Proving You Are NOT What Your Record Says You Are

Travis Wingfield

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Trust the process, they say.

Three little words serve as the rally cry for so many athletes. The daily grind. The behind the scenes discipline and determination. The countless hours that lead up to the three-hour window better known as game day.

Bill Parcells is a football legend, but the game has a tendency to pass legends (and even their prominent quips) by. “You are what your record says you are,” Parcells famously claimed in lieu of explaining reasons for an underachieving team.

In a world where analytics reign supreme, where we have more information and data available than ever before, this old adage is about as accurate as a Brock Osweiler throw from outside the pocket.

Not only is the accuracy of the statement questionable, it flies directly in the face of the present-day message every coach and athlete preaches.

Predicting outcomes in the NFL is difficult. With countless factors, one of which being sheer luck, pointing to one number denigrates the grind from Monday thru Saturday. The result isn’t always a culmination of the week’s hard work. The result often comes down to the right foot of the worst athlete on the roster (the kicker).

In the Twitter era, we live in a daily hot take machine powered by thoughts void of any context. Individual statistics to define a player’s game, using Super Bowl rings to measure a player’s greatness, and using win-loss record to judge a Head Coach’s impact.

In the case of Adam Gase, his shaky win-loss mark wobbles even more under closer examination.

Sitting a game below .500 on the season, and for his career, Gase’s 21-22 mark is the exact same record posted by his predecessor, Joe Philbin, through 41 games. The optimist points to the radical nature of his team’s health, particularly at the quarterback position.

That’s a fair argument, Gase has been saddled with arguably the worst medical situation of any coach the last two seasons.

But at what point does the shine wear off of the mediocre record he managed in spite of his personnel? A few more losses? What about 10 alternate outcomes?

This Dolphins team, under Gase, has a way of finding wins in tight contests while getting blown out in losses.

With a point differential of +153 (7.7 per win) in victories, and -342 (16.3 per loss) in defeats, the questions about strength of opponent are entirely valid. Miami has won three games by multiple scores (9+ points) under Gase and lost 16 games by 9 or more points.

Those numbers are eye-opening, but the offense’s production during his time is alarming. Under Gase’s watch, one that has taken zero defensive input from the head man (trusting half the team to Vance Joseph and Matt Burke respectively), the saving grace should be a formidable attack unit.

During Gase’s three-year tenure, the Dolphins offense has never ranked better than 17th in the league. In 2016 Miami was 17th in both scoring and total offense. In 2017 Gase’s group was 25th in total offense and 28th in scoring. This year, through 11 games, the offense is 25th in scoring and 28th in total production.

Mandatory Credit: Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

So those figures beg the question, “what exactly is it that you do here, Coach Gase?”

Winning close games. Finding ways to beat the opposition in the fourth quarter is a valuable trait, and one that Gase could hang his hat on through the first two-and-a-half years of his Miami tenure.

But how much of that trait is directly attributable to Adam Gase? No team in the NFL has had more missed field goals against them than Gase’s Dolphins since 2016. Over the last two seasons (27 games), Dolphins kickers have missed just three kicks (not counting PATs).

That’s luck; nothing else. And barely 24 hours removed from a game where Miami essentially handed the Indianapolis Colts a win, Dolphins fans would agree that teams are completely capable of losing games opposed to the challenger seizing victory by their own actions.

Below are 12 of the 20 games the Dolphins won during Gase’s time in Miami. It’s unfair to reverse the outcome of each of these 12, but it’s rather disparaging to see just how close the Dolphins are to publishing an 8-33 record over those 41 games.

Up first, the games that Miami definitively deserved to lose (tie):

2016 vs. Cleveland –

Adam Gase’s first win as Head Coach of the Miami Dolphins provided minimal joy for fans. A narrow overtime defeat, at home, against a team that would win just one game the next two seasons, Miami could’ve easily been win number two for the 2016-2017 Browns.

In fact, it SHOULD have been a win for Cleveland. Browns Kicker Cody Parkey missed a pair of kicks, including a 46-yarder at the buzzer (NFL kickers make kicks in this range at better than 85%). His first miss came from 42 yards out.

2017 – at Chargers –

More kicker problems for the opposition. Rookie Kicker Younghoe Koo (no longer in the league) missed a pair of kicks, including a potential game winner from 44 yards out. Koo missed from 43 earlier in the game – both kicks come from a range in which NFL kickers have a ~90% success rate.

2016 at Buffalo –

Rex Ryan, needing a win to stay alive in the AFC playoff chase, elected to punt on a 4th and 2 with 4:02 remaining in overtime from his own 40-yard-line. A tie would’ve removed Miami from the post-season chase, just as it did for Buffalo.

On the next play, Jay Ajayi ripped off a 57-yard run against a Bills defense that had only 10 men on the field.

Perhaps the most unlikely play came at the end of regulation. Andrew Franks, who’s previous career long was 41 yards, hit a game-tying 55-yard kick in the frigid Buffalo conditions.

2018 vs. Chicago –

Albert Wilson caught two passes, racked up 104 yards after the catch, and scored on both plays, against a gassed Bears defense. Miami was moments away from going behind 28-14 before a questionable offensive pass interference took a touchdown off the board. Mitch Trubisky threw an INT into the end zone on the next play.

2017 vs. Tennessee –

This one flies in the face of the backup quarterback argument, but scoring 16 points at home rarely yields a victory. Luckily, for Miami, this was the one game of the season that Marcus Mariota missed.

Matt Cassel stunk up the field all day, including a questionable fumble ruling that Reshad Jones returned for a touchdown. That play came two snaps after a terrible offensive pass interference call took a 59-yard touchdown off the board for Cassel and the Titans.

Games Miami Probably Should’ve Lost:

2016 at San Diego –

Phillip Rivers is prone to late-game mistakes, no question about that. But the Chargers had a 1st and 10 at the Miami 42-yard line with 1:13 to go in a tie game. Rivers takes the bait and puts the ball between the 4 and the 7 on Kiko Alonso’s jersey.

A big-time play by Alonso, no doubt. At worst, San Diego should’ve at least survived to see over time. The 2016 playoff run was propped up by multiple plays just like this.

2017 at Atlanta –

Matt Ryan was fresh off an MVP season, he shredded the Dolphins to the tune of nearly 200 passing yards in the first half, then bogged down in the second half. The Miami defense deserves credit for putting the screws to the Atlanta offense, but the Falcons were poised to take the lead late before an all-pro play by Reshad Jones.

On 1st and 10 from the Miami 26, trailing by 3, Ryan forced a throw to Austin Hooper. The ball appeared to be completed at the Dolphins 6, but Jones robbed Hooper and won the game for Gase and Miami.

2018 vs. Oakland –

The lowly Raiders outgained Miami 434-373 and converted third downs at a success rate double that of Miami’s output. With a red zone turnover already in their pocket, the Raiders doubled down with an awful throw from Derek Carr on what should’ve been a game-winning touchdown drive.

Carr threw a prayer into the end zone on first down at the 13-yard line. Miami’s defense was gashed all game and saved by the heroics of Xavien Howard and the shortcomings of Carr.

Coin Flip Games:

2016 vs. NY Jets –

Ryan Fitzpatrick tossed his third touchdown of the game to give the Jets a three-point lead with five minutes to play. Kenyan Drake responded with a 101-yard kickoff return to put Miami immediately back in front.

Who knows how the game would’ve turned out, but the special teams’ heroics made it so Gase’s offense didn’t have to face that challenge. With 274 total yards on the day, it’s fair to assume the Dolphins wouldn’t have made the clutch drive.

2016 vs. San Francisco –

Nearly blowing a 17-point fourth quarter lead to a woeful 1-9 49ers team, Ndamukong Suh and Kiko Alonso saved the day by thwarting Colin Kaepernick’s fourth down scamper at the one-yard line. Surely, San Francisco would’ve attempted a 2-point conversion with no time on the clock to decide the winner.

Miami might’ve made the stop, but considering Kaepernick went for a season-high 296 passing yards and season-high 113 rushing yards, who knows?

2017 vs. NY Jets –

Jay Cutler started the game and put the Dolphins in a 14-point hole. Matt Moore comes off the bench and rescues the day for Miami with 17 unanswered in the fourth quarter. Josh McCown aided the comeback by throwing an interception directly to Bobby McCain with 47 seconds to play at the Jets 23-yard line.

2018 – at NY Jets –

Sam Darnold’s three interceptions, including one in the end zone, puts this game in the category of games the opposition lost.

Miami won by eight points as the Jets allowed time to expire on their final drive of the first half in a goal-to-go situation. New York outgained Miami 362 to 257.

Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

The Dolphins have the second most interceptions in the NFL. They are top-five in red zone touchdowns allowed percentage and red zone takeaways. These stats are great, but they aren’t long term indicators for success.

Miami’s relative prosperity over the past three seasons have been propped up by one of the game’s greatest determinations of success – pure luck.

An in-season change isn’t coming. A change at the end of the season (if Stephen Ross’ history is any indicator) is unlikely.

Gase has seen his redeeming qualities wither away as time has gone on now in year-three. His leash ought to be shrinking with each questionable decision. Poor management has robbed the Dolphins of two crucial road victories this season (Cincinnati and Indianapolis).

Questionable decision led to the disconcerting numbers displayed in this column. All signs point to Ross enacting the same action he deployed in 2011 and 2014 – hanging onto a coaching staff that has perpetuated the very mediocrity that has Dolphins fans clamoring for more.

Hopefully, for ‘Phins fans nationwide, Ross considers the context – not just the win-loss record.

@WingfieldNFL

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2 Comments

2 Comments

  1. Donv

    November 26, 2018 at 10:40 pm

    This is cherry picking to support your position. It is meaningless as an evaluation tool…like most media and twitter posts…who cares!

    The reason we have had mediocrity since Shula,is because this team has reacted to fans and media comments,starting over every few years.When they should have focused on building continuity and long term success. Patriots, steelers, panthers, seahawks, saints are examples of what that can bring. The fans and media will always bitch, let them but do what is best for the organization regardless. Gase is the best coach we have had since Shula.

  2. Mike

    November 28, 2018 at 2:56 am

    Travis, this team is clearly rebuilding. Ask yourself this, how many teams do you honestly believe we are more talented then? It’s a short list. Patience is important here. We were pressed up against the cap. A purge was necessary. We can argue about the growing pains of a first-time head coach, and whether he should be calling plays, but those things will work themselves out in time. As will the talent level of the roster. The 2016 draft showed well Sunday. That is what you should be writing about.

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Miami Dolphins

Dolphins vs Vikings Reaction

Jason Hrina

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Image Credit: Brad Rempel-USA TODAY Sports

Kevin Stefanski coached his first game as the Minnesota Vikings offensive coordinator and he may have orchestrated the last game of Matt Burke‘s tenure as the Miami Dolphins defensive coordinator.

Maybe the miracle wiped the emotion out of everyone.

I’d say an illegal touching penalty on Brice Butler on the team’s 2nd possession was an omen that this game wasn’t going to go well. It may have been Matt Haack‘s punt from the Viking’s 45 yard line that ended up bouncing into the end zone that made for a perfect metaphor. Nope, it was most-definitely the 4th-down stop the Minnesota Vikings made when Ja’Wuan James virtually tackles Ryan Tannehill for a comical sack that summarizes this team’s performance today – and quite possibly, their 2018 season as a whole.

After sucking us back into the season in dramatic fashion last week against the New England Patriots, the Dolphins reminded us why they’re far from a playoff team with a lackluster performance on the road against the Minnesota Vikings.

We knew going into Minnesota would be tough, but we didn’t expect it to be embarrassing; though maybe we should have. The Dolphins are now 1-6 in road games this season – a consistent stain on Adam Gase‘s resume.

The good news? This was the only game Miami could afford to lose the rest of the season and still have a realistic chance at the playoffs. The bad news? Everyone else in the playoff picture (Tennessee Titans, Indianapolis Colts and Baltimore Ravens) won.

Miami is going to need a lot of help if they want to make the playoffs, but it starts with consecutive victories against the Jacksonville Jaguars and Buffalo Bills.

Below are a few things we noticed from Miami’s 41 – 17 loss to the Vikings:

1) Drain the Defense

This actually might start with the front office. Look at how Miami spent its cap space this season:

(team rank / player / cap hit)
1) Robert Quinn – $11.44m
2) Andre Branch – $10m
4) Kiko Alonso – $9.66m
5) Cameron Wake – $9.62m
9) Reshad Jones – $4.96m

The Dolphins gave up a 4th-round draft pick for their costliest player. They prematurely extended their second-most expensive player after he recorded 5.5 sacks and the team was desperate for defensive ends (they selected Charles Harris in the first round that following draft). Miami did the same with Kiko Alonso that same offseason (though it’s hard to complain about him after watching the rest of this defense). And the bottom two players on the above list are legends on a franchise that doesn’t make the playoffs.

This team was hit with a bunch of injuries, but we need to stop leaning on that excuse. There are no longer excuses as for why the Minnesota Vikings accumulated 101 rushing yards…in the first quarter. The team’s depth has been terribly exposed, and Matt Burke has not been able to adjust to the team’s most-glaring weakness.

Dalvin Cook came into this game averaging 45.9 yards per game and Latavius Murray came into this game averaging 36.2 yards per game. Cook finished with 136 yards and 2 touchdowns while Murray rushed for 68 yards and a touchdown of his own.

Although Robert Quinn added another (shoestring) sack to his total, he was noticeably getting wiped out of the play on the first two rushing touchdowns by the Vikings. Bobby McCain may have been watching too many replays of Rob Gronkowski last week during the Miami Miracle, because his angle on Cook’s first touchdown run was atrocious.

McCain wasn’t to be outdone, however, as Latavius Murray’s touchdown run in the first quarter came with a nice little stiff arm to Bobby McCain’s helmet – leading to a physical lapse by the cornerback compared to the mental lapse on the previous touchdown run.

We can excuse the few shortcomings Minkah Fitzpatrick has each week. Not only is he a rookie, but he’s being tasked with understanding every position in the secondary. McCain was at his natural inside corner position on those touchdown runs and was a detriment rather than the luxury that earned a contract extension this past offseason. In fairness to McCain, he did have a better second half, but after the Vikings had scored 21 points in the first quarter, it’s hard to compliment a player that put the team in such a tight bind.

Each time Fitzpatrick allows a reception I look at the play negatively. And yet, these are receptions that are going for maybe 8-13 yards at a time, not the 40-yard bombs that blow up an entire game plan.

The Derwin James vs Minkah Fitzpatrick debate is going to follow them their entire careers, but the biggest reason people have for selecting James over Fitzpatrick (as the better draft pick) is because the Los Angeles Chargers safety ‘makes big plays’. Fitzpatrick showed he can be equally as impressive when he read a Kirk Cousin‘s screen pass beautifully and took it to the house for a touchdown.

Maybe Minnesota understood how to expose Miami’s defense better than Bill Belichick, but it was evident the Dolphins missed Xavien Howard. Kirk Cousins completed just 2/3 of his passes, and only threw for 215 yards, but he didn’t really need much help from Adam Thielen or Stephon Diggs (even though they had plenty of open space to work with). Cousins completed 2 passes apiece to Tyler Conklin and Aldrick Robinson, but those 4 completions averaged 24.25 yards per play.

Outside of Fitzpatrick’s pick-6, this defense didn’t have too many bright spots. T.J. McDonald was exposed in coverage and Torry McTyer was beat on a long touchdown to Robinson. This defense has valuable core pieces, but it also needs an overhaul.

And it’s going to start with the defensive coordinator.

2) A Fireable Offense

Which stat would you like to pull out of this game that exemplifies Miami’s mediocrity?

  • 37 total passing yards (that’s not a misprint)
  • 11 passes completed
  • 193 total yards on offense
  • 2/12 3rd-down efficiency
  • 9 sacks allowed

That’s 2 more completed passes than sacks for those counting at home.

This doesn’t take into account two pass plays that Ryan Tannehill forced and Miami’s wide receivers needed to bat down. This doesn’t point out the fact that they gained some of these yards in garbage time.

One week after everyone was ready to anoint Tannehill the 2019 opening day starter, fans are back to clamoring for the top quarterback prospect in the draft – whoever it may be. They just need fresh blood.

Erase the 75-yard touchdown run Kalen Ballage had and this offense mustered 118 yards the entire game. That would have been 29.5 yards per quarter! A lot of the problems have to do with the offensive line, but we also have to recognize that a lot of offensive issues today stemmed from the Dolphins receivers.

The normally sure-handed Danny Amendola dropped two passes and also juggled a punt return late in the game. DeVante Parker was nonexistent (1 target). Kenny Stills caught one reception in garbage time. Brice Butler’s biggest play was negated because he stepped out of bounds and received an illegal touching penalty. Mike Gesicki caught a couple of passes, but makes no impact whatsoever on offense.

The team’s shiftiest running back (Kenyan Drake) is nursing an injury and was sparingly used while the team’s most reliable running back (Frank Gore) left the game in the first quarter with a foot sprain. A lot can be said for the poor quarterback performance today, but we also need to point out the collective failure of an offensive unit.

Similar to the defense, the issue might start with the front office. This is how the rest of the top-10 most expensive players rounds out for Miami:

(team rank / player / cap hit)
3) Kenny Stills – $9.75m
6) Ja’Wuan James – $9.34m
7) Ryan Tannehill – $8.68m
8) Danny Amendola – $6m
10) DeVante Parker – $3.46m

That’s a lot of average to non-existent production from Miami’s top-10 cap hits this season.

While quarterback will be the most-discussed topic this offseason, look for the Dolphins to overhaul their tight ends (once again) and their wide receivers, as it’s possible none of Miami’s receivers in 2019 were active for this game. There’s a good chance the only returning wide receivers from this year’s roster are Albert Wilson and Jakeem Grant, both of whom have serious injuries that they might not be able to come back from.

It’ll be interesting to see what happens with Gore. Miami desperately needs to win these next two games, and if Gore is unable to perform near 100%, he may be the latest casualty to land on injured-reserve.

With Brandon Bolden and Kalen Ballage having good games for Miami, it’s possible they run with their current trio (with Senorise Perry as insurance) rather than risk an unhealthy Frank Gore.

If this happens to be the case, and Gore does indeed land on IR, it’ll be a disappointing way to see the running back’s season end. Gore had accumulated 722 rushing yards on the season (including this game against Minnesota) and was Miami’s most-durable and reliable option at running back all year. Though it may be hard to find space for him, signing Frank Gore near the veteran’s minimum would be a priority of mine next offseason.

The Dolphins look to play with our hearts again next week as they host the disappointing Jaguars in Miami.

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Miami Dolphins

Charting Ryan Tannehill 2018 – Week 13 vs Buffalo

Travis Wingfield

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Go to Week 1 vs. Tennessee
Go to Week 2 at NY Jets
Go to Week 3 vs. Oakland
Go to week 4 at New England
Go to week 5 at Cincinnati
Go to week 12 at Indianapolis

Week 13 vs. Buffalo –

In his second game back from a shoulder injury that was rumored to end his season, Ryan Tannehill stayed in familiar territory. A few big-time throws, a few more mistakes, and yet another divisive performance.

The fastball deteriorated as the game grew older, he struggled with some touch passes, and missed a few reads, but two touchdowns where he displayed cajones grande was enough to push the Dolphins back into the winner’s circle.

Without Danny Amendola, the personnel packages didn’t fluctuate from the week prior in Indianapolis. Adam Gase deployed primarily 11-personnel and a lot of shotgun. Tannehill was in the gun on 22 of his 28 drop backs.

 

11-personnel 24 snaps
12-personnel 2 snaps
13-personnel 1 snap
21-personnel 1 snap

 

Moving the chains was a struggle regardless of the down-and-distance. Miami moved the sticks on 10 of the 28 plays called for Tannehill, and he was just 2/8 on third downs.

Yards-after-the-catch were missing from the Miami offense. Only 25.5% of Tannehill’s mere 137-passing yards came after the reception. Despite the lingering shoulder issue, Tannehill still averaged 9.38 air-yards-per-throw.

 

Portion of the Field Accurate Pass/Number of Passes
20+ yards 0/4 (0%)
11-19 yards 3/3 (100%)
0-10 yards (or behind LOS) 13/17 (77%)

 

Tannehill was sharp in the red zone completing 5/6 passes – three for touchdowns and two moving the chains on third down.

Two of the touchdowns were threaded into tight windows – Tannehill was on-point in that area as well. He completed 5/10 passes for 63 yards with the two touchdowns and one interception.

It wasn’t a clean game for Tanenhill – far from it. He was charged with four off-target throws, four missed reads and two critical errors (an INT and a missed TD opportunity).

Pressure, as it has been most of his career, was arriving with regularity. On Tannehill’s 28 drop backs, the rush got home 13 times (4 sacks, 8 hits, 1 hurry) at an average of 2.18 seconds from snap-to-pressure.

Play-action, once again, was Tannehill’s bread and butter. He did throw the interception on a double-move-deep-shot to Kenny Stills, but he completed the other four for 41 yards.

The critical errors, missed reads and overall lack of production shrouds this showing with a dark cloud. The two big-time red zone strikes, however, and the clean operation of threading tight windows is enough to push this effort into the upper-echelon of a “winning performance.”

Result: Winning Performance

 

2018 Performance Results Number of Games
Winning Performance 4 (TEN, OAK, IND, BUF)
Inconsequential Performance 1 (@NYJ)
Losing Performance 2 (@NE, @CIN)

 

@WingfieldNFL

Additional videos:

Tannehill appears to be apprehensive on the whee route to the back

Tannehill continues to struggle with the wheel route

Body position opens the read Tannehill wants.

Has a shot at a deep ball, but take the sure first down.

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Miami Dolphins

Week 15: Rooting Guide and Staff Predictions

Gabe Hauari

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Week 14 proved to be one of the most memorable in Dolphins history, as the “Miami Miracle” propelled the Dolphins to a dramatic victory over New England.

As memorable as it was, the only other favorable result around the league was the Ravens losing to Kansas City, as the Colts and Titans also kept themselves in playoff contention by notching wins.

Week 15 is a critical week for much of the NFL, as many teams are still alive in their respective playoff races. In the AFC specifically, there are five teams vying for the final two playoff spots. Who should you root for in these matchups? Here are the games to keep an eye on, with the team Miami should root for in bold for emphasis.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Baltimore Ravens, 1 p.m. EST

John Harbaugh announced Lamar Jackson will start over a healthy Joe Flacco on Sunday, which means this could be the official passing-of-the-torch moment for the Ravens (7-6). Tampa Bay is still mathematically in the NFC playoff race at 5-8, but facing a focused Ravens team at home is a tall order.

Dallas Cowboys at Indianapolis Colts, 1 p.m. EST

The Cowboys are coming off an intense divisional win over the Eagles, and the Colts (7-6) are hot after a huge win over the Texans. The Dolphins would benefit greatly if the Cowboys came away from Lucas Oil Stadium with a victory, dropping the Colts to 7-7. The Cowboys could control their own destiny by winning the NFC East, something they are in prime position to do.

Tennessee Titans at New York Giants, 1 p.m. EST

This is a potential trap game for the Titans (7-6), as the Giants have improved steadily as the season has gone on. Even without Odell Beckham Jr., the Giants can win with a good running game and just enough defense. The Titans are coming off an impressive win over the Jaguars and will also likely try to establish their running game early.  This one could go either way, but let’s hope the Giants find a way to win this one.

 

Miami has a tough game this week, as playing in Minnesota is no walk in the park. The Vikings fired offensive coordinator John DeFilippo this week after an ugly performance on Monday night vs. Seattle, which could benefit the Dolphins. How will the game turn out? Our staff takes a shot at predicting it:

Will Rogers:

After the Miami Miracle I, like many Dolphins fans, am still somewhat on a high. That high has me feeling that the Dolphins can do no wrong but I know I cannot be that naive.

When the Dolphins play the Vikings in Minnesota it’s going to be a true test for the Dolphins defense. It’s looking like Xavien Howard will not play so the guys next in line really need to step up to stop the powerful Vikings offensive weapons. 

This matchup could go either way but like I said I’m riding that high. I believe that the Dolphins can win this one and the taste of the playoffs will become sweeter. 

Prediction: Dolphins 28, Vikings 24

Skyler Trunck:

Since Tannehill has returned, this offensive is firing on almost all cylinders averaging the 8th most points per game in that span. However, this will be the best defense this offense has seen in that span. Add in the offense averaging nearly 8 points less on the road this season, it’s hard to feel great about this matchup.

Minnesota is currently ranked 5th in yards allowed and 11th in points allowed. When you watch this team and look at them on paper, the talent on this defense certainly illustrates these ranks are no fluke.

The reason Minnesota isn’t winning as much as last year is due to their offense, and more so their offensive inconsistencies. Like Miami, Minnesota fans know all too well what it’s like to have a sub-par (at best) offensive line and the effects it has on an offense.

In attempt to salvage their offense, Minnesota fired their supposedly up-and-coming offensive coordinator, John DeFilippo, this last week.

It’s easy to think Miami won’t score many points in this matchup given their success on the road and against a defense this stout. What is difficult to predict in this matchup is how this Miami defense will hold. Minnesota running back, Dalvin Cook, has been scripted out of most games, which is odd considering he’ll be one of the more talented backs Miami sees this year. If Minnesota’s new offensive coordinator features a heavy run attack, it may be hard for Miami to stay in this game.

I have hard time going against what I’ve seen all year from this Miami Dolphins team, especially with the absence of Xavien Howard for another week. 

Prediction: Vikings 20, Dolphins 17

Andrew Mitchell:

Coming off last weeks Miami Miracle game has spirits and confidence high. Which immediately worries me because we know how this can go sometimes. 

Ryan Tannehill has looked stellar in his return and the play-calling has been much improved as well. While the offense has seemed to find their groove, they still are not as dominant as needed to offset our shaky defense.

However, the defense has been playing the best it has all season and that trend MUST continue as they head to Minnesota.

The Vikings have been underwhelming this season after signing Kirk Cousins in the offseason. They just recently fired John DeFilippo, the highly regarded OC they snagged from the Eagles in the offseason. 

Unfortunately, this isn’t what Miami wants, if only they had kept him for one more week.

Given our defensive performances on the road and an offense looking to get on the right track, I can’t help but feel Miami falls short this week. I hope I’m wrong.

Prediction: Vikings 31, Dolphins 23

Gabe Hauari:

The Dolphins got the kind of emotional win that can turn a whole season around vs. the Patriots last Sunday. The “Miami Miracle” is a play that will go down in NFL history, and could possibly propel the Dolphins into the playoffs if they handle their business the last three weeks of the season.

However….

The Dolphins have been pretty bad on the road this season, and unfortunately I don’t see that stopping this week, especially not without Xavien Howard. The Vikings have a deep stable of receivers, and that matchup really worries me.

The Dolphins can win if they run the ball well and control the clock, and defensively they must get pressure on Kirk Cousins.

After a stinker on the road last week, the Vikings will also be motivated to play well in front of their home crowd, with a new offensive coordinator, with their playoff dreams potentially on the line.

Miami keeps it close, but I think Minnesota wins it late.

Prediction: Vikings 24, Dolphins 21

Travis Wingfield:

To see Travis’ analysis and predictions, click here: https://www.lockedondolphins.com/dolphins/dolphins-at-vikings-week-15-preview/

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