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Miami Dolphins

Adam Gase Proving You Are NOT What Your Record Says You Are

Travis Wingfield

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Trust the process, they say.

Three little words serve as the rally cry for so many athletes. The daily grind. The behind the scenes discipline and determination. The countless hours that lead up to the three-hour window better known as game day.

Bill Parcells is a football legend, but the game has a tendency to pass legends (and even their prominent quips) by. “You are what your record says you are,” Parcells famously claimed in lieu of explaining reasons for an underachieving team.

In a world where analytics reign supreme, where we have more information and data available than ever before, this old adage is about as accurate as a Brock Osweiler throw from outside the pocket.

Not only is the accuracy of the statement questionable, it flies directly in the face of the present-day message every coach and athlete preaches.

Predicting outcomes in the NFL is difficult. With countless factors, one of which being sheer luck, pointing to one number denigrates the grind from Monday thru Saturday. The result isn’t always a culmination of the week’s hard work. The result often comes down to the right foot of the worst athlete on the roster (the kicker).

In the Twitter era, we live in a daily hot take machine powered by thoughts void of any context. Individual statistics to define a player’s game, using Super Bowl rings to measure a player’s greatness, and using win-loss record to judge a Head Coach’s impact.

In the case of Adam Gase, his shaky win-loss mark wobbles even more under closer examination.

Sitting a game below .500 on the season, and for his career, Gase’s 21-22 mark is the exact same record posted by his predecessor, Joe Philbin, through 41 games. The optimist points to the radical nature of his team’s health, particularly at the quarterback position.

That’s a fair argument, Gase has been saddled with arguably the worst medical situation of any coach the last two seasons.

But at what point does the shine wear off of the mediocre record he managed in spite of his personnel? A few more losses? What about 10 alternate outcomes?

This Dolphins team, under Gase, has a way of finding wins in tight contests while getting blown out in losses.

With a point differential of +153 (7.7 per win) in victories, and -342 (16.3 per loss) in defeats, the questions about strength of opponent are entirely valid. Miami has won three games by multiple scores (9+ points) under Gase and lost 16 games by 9 or more points.

Those numbers are eye-opening, but the offense’s production during his time is alarming. Under Gase’s watch, one that has taken zero defensive input from the head man (trusting half the team to Vance Joseph and Matt Burke respectively), the saving grace should be a formidable attack unit.

During Gase’s three-year tenure, the Dolphins offense has never ranked better than 17th in the league. In 2016 Miami was 17th in both scoring and total offense. In 2017 Gase’s group was 25th in total offense and 28th in scoring. This year, through 11 games, the offense is 25th in scoring and 28th in total production.

Mandatory Credit: Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

So those figures beg the question, “what exactly is it that you do here, Coach Gase?”

Winning close games. Finding ways to beat the opposition in the fourth quarter is a valuable trait, and one that Gase could hang his hat on through the first two-and-a-half years of his Miami tenure.

But how much of that trait is directly attributable to Adam Gase? No team in the NFL has had more missed field goals against them than Gase’s Dolphins since 2016. Over the last two seasons (27 games), Dolphins kickers have missed just three kicks (not counting PATs).

That’s luck; nothing else. And barely 24 hours removed from a game where Miami essentially handed the Indianapolis Colts a win, Dolphins fans would agree that teams are completely capable of losing games opposed to the challenger seizing victory by their own actions.

Below are 12 of the 20 games the Dolphins won during Gase’s time in Miami. It’s unfair to reverse the outcome of each of these 12, but it’s rather disparaging to see just how close the Dolphins are to publishing an 8-33 record over those 41 games.

Up first, the games that Miami definitively deserved to lose (tie):

2016 vs. Cleveland –

Adam Gase’s first win as Head Coach of the Miami Dolphins provided minimal joy for fans. A narrow overtime defeat, at home, against a team that would win just one game the next two seasons, Miami could’ve easily been win number two for the 2016-2017 Browns.

In fact, it SHOULD have been a win for Cleveland. Browns Kicker Cody Parkey missed a pair of kicks, including a 46-yarder at the buzzer (NFL kickers make kicks in this range at better than 85%). His first miss came from 42 yards out.

2017 – at Chargers –

More kicker problems for the opposition. Rookie Kicker Younghoe Koo (no longer in the league) missed a pair of kicks, including a potential game winner from 44 yards out. Koo missed from 43 earlier in the game – both kicks come from a range in which NFL kickers have a ~90% success rate.

2016 at Buffalo –

Rex Ryan, needing a win to stay alive in the AFC playoff chase, elected to punt on a 4th and 2 with 4:02 remaining in overtime from his own 40-yard-line. A tie would’ve removed Miami from the post-season chase, just as it did for Buffalo.

On the next play, Jay Ajayi ripped off a 57-yard run against a Bills defense that had only 10 men on the field.

Perhaps the most unlikely play came at the end of regulation. Andrew Franks, who’s previous career long was 41 yards, hit a game-tying 55-yard kick in the frigid Buffalo conditions.

2018 vs. Chicago –

Albert Wilson caught two passes, racked up 104 yards after the catch, and scored on both plays, against a gassed Bears defense. Miami was moments away from going behind 28-14 before a questionable offensive pass interference took a touchdown off the board. Mitch Trubisky threw an INT into the end zone on the next play.

2017 vs. Tennessee –

This one flies in the face of the backup quarterback argument, but scoring 16 points at home rarely yields a victory. Luckily, for Miami, this was the one game of the season that Marcus Mariota missed.

Matt Cassel stunk up the field all day, including a questionable fumble ruling that Reshad Jones returned for a touchdown. That play came two snaps after a terrible offensive pass interference call took a 59-yard touchdown off the board for Cassel and the Titans.

Games Miami Probably Should’ve Lost:

2016 at San Diego –

Phillip Rivers is prone to late-game mistakes, no question about that. But the Chargers had a 1st and 10 at the Miami 42-yard line with 1:13 to go in a tie game. Rivers takes the bait and puts the ball between the 4 and the 7 on Kiko Alonso’s jersey.

A big-time play by Alonso, no doubt. At worst, San Diego should’ve at least survived to see over time. The 2016 playoff run was propped up by multiple plays just like this.

2017 at Atlanta –

Matt Ryan was fresh off an MVP season, he shredded the Dolphins to the tune of nearly 200 passing yards in the first half, then bogged down in the second half. The Miami defense deserves credit for putting the screws to the Atlanta offense, but the Falcons were poised to take the lead late before an all-pro play by Reshad Jones.

On 1st and 10 from the Miami 26, trailing by 3, Ryan forced a throw to Austin Hooper. The ball appeared to be completed at the Dolphins 6, but Jones robbed Hooper and won the game for Gase and Miami.

2018 vs. Oakland –

The lowly Raiders outgained Miami 434-373 and converted third downs at a success rate double that of Miami’s output. With a red zone turnover already in their pocket, the Raiders doubled down with an awful throw from Derek Carr on what should’ve been a game-winning touchdown drive.

Carr threw a prayer into the end zone on first down at the 13-yard line. Miami’s defense was gashed all game and saved by the heroics of Xavien Howard and the shortcomings of Carr.

Coin Flip Games:

2016 vs. NY Jets –

Ryan Fitzpatrick tossed his third touchdown of the game to give the Jets a three-point lead with five minutes to play. Kenyan Drake responded with a 101-yard kickoff return to put Miami immediately back in front.

Who knows how the game would’ve turned out, but the special teams’ heroics made it so Gase’s offense didn’t have to face that challenge. With 274 total yards on the day, it’s fair to assume the Dolphins wouldn’t have made the clutch drive.

2016 vs. San Francisco –

Nearly blowing a 17-point fourth quarter lead to a woeful 1-9 49ers team, Ndamukong Suh and Kiko Alonso saved the day by thwarting Colin Kaepernick’s fourth down scamper at the one-yard line. Surely, San Francisco would’ve attempted a 2-point conversion with no time on the clock to decide the winner.

Miami might’ve made the stop, but considering Kaepernick went for a season-high 296 passing yards and season-high 113 rushing yards, who knows?

2017 vs. NY Jets –

Jay Cutler started the game and put the Dolphins in a 14-point hole. Matt Moore comes off the bench and rescues the day for Miami with 17 unanswered in the fourth quarter. Josh McCown aided the comeback by throwing an interception directly to Bobby McCain with 47 seconds to play at the Jets 23-yard line.

2018 – at NY Jets –

Sam Darnold’s three interceptions, including one in the end zone, puts this game in the category of games the opposition lost.

Miami won by eight points as the Jets allowed time to expire on their final drive of the first half in a goal-to-go situation. New York outgained Miami 362 to 257.

Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

The Dolphins have the second most interceptions in the NFL. They are top-five in red zone touchdowns allowed percentage and red zone takeaways. These stats are great, but they aren’t long term indicators for success.

Miami’s relative prosperity over the past three seasons have been propped up by one of the game’s greatest determinations of success – pure luck.

An in-season change isn’t coming. A change at the end of the season (if Stephen Ross’ history is any indicator) is unlikely.

Gase has seen his redeeming qualities wither away as time has gone on now in year-three. His leash ought to be shrinking with each questionable decision. Poor management has robbed the Dolphins of two crucial road victories this season (Cincinnati and Indianapolis).

Questionable decision led to the disconcerting numbers displayed in this column. All signs point to Ross enacting the same action he deployed in 2011 and 2014 – hanging onto a coaching staff that has perpetuated the very mediocrity that has Dolphins fans clamoring for more.

Hopefully, for ‘Phins fans nationwide, Ross considers the context – not just the win-loss record.

@WingfieldNFL

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2 Comments

2 Comments

  1. Donv

    November 26, 2018 at 10:40 pm

    This is cherry picking to support your position. It is meaningless as an evaluation tool…like most media and twitter posts…who cares!

    The reason we have had mediocrity since Shula,is because this team has reacted to fans and media comments,starting over every few years.When they should have focused on building continuity and long term success. Patriots, steelers, panthers, seahawks, saints are examples of what that can bring. The fans and media will always bitch, let them but do what is best for the organization regardless. Gase is the best coach we have had since Shula.

  2. Mike

    November 28, 2018 at 2:56 am

    Travis, this team is clearly rebuilding. Ask yourself this, how many teams do you honestly believe we are more talented then? It’s a short list. Patience is important here. We were pressed up against the cap. A purge was necessary. We can argue about the growing pains of a first-time head coach, and whether he should be calling plays, but those things will work themselves out in time. As will the talent level of the roster. The 2016 draft showed well Sunday. That is what you should be writing about.

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Scouting Reports

State of the AFC East

Oliver Candido

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With the aging empire of the New England Patriots hopefully coming to an end in the coming years the arms race and power struggle will enter overdrive. The Patriots have run this division for over a decade but all things must come to an end, with Tom Brady nearing his goal of playing till 45 and Bill Belichick turning 66 there is blood in the water, and the rest of the East will look to grab the crown and run with it.

Dec 23, 2018; Foxborough, MA, USA; New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady (12) and head coach Bill Belichick head out onto the field to shake hands with the Buffalo Bills after their 24-12 win at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Winslow Townson-USA TODAY Sports

New England Patriots

Roster:

Tom Brady’s play has declined but that hasn’t stopped New England from being a powerhouse, the offensive line will welcome Isiah Wynn back the former 1st rounder, he tore his Achilles in camp 2018. The skill positions are mixed, Sony Michelle provided a solid rookie campaign but there are holes in the wide receiver and tight end positions. Rob Gronkowski is pondering retirement meanwhile Chris Hogan, Phillip Dorsett, and Cordarrelle Patterson are all set to hit Free Agency. Defensively New England has excelled on maximizing talent with what they have but with that being said they have some notable players departing such as Trey Flowers, Malcom Brown, and possibly the McCourty twins.

Free Agent Acquisition:

Markus Golden (EDGE)

Pick 32, 1st round:

Kelvin Harmon (WR)

 

New York Jets

Roster:

The New York Jets are not a star-studded team and will be ongoing a scheme change led by Coach Adam Gase. Offensively it would be easier to name what they do have then to name what they don’t, Sam Darnold is the only true “bright” spot on the offensive side of the ball. Multiple reports state that Isiah Crowell will be released in the coming month so half back will need to be addressed, in addition to wide receiver, tight end, and offensive line. On the opposite side of the ball things seem to be a bit more promising with Leonard Williams, Jamal Adams, Marcus Maye. New York will need to add a true pass rusher along with some other linebackers and defensive backs as well.

Free Agent Acquisition:

Le’Veon Bell (HB)

Pick 3, 1st round:

Josh Allen (EDGE)

 

Buffalo Bills

Roster:

Buffalo has a good defense that is paired with the 31st ranked offense, they are in need of talent to surround Josh Allen with. Josh Allen needs an entire cast around him, most importantly an offensive line who can buy him some time, but it doesn’t stop there. After releasing former fullback wide receiver Kelvin Benjamin and Charles Clay the only player who can truly garner some targets is aging halfback Lesean McCoy. Although the defense has played well they are also in need of some attention, with Kyle Williams retiring they will need another defensive tackle in addition to a true edge rusher. This roster is still being rebuilt and could use talent on almost every level offensively but they need to give injury prone Josh Allen some decent offensive line play.

Free Agent Acquisition:

Trenton Brown (OT)

Pick 9, 1st round:

Jawaan Taylor (OT)

 

Miami Dolphins

Roster:

Our beloved Miami Dolphins will be going through many changes and a complete rebuild directed by Chris Grier and Brian Flores. Miami has talent at the skill positions with young and inexpensive talent at halfback, tight end, and wide receiver. With the upcoming release/trade of Ryan Tannehill the biggest need will be finding his replacement via free agency or draft. Resources will have to be allocated to the trenches as Miami lacks talent on the interior offensive line and on the edge defensively. Miami’s defense is looking to be a multiple look defense in order to achieve this they will have to add versatility on every level off the defense and add depth to the secondary. This regime will be taking the long painful road of a true rebuild as Miami has been mediocre for far too long.

Free Agent Acquisition:

Mitch Morse (OL)

Pick 13, 1st round:

Rashan Gary (EDGE)

 

Madden 19 Giveaway:

I am giving away Madden 19 on Xbox One for free, all you have to do is find my favorite player. I will add a clue to every article until someone answers correctly. Tweet the answer to me and DM me on twitter @BrazilCandido and don’t forget to give the @LockedOnDolphins and it’s writers some love as well!

HERE IS THE HINT:

My favorite player once caught 29 passes in a season while 11 of them went for TDs! That means over a 3rd of his receptions were Touchdowns!

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Miami Dolphins

State of the Roster – Cornerbacks

Travis Wingfield

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Prelude

The 2019 off-season schedule had an unusual beginning for the Miami Dolphins. Not that the once proud, winningest organization in the NFL is suddenly new to coaching turnover (quite the opposite, rather). It’s the timing of the hire that provides the distinction from Stephen Ross’ three other head coaching appointments.

Typically, when the incumbent or new staff is in-place by Early-January, the roster dominoes begin to take shape. Waiting for Brian Flores to win his fifth Lombardi Trophy delayed that process by a month.

Now, with the majority of Coach Flores’ staff settling into their new offices, we can begin to speculate and forecast what will transpire over the next three months.

It’s not hyperbole to say that these next three months are the most important of Chris Grier’s professional career. Miami’s new General Manager is charged with resurrecting a franchise that, in the last 15 years, has fallen from the peak of the winning percentage mountain top, all the way down to fifth place on that obscure, yet illustrious list.

In this series we are going to explore the current assets on the roster and what their futures hold. Plus, we’ll explore the free-agency market and point out scheme fit pieces the Dolphins might seek to add in April’s draft.

Cornerbacks 

Current Cash Owed: ~ $9.3 Million
NFL Average: ~ $16 Million

Players Under Contract – 2019 Cash Owed:

Xavien Howard – $1.3 M

Tying for the league lead in interceptions (7), Howard continued his breakthrough performance that began late in 2017. Among the game’s top corners, Howard excels in man coverage, offers an impressive physical style of press play, and tracks the ball exceptionally well.

The Dolphins will likely look to extend Howard in the near future, despite rumors of his presence on the trade block. Stephone Gilmore’s lockdown Super Bowl performance afforded the Pats defense ultimate creativity – something Brian Flores will want to retain in Miami.

Howard’s Projected 2019 Action: #1 Corner

Bobby McCain – $5.6 M

Mandatory Credit: David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports

In his first season with a new payday, McCain struggled. Kicking outside on the perimeter was a challenge that exposed his lack of long-speed. Still a jitterbug inside, McCain offers a knack for the nuance of the position in both man and zone.

Injuries mounted on McCain as he tried to fight through a number of issues all season. He’s a team leader and a top-shelf slot corner – that much will be evident when he’s back in his regular role in 2019.

McCain’s Projected 2019 Action: Slot Corner

Cordrea Tankersley – $673 K

It’s difficult to imagine a worse sophomore season for Tankersley. Benched, ran-ragged, and ultimately a torn ACL, it was a steep decline from an impressive rookie campaign. The mental aspect of the game proved to be a challenge for Tankersley and, to be fair, he wasn’t alone in that portion of Matt Burke’s awful scheme.

Likely starting the year on the physically unable to perform list, Tankersley will get a fresh start in a scheme that accentuates his strengths – playing man coverage.

Tankersley’s Projected 2019 Action: Depth (Begins the season on PUP)

Jalen Davis – $570 K

My pick for biggest sleeper on the roster in 2019, Davis flashed big-time potential in his limited work late in the season. In the Jacksonville game Davis forced a fumble and broke up a third down pass in the end zone. He’s fiery, aggressive, and Miami’s best option behind McCain in the slot.

Davis’ Projected 2019 Action: Backup Slot

Cornell Armstrong – $570 K

Thrust into action late last season, 2018 was a learning experience for Miami’s sixth-round rookie. Armstrong fits the prototype for length and style, but he was worked over in the New England game by Julian Edelman (hardly a bad look).

Armstrong will compete for time on the perimeter this year and continue to serve as a core special teamer.

Armstrong’s Projected 2019 Action: Depth

Torry McTyer – $645 K

McTyer’s numbers look worse than his actual performance. He was whipped consistently, starting with the beat down in Foxboro, but his good coverage was beat by better throws in the Chicago game.

There’s upside with McTyer, but he needs to show it in 2019 if he wants to have a future as a starter in Miami.

McTyer’s Projected 2019 Action: Depth

Jomal Wiltz – Not yet announced (Camp Minimum)

Wiltz was drafted by the Eagles in 2017 and later migrated to the New England practice squad in 2018. Playing under current Dolphins Cornerbacks Coach Josh Boyer, Wiltz has a head start on the new defensive scheme and techniques.

The most interesting aspect of Wiltz’s acquisition, he’s just 5’10’’ 180 pounds – an outlier for Miami’s prototype at the position.

Wiltz’s Projected 2019 Action: Cut/Practice Squad

Pending Free Agents – 

None

2019 Cornerback Free Agent Market:

Mandatory Credit: Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

With McCain locked up and Howard due next, Miami may have to eschew buying its number-two corner. The need is glaring, but the market is lacking. Morris Claiborne, Pierre Desir, and Bradley Roby are the bells of the ball and will be out of Miami’s price range should they hit the market.

There have been two free agent themes presented in this series: 1.) Filling the Foxboro-to-Miami pipeline and, 2.) Reclamation projects.

Jason Verrett qualifies for the second bullet-point – he’s a hell of a player but his medical history is alarming. Eric Rowe is a free agent and falls into both categories. He spent three years with the Patriots but only played in 21 games during that stretch.

Rowe is 6’1’’ with the 205-pound frame to match. Verrett is just 5’10’’ and 188 pounds, but he’s an elite play maker (when healthy).

Miami has been linked to Ronald Darby in recent years. He shakes free from Philadelphia and a poor medical history could significantly reduce his cost.

2019 Cornerback Draft Class:

Cornerback is in play for the 13th pick. DeAndre Baker (Georgia), Byron Murphy (Washington), and Greedy Williams (LSU) head the class at the position.

Baker is feisty and superb in man coverage though he does lack long-speed. Murphy is rail-thin (175 pounds) and his lack of interest in run support will turn the Miami staff off. Williams’ effort has been called into question by some. If that’s true, he will be off Miami’s board altogether as they preach the love of the game.

Penn State’s Amani Oruwariye is an option in the second-round. He first the prototype, he’s ultra-competitive and excels in both press and zone.

Temple’s Rock Ya-Sin plays with the temperament of an alpha dog. His match-ups with Deebo Samuel at the Senior Bowl were the must-see events of the week.

The local product, Michael Jackson from the U, excels in man coverage – he’s a fit.

2019 Cornerback Prediction:

It’s pretty apparent from the free agent and draft classes where the more attractive options lie for the ‘Phins to address this need. Signing a bargain player to compete, and drafting a rookie relatively high should bolster this position into a strength in 2019.

Minkah Fitzpatrick’s official capacity will be as a safety, but he’s going to match-up where the staff sees fit. He’s the best option to cover a detached tight end and he’s probably the best slot cover guy Miami has. We’ll cover him on tomorrow’s podcast and column.

CB #1 – Xavien Howard
CB #2 – Rookie (Baker, Ya-Sin, Jackson)
Slot – Bobby McCain
Slot Backup – Jalen Davis
Depth – Cornell Armstrong
Depth – Torry McTyer / FA (Eric Rowe)
Depth – Cordrea Tankersley (beginning on PUP)

Tomorrow: Safeties

@WingfieldNFL

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NFL Draft

Fits and Starts of the 2019 NFL Draft–Jarrett Stidham

Shawn Digity

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USA Today
A shot of Jarrett Stidham during the Senior Bowl in January. Image courtesy of USA Today

Which 2019 NFL Draft quarterbacks fit for the Miami Dolphins, which ones could start, and which ones aren’t on the table?

Let’s dive into the first installment of Fits and Starts with Auburn’s Jarrett Stidham.

2019 NFL Draft quarterbacks and Fits and Starts intro

I hope you’re enjoying all the Kyler Murray talk; it’s not going anywhere for the next two months. So, with all the hype surrounding the Heisman winner and his decision to play in the NFL over the MLB, it makes sense that Murray shot up the draft boards in rapid fashion.

Murray has been connected with the Miami Dolphins, and it makes sense. The Dolphins need a quarterback to lead the franchise into the future, especially with the start of the Brian Flores era.

But what happens if the Dolphins can’t get Kyler Murrayin the 2019 Draft? Let’s take that a step further. What if the Dolphins don’t get any of the QBs that are pegged to go in the first round? Dwayne HaskinsDrew LockDaniel Jones, along with Murray, are all in the conversation to go off the board in the first round.

The 2019 QB class hasn’t exactly been lauded for its talent, but that doesn’t mean its totally devoid of untapped potential on Days 2 and 3. There are some diamonds in the rough and some could be on the Dolphins’ radar come April. The Fits and Starts mini-series will be focusing on these overshadowed mid-round prospects and who could fit into a role with the Miami Dolphins.

Let’s get into the first name on the list: Jarrett Stidham.

Jarrett Stidham and his NFL Future

The first quarterback on the docket is Auburn’s Jarrett Stidham. He’s an enigmatic player. He was in the conversation last draft season (before he returned to Auburn) to go in the second round. He was also talked about as a dark-horse Heisman candidate before the college season started.

His junior season didn’t go exactly as scripted, though. Jarrett Stidham had an up-and-down season, and his draft stock has been all over the place, consequently. He’s polarizing in the Twitter Draft realm with many draftniks either loving or hating him. I predict that he’ll go in the third round, but I could see the need for the position pushing him into the second round.

In a lot of ways, I would compare Jarrett Stidham to Ryan Tannehill. With that being said, he’s a poor man’s Tannehill. He’s not as athletic and I wouldn’t put his arm strength or accuracy on the same level, but there are comparisons that can be drawn.

Jarrett Stidham Mini-Report

He has some starter qualities, and he’s very raw in that regard. He also did not get a lot of help from his receivers during the 2018 season. I saw a lot of dropped passes that should’ve been “gimmes”. Jarrett Stidham has a moderately high ceiling, I would say. He’s extremely rough around the edges, but I can see him becoming successful in the NFL; it’ll come with many growing pains, albeit.

He also has some accuracy issues from a lot of the film I’ve watched of him. He’ll make some unbelievable down-the-field bombs, but also make some passes that are too high, too inside or too outside. Many passes were underthrown and I saw plays where WRs had to turn and play some defense. The accuracy is a roller coaster, and that’s something that is hard to improve at the next level; accuracy is more a God-given ability than it is a teachable skill.

Something else that I wasn’t wild about was how Stidham reacted to chaos and pressure. When the line collapsed, I saw some ugly escapes. Those ugly escapes will be ugly sacks in the NFL. I saw flashes of decent pocket presence, but like many of Stidham’s qualities, they were inconsistent.

That’s one of the best words I would use to describe Jarrett Stidham: inconsistent. Sometimes he’s good, sometimes he’s bad. Sometimes he’ll thread the needle for a 40-yard touchdown, sometimes he’ll undercut a route. But if the inconsistency is his biggest issue, which I believe it is, then I’m intrigued by his prospects at the next level with some next-level coaching.

At the End of the Day

So, if the Dolphins drafted Jarrett Stidham, it’d likely be on Day 2 and in the second round with the 48th pick. While the Dolphins are rebuilding, I could see them using a popular draft philosophy of taking a quarterback every year until one hits. If that’s the case, then Stidham could very well be a target if the Dolphins decide to address a bigger need or BPA with the 13th pick.

This could be a way for the Dolphins to hedge their bets while keeping an eye on the 2020 quarterbacks. Akin to the Redskins taking both RGIII and Kirk Cousins in the same draft in 2012, the Dolphins could take a flier on a mid-round quarterback and see what he could do in some games under the guidance of a veteran.

While I wouldn’t be upset by the pick, the Miami Dolphins would be wise to stay away from Jarrett Stidham, bottom line. I say that not because of Stidham’s shortcomings or upside but because of where the Miami Dolphins franchise finds itself.

If Jarrett Stidham goes out and has a decent showing in some live action during his rookie season, then that could affect the draft strategy regarding the 2020 class of quarterbacks.

I don’t want the Dolphins to keep waiting and waiting for someone to slowly develop as they did with Ryan Tannehill. Stidham is in a similar mold, looking at his tools and raw potential. I’m not sure how long it would take for Stidham develop, but I could see it turning into a situation where he takes a few steps forward every season.

Jarrett Stidham could be a quarterback that Chris Grier likes, but I would have a hard time believing that he’s a prospect that he would love–and that’s not what the Miami Dolphins need to right the ship.

 

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