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Miami Dolphins

Dolphins at Jets Week Two Preview

Travis Wingfield

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Who: Dolphins (1-0) at Jets (1-0)
When: September 16, 1:00 East
Where: MetLife Stadium – East Rutherford, NJ
Weather: 81 degrees, 69% humidity, 7 MPH wind
Vegas Slant: Jets -3

Jets Off-Season Changes

In-depth look at the Dolphins ground-game plan against the Jets

Dolphins at Jets

In most cases it’s difficult to match a football fan’s week-one jubilation. After all, the return of football can ignite a flame in the fan of even the worst team in the league. Just ask a Bills fan; do you think they’re excited for the next four months?

For the Dolphins and Jets, a pair of underdog victories revs this throwback rivalry up to 9000 RPMs – even if it’s just for one week.

The Jets are coming off the most impressive week-one showing in sometime – maybe in the franchise’s history. MetLife Stadium is going to be raucous as they welcome in the next chosen golden boy.

Outlasting the Titans in a Miami Marathon, the Dolphins have bucked expectations in their own right. Whichever team emerges from this game victorious is going to earn a Monday morning headline. Two afterthoughts battling for the right to remain unbeaten heading into the third tilt of the NFL season, this game serves as something of a narrative shifter.

The Jets’ Scheme:

Defense:
Todd Bowles is known for devising aggressive defensive schemes that vary pressure looks up front. Typically, the Jets will deploy an odd-front that is almost inordinately blitz-heavy. However, the Jets threw a curveball at Matthew Stafford in the Monday night shakedown in Mo-Town.

Often rushing three and dropping eight, the Jets robbed Stafford (jumping out of a particular zone assignment and into the passing lanes – typically in the hook zone) and “got” him to the tune of four interceptions.

I have to think Bowles will go back to hair-on-fire plan facing Ryan Tannehill and this Dolphins offense. It’ll be imperative for Tannehill to get his communication signals out to the rest of the offense early in the play-clock to force the Jets defense to show where the overload pressure is coming from.

Mandatory Credit: Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

Whatever Tannehill sees pre-snap is likely to be entirely different than what the Jets will show post-snap. Perhaps the best way to mitigate this attack is a heavy dose of the run-game and passes to the backs.

Offense:
Make no mistake about it, the Jets want to run the football, no matter how well the rookie passer plays. Jeremy Bates’ unit features west-coast principles with an emphasis on the zone-blocking scheme.

Monday’s game plan was tight-end-centric. Operating primarily in 12 and 13-personnel, New York had three tight ends play at least 29 snaps. The fourth tight end, Jordan Leggett, had 15 reps as well.

Bates will try to make things simple for Sam Darnold by running on early downs and creating third and manageable situations. The Jets utilized play-pass the same number of times Miami did in week-one (11) and only four offenses ran play action more.

Creating two-way goes and isolation routes for slot-receiver Quincy Enunwa is the security blanket for the young quarterback.

The Players:

Defense:
Jamal Adams is an absolute problem and his presence will be accounted for on every snap. He plays in the box, in two-deep and even man-up in the slot – he’s the linchpin of that impressive defense. In the same manner as Reshad Jones, he can shut down the strong-side C-gap in the running game and make the Dolphins outside zone obsolete.

The secondary as a whole is relatively loaded. Trumaine Johnson is a second-tier shutdown corner and Mo Claiborne has had a career revival in New York. They will have to stick to the shifty Dolphins wide outs all game as the Jets look to blitz, blitz, and blitz some more.

Backup safety (filling in for Marcus Maye) Doug Middleton could be the rabbit the Dolphins hunt in their game plan.

Leonard Williams is the next man to key. He’s a devastating player in both aspects of the game. Miami would be wise to jump the back in front of the quarterback and protect the interior pressure Williams is likely to create.

Off the edge, there isn’t a lot to write home about. Brandon Copeland and Henry Anderson had nice opening-day showings, but they run into a superior group of linemen that can erase them right out of the game.

The odd front means outside-backers will come down and blitz off the edge. The issue for New York is the lack of a pass rusher that can win one-on-ones. Undrafted free-agent Frankie Luvu played half the snaps on Monday as the primary edge-rusher alongside Jordan Jenkins.

If Miami can’t handle those two, they have far greater problems than just beating the Jets.

Avery Williamson is a trusted, cerebral middle linebacker that conducts Bowles defense. Fellow inside-backer, Darron Lee, had the game of his life on Monday night. Still, Miami should go directly at him in the passing game.

Lastly, the player Miami will most definitely attack all game is slot corner Buster Skrine. There isn’t a player in this Dolphins wide receiver group that can’t beat him consistently. Last year it was Kenny Stills (to the tune of a pair of scores and more than 130 yards).

Offense:
It starts with the backs in Isaiah Crowell and Bilal Powell. Fortunately for Miami, the Jets off-tackle outside-zone will have problems stretching the wide-9 alignment of the Dolphins defense. The key will be the bend (cut-back lane) and how well the Jets climb to the second level to erase Kiko Alonso and Raekwon McMillan.

That’s where James Carpenter, Spencer Long and Brian Winters become so crucial. The interior of the Jets line against these Miami linebackers will dictate the pace of the game. If they can latch on and create positive running yardage, stay on the field, and prevent Miami from running upwards of 70 offensive plays, the Jets will win.

Darnold’s arsenal of pass catchers is reliable, yet unremarkable. Robbie Anderson is capable of getting deep on any defense and Enunwa looks to be back to his 2016 form when he carved up secondary’s after the catch.

The Dolphins corners are better than the Jets receivers – especially at those two spots. Minkah Fitzpatrick and Xavien Howard will put up far more resistance than the Lions did.

Then there’s the quarterback. Darnold is a menace to get to the ground, but he is extremely loose with the football. If Miami can rattle Darnold, he’ll give them turnover opportunities and Miami must take advantage.

He’s advanced mentally for a rookie. He processes and very little bothers him. He will struggle with his accuracy at times due to inconsistent mechanics. Expect Miami to send a lot of pressure his way and attempt to lock down the Jets receivers with its talented secondary.

The Medical:

The Concerns:

Defensively, Jamal Adams and Leonard Williams’ ability to wreck a game is the primary concern. If Miami can have success in the run-game, and utilize plenty of dummy action (jet-sweep, split-zone to complement inside/outside-zone) that could neutralize Adams. Otherwise, he’s free to roam around and cause problems for the Dolphins rhythm passing attack.

By whatever means necessary, the Dolphins have to get Williams blocked. He’s the only front-seven defender capable of taking this game over.

Miami needs these three things to go in their favor:

Jet-Killer Cam Wake strikes again. Mandatory Credit: Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

1.) Cameron Wake beats up on Brandon Shell – He’s done it plenty of times before (3.5 sacks in the two contests last year). Pushing Darnold off of his spot and shutting down his escape routes are synonymous with a Dolphins win.

2.) Stretching the Jets defense vertically – We saw what Miami’s speed can do to a defense in the Tennessee game. The ball will come out hot for much of this game to counteract the Jets’ blitz packages. Getting behind the defense will force the Jets to reconsider the entire game plan.

3.) No special teams’ gaffes – Normally a staple of Dolphins teams, Darren Rizzi consistently has his boys coached up. That wasn’t the case against the Titans. Miami needs to A.) Make every field goal and PAT, B.) Prevent big returns, and C.) Flip the field in the punting game. In what figures to be a close game, special teams will likely sway the outcome.

The Opportunities:

Miami’s 21-personnel package, along with Albert Wilson in formation, puts three players on the field that can impact the game by catching the football out of the backfield. Displacing the middle of the field with drive concepts, and sneaking backs in on choice routes or arrow routes can result in some big plays.

Expect Kenyan Drake to get plenty of targets as a pass catcher.

The Projected Result:

Bringing it full circle, it’ll be interesting to see how this Jets team responds to its impressive showing Monday. Overconfidence can either lead to let-down or inspire hope even further. The Dolphins need to start fast, take the crowd out of the game and dictate the pace.

If Miami plays the game on their terms, they’ll win – if not, they won’t.

Dolphins 20
Jets 19

@WingfieldNFL

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Scouting Reports

State of the AFC East

Oliver Candido

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With the aging empire of the New England Patriots hopefully coming to an end in the coming years the arms race and power struggle will enter overdrive. The Patriots have run this division for over a decade but all things must come to an end, with Tom Brady nearing his goal of playing till 45 and Bill Belichick turning 66 there is blood in the water, and the rest of the East will look to grab the crown and run with it.

Dec 23, 2018; Foxborough, MA, USA; New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady (12) and head coach Bill Belichick head out onto the field to shake hands with the Buffalo Bills after their 24-12 win at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Winslow Townson-USA TODAY Sports

New England Patriots

Roster:

Tom Brady’s play has declined but that hasn’t stopped New England from being a powerhouse, the offensive line will welcome Isiah Wynn back the former 1st rounder, he tore his Achilles in camp 2018. The skill positions are mixed, Sony Michelle provided a solid rookie campaign but there are holes in the wide receiver and tight end positions. Rob Gronkowski is pondering retirement meanwhile Chris Hogan, Phillip Dorsett, and Cordarrelle Patterson are all set to hit Free Agency. Defensively New England has excelled on maximizing talent with what they have but with that being said they have some notable players departing such as Trey Flowers, Malcom Brown, and possibly the McCourty twins.

Free Agent Acquisition:

Markus Golden (EDGE)

Pick 32, 1st round:

Kelvin Harmon (WR)

 

New York Jets

Roster:

The New York Jets are not a star-studded team and will be ongoing a scheme change led by Coach Adam Gase. Offensively it would be easier to name what they do have then to name what they don’t, Sam Darnold is the only true “bright” spot on the offensive side of the ball. Multiple reports state that Isiah Crowell will be released in the coming month so half back will need to be addressed, in addition to wide receiver, tight end, and offensive line. On the opposite side of the ball things seem to be a bit more promising with Leonard Williams, Jamal Adams, Marcus Maye. New York will need to add a true pass rusher along with some other linebackers and defensive backs as well.

Free Agent Acquisition:

Le’Veon Bell (HB)

Pick 3, 1st round:

Josh Allen (EDGE)

 

Buffalo Bills

Roster:

Buffalo has a good defense that is paired with the 31st ranked offense, they are in need of talent to surround Josh Allen with. Josh Allen needs an entire cast around him, most importantly an offensive line who can buy him some time, but it doesn’t stop there. After releasing former fullback wide receiver Kelvin Benjamin and Charles Clay the only player who can truly garner some targets is aging halfback Lesean McCoy. Although the defense has played well they are also in need of some attention, with Kyle Williams retiring they will need another defensive tackle in addition to a true edge rusher. This roster is still being rebuilt and could use talent on almost every level offensively but they need to give injury prone Josh Allen some decent offensive line play.

Free Agent Acquisition:

Trenton Brown (OT)

Pick 9, 1st round:

Jawaan Taylor (OT)

 

Miami Dolphins

Roster:

Our beloved Miami Dolphins will be going through many changes and a complete rebuild directed by Chris Grier and Brian Flores. Miami has talent at the skill positions with young and inexpensive talent at halfback, tight end, and wide receiver. With the upcoming release/trade of Ryan Tannehill the biggest need will be finding his replacement via free agency or draft. Resources will have to be allocated to the trenches as Miami lacks talent on the interior offensive line and on the edge defensively. Miami’s defense is looking to be a multiple look defense in order to achieve this they will have to add versatility on every level off the defense and add depth to the secondary. This regime will be taking the long painful road of a true rebuild as Miami has been mediocre for far too long.

Free Agent Acquisition:

Mitch Morse (OL)

Pick 13, 1st round:

Rashan Gary (EDGE)

 

Madden 19 Giveaway:

I am giving away Madden 19 on Xbox One for free, all you have to do is find my favorite player. I will add a clue to every article until someone answers correctly. Tweet the answer to me and DM me on twitter @BrazilCandido and don’t forget to give the @LockedOnDolphins and it’s writers some love as well!

HERE IS THE HINT:

My favorite player once caught 29 passes in a season while 11 of them went for TDs! That means over a 3rd of his receptions were Touchdowns!

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Miami Dolphins

State of the Roster – Cornerbacks

Travis Wingfield

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Prelude

The 2019 off-season schedule had an unusual beginning for the Miami Dolphins. Not that the once proud, winningest organization in the NFL is suddenly new to coaching turnover (quite the opposite, rather). It’s the timing of the hire that provides the distinction from Stephen Ross’ three other head coaching appointments.

Typically, when the incumbent or new staff is in-place by Early-January, the roster dominoes begin to take shape. Waiting for Brian Flores to win his fifth Lombardi Trophy delayed that process by a month.

Now, with the majority of Coach Flores’ staff settling into their new offices, we can begin to speculate and forecast what will transpire over the next three months.

It’s not hyperbole to say that these next three months are the most important of Chris Grier’s professional career. Miami’s new General Manager is charged with resurrecting a franchise that, in the last 15 years, has fallen from the peak of the winning percentage mountain top, all the way down to fifth place on that obscure, yet illustrious list.

In this series we are going to explore the current assets on the roster and what their futures hold. Plus, we’ll explore the free-agency market and point out scheme fit pieces the Dolphins might seek to add in April’s draft.

Cornerbacks 

Current Cash Owed: ~ $9.3 Million
NFL Average: ~ $16 Million

Players Under Contract – 2019 Cash Owed:

Xavien Howard – $1.3 M

Tying for the league lead in interceptions (7), Howard continued his breakthrough performance that began late in 2017. Among the game’s top corners, Howard excels in man coverage, offers an impressive physical style of press play, and tracks the ball exceptionally well.

The Dolphins will likely look to extend Howard in the near future, despite rumors of his presence on the trade block. Stephone Gilmore’s lockdown Super Bowl performance afforded the Pats defense ultimate creativity – something Brian Flores will want to retain in Miami.

Howard’s Projected 2019 Action: #1 Corner

Bobby McCain – $5.6 M

Mandatory Credit: David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports

In his first season with a new payday, McCain struggled. Kicking outside on the perimeter was a challenge that exposed his lack of long-speed. Still a jitterbug inside, McCain offers a knack for the nuance of the position in both man and zone.

Injuries mounted on McCain as he tried to fight through a number of issues all season. He’s a team leader and a top-shelf slot corner – that much will be evident when he’s back in his regular role in 2019.

McCain’s Projected 2019 Action: Slot Corner

Cordrea Tankersley – $673 K

It’s difficult to imagine a worse sophomore season for Tankersley. Benched, ran-ragged, and ultimately a torn ACL, it was a steep decline from an impressive rookie campaign. The mental aspect of the game proved to be a challenge for Tankersley and, to be fair, he wasn’t alone in that portion of Matt Burke’s awful scheme.

Likely starting the year on the physically unable to perform list, Tankersley will get a fresh start in a scheme that accentuates his strengths – playing man coverage.

Tankersley’s Projected 2019 Action: Depth (Begins the season on PUP)

Jalen Davis – $570 K

My pick for biggest sleeper on the roster in 2019, Davis flashed big-time potential in his limited work late in the season. In the Jacksonville game Davis forced a fumble and broke up a third down pass in the end zone. He’s fiery, aggressive, and Miami’s best option behind McCain in the slot.

Davis’ Projected 2019 Action: Backup Slot

Cornell Armstrong – $570 K

Thrust into action late last season, 2018 was a learning experience for Miami’s sixth-round rookie. Armstrong fits the prototype for length and style, but he was worked over in the New England game by Julian Edelman (hardly a bad look).

Armstrong will compete for time on the perimeter this year and continue to serve as a core special teamer.

Armstrong’s Projected 2019 Action: Depth

Torry McTyer – $645 K

McTyer’s numbers look worse than his actual performance. He was whipped consistently, starting with the beat down in Foxboro, but his good coverage was beat by better throws in the Chicago game.

There’s upside with McTyer, but he needs to show it in 2019 if he wants to have a future as a starter in Miami.

McTyer’s Projected 2019 Action: Depth

Jomal Wiltz – Not yet announced (Camp Minimum)

Wiltz was drafted by the Eagles in 2017 and later migrated to the New England practice squad in 2018. Playing under current Dolphins Cornerbacks Coach Josh Boyer, Wiltz has a head start on the new defensive scheme and techniques.

The most interesting aspect of Wiltz’s acquisition, he’s just 5’10’’ 180 pounds – an outlier for Miami’s prototype at the position.

Wiltz’s Projected 2019 Action: Cut/Practice Squad

Pending Free Agents – 

None

2019 Cornerback Free Agent Market:

Mandatory Credit: Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

With McCain locked up and Howard due next, Miami may have to eschew buying its number-two corner. The need is glaring, but the market is lacking. Morris Claiborne, Pierre Desir, and Bradley Roby are the bells of the ball and will be out of Miami’s price range should they hit the market.

There have been two free agent themes presented in this series: 1.) Filling the Foxboro-to-Miami pipeline and, 2.) Reclamation projects.

Jason Verrett qualifies for the second bullet-point – he’s a hell of a player but his medical history is alarming. Eric Rowe is a free agent and falls into both categories. He spent three years with the Patriots but only played in 21 games during that stretch.

Rowe is 6’1’’ with the 205-pound frame to match. Verrett is just 5’10’’ and 188 pounds, but he’s an elite play maker (when healthy).

Miami has been linked to Ronald Darby in recent years. He shakes free from Philadelphia and a poor medical history could significantly reduce his cost.

2019 Cornerback Draft Class:

Cornerback is in play for the 13th pick. DeAndre Baker (Georgia), Byron Murphy (Washington), and Greedy Williams (LSU) head the class at the position.

Baker is feisty and superb in man coverage though he does lack long-speed. Murphy is rail-thin (175 pounds) and his lack of interest in run support will turn the Miami staff off. Williams’ effort has been called into question by some. If that’s true, he will be off Miami’s board altogether as they preach the love of the game.

Penn State’s Amani Oruwariye is an option in the second-round. He first the prototype, he’s ultra-competitive and excels in both press and zone.

Temple’s Rock Ya-Sin plays with the temperament of an alpha dog. His match-ups with Deebo Samuel at the Senior Bowl were the must-see events of the week.

The local product, Michael Jackson from the U, excels in man coverage – he’s a fit.

2019 Cornerback Prediction:

It’s pretty apparent from the free agent and draft classes where the more attractive options lie for the ‘Phins to address this need. Signing a bargain player to compete, and drafting a rookie relatively high should bolster this position into a strength in 2019.

Minkah Fitzpatrick’s official capacity will be as a safety, but he’s going to match-up where the staff sees fit. He’s the best option to cover a detached tight end and he’s probably the best slot cover guy Miami has. We’ll cover him on tomorrow’s podcast and column.

CB #1 – Xavien Howard
CB #2 – Rookie (Baker, Ya-Sin, Jackson)
Slot – Bobby McCain
Slot Backup – Jalen Davis
Depth – Cornell Armstrong
Depth – Torry McTyer / FA (Eric Rowe)
Depth – Cordrea Tankersley (beginning on PUP)

Tomorrow: Safeties

@WingfieldNFL

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NFL Draft

Fits and Starts of the 2019 NFL Draft–Jarrett Stidham

Shawn Digity

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USA Today
A shot of Jarrett Stidham during the Senior Bowl in January. Image courtesy of USA Today

Which 2019 NFL Draft quarterbacks fit for the Miami Dolphins, which ones could start, and which ones aren’t on the table?

Let’s dive into the first installment of Fits and Starts with Auburn’s Jarrett Stidham.

2019 NFL Draft quarterbacks and Fits and Starts intro

I hope you’re enjoying all the Kyler Murray talk; it’s not going anywhere for the next two months. So, with all the hype surrounding the Heisman winner and his decision to play in the NFL over the MLB, it makes sense that Murray shot up the draft boards in rapid fashion.

Murray has been connected with the Miami Dolphins, and it makes sense. The Dolphins need a quarterback to lead the franchise into the future, especially with the start of the Brian Flores era.

But what happens if the Dolphins can’t get Kyler Murrayin the 2019 Draft? Let’s take that a step further. What if the Dolphins don’t get any of the QBs that are pegged to go in the first round? Dwayne HaskinsDrew LockDaniel Jones, along with Murray, are all in the conversation to go off the board in the first round.

The 2019 QB class hasn’t exactly been lauded for its talent, but that doesn’t mean its totally devoid of untapped potential on Days 2 and 3. There are some diamonds in the rough and some could be on the Dolphins’ radar come April. The Fits and Starts mini-series will be focusing on these overshadowed mid-round prospects and who could fit into a role with the Miami Dolphins.

Let’s get into the first name on the list: Jarrett Stidham.

Jarrett Stidham and his NFL Future

The first quarterback on the docket is Auburn’s Jarrett Stidham. He’s an enigmatic player. He was in the conversation last draft season (before he returned to Auburn) to go in the second round. He was also talked about as a dark-horse Heisman candidate before the college season started.

His junior season didn’t go exactly as scripted, though. Jarrett Stidham had an up-and-down season, and his draft stock has been all over the place, consequently. He’s polarizing in the Twitter Draft realm with many draftniks either loving or hating him. I predict that he’ll go in the third round, but I could see the need for the position pushing him into the second round.

In a lot of ways, I would compare Jarrett Stidham to Ryan Tannehill. With that being said, he’s a poor man’s Tannehill. He’s not as athletic and I wouldn’t put his arm strength or accuracy on the same level, but there are comparisons that can be drawn.

Jarrett Stidham Mini-Report

He has some starter qualities, and he’s very raw in that regard. He also did not get a lot of help from his receivers during the 2018 season. I saw a lot of dropped passes that should’ve been “gimmes”. Jarrett Stidham has a moderately high ceiling, I would say. He’s extremely rough around the edges, but I can see him becoming successful in the NFL; it’ll come with many growing pains, albeit.

He also has some accuracy issues from a lot of the film I’ve watched of him. He’ll make some unbelievable down-the-field bombs, but also make some passes that are too high, too inside or too outside. Many passes were underthrown and I saw plays where WRs had to turn and play some defense. The accuracy is a roller coaster, and that’s something that is hard to improve at the next level; accuracy is more a God-given ability than it is a teachable skill.

Something else that I wasn’t wild about was how Stidham reacted to chaos and pressure. When the line collapsed, I saw some ugly escapes. Those ugly escapes will be ugly sacks in the NFL. I saw flashes of decent pocket presence, but like many of Stidham’s qualities, they were inconsistent.

That’s one of the best words I would use to describe Jarrett Stidham: inconsistent. Sometimes he’s good, sometimes he’s bad. Sometimes he’ll thread the needle for a 40-yard touchdown, sometimes he’ll undercut a route. But if the inconsistency is his biggest issue, which I believe it is, then I’m intrigued by his prospects at the next level with some next-level coaching.

At the End of the Day

So, if the Dolphins drafted Jarrett Stidham, it’d likely be on Day 2 and in the second round with the 48th pick. While the Dolphins are rebuilding, I could see them using a popular draft philosophy of taking a quarterback every year until one hits. If that’s the case, then Stidham could very well be a target if the Dolphins decide to address a bigger need or BPA with the 13th pick.

This could be a way for the Dolphins to hedge their bets while keeping an eye on the 2020 quarterbacks. Akin to the Redskins taking both RGIII and Kirk Cousins in the same draft in 2012, the Dolphins could take a flier on a mid-round quarterback and see what he could do in some games under the guidance of a veteran.

While I wouldn’t be upset by the pick, the Miami Dolphins would be wise to stay away from Jarrett Stidham, bottom line. I say that not because of Stidham’s shortcomings or upside but because of where the Miami Dolphins franchise finds itself.

If Jarrett Stidham goes out and has a decent showing in some live action during his rookie season, then that could affect the draft strategy regarding the 2020 class of quarterbacks.

I don’t want the Dolphins to keep waiting and waiting for someone to slowly develop as they did with Ryan Tannehill. Stidham is in a similar mold, looking at his tools and raw potential. I’m not sure how long it would take for Stidham develop, but I could see it turning into a situation where he takes a few steps forward every season.

Jarrett Stidham could be a quarterback that Chris Grier likes, but I would have a hard time believing that he’s a prospect that he would love–and that’s not what the Miami Dolphins need to right the ship.

 

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