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Miami Dolphins

Dolphins vs Patriots – Week 14 Preview

Travis Wingfield

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Who: Dolphins (6-6) vs. Patriots (9-3)
When: December 9 – 1:00 East
Where: Hard Rock Stadium – Miami Gardens, FL
Weather: 80 degrees, 81% humidity, 60% chance rain, thunderstorms, 19 MPH wind
Vegas Slant: Patriots -8

Patriots Off-Season Changes

Dolphins-Patriots

If all goes according to plan for the Patriots, Sunday will mark the team’s 10th consecutive division title – an NFL record. It’s fitting that Bill Belichick’s squad can put the AFC East to bed in a building that has provided the biggest obstacle to the two-decade reign of the Patriots.

For Miami’s 2018 season to remain relevant, the Dolphins will have to register the fifth win in the last six years, at home, over New England. Fresh off a tightly contested victory over a fellow AFC East rival, the Dolphins know they’ll have to bring their A-game.

Asked about defending Josh Allen compared to Tom Brady post-game, Jerome Baker simply said, “Tom [is] Tom.” The respect for the legendary quarterback among the Dolphins’ defensive players is unanimous.

Though Brady is experiencing something of a decline this season, it would be foolish to expect this iteration of the Miami defense to put the screws to the five-time Super Bowl Champion.

Prior to their annual pilgrimage south last season, Belichick ran practices inside a controlled environment with the heat blasting in. This year, however, the Pats will practice outside in the 32-degree frosty Foxboro weather.

Patriots Scheme
Offense:

Pigeonholing this Patriots attack is perhaps the most disingenuous act a scout, writer, or anyone involved in football can do. Traditionally, the deployment of personnel and play calling tends to vary from week-to-week.

Sep 30, 2018; Foxborough, MA, USA; Miami Dolphins cornerback Bobby McCain (28) intercepts a pass intended for New England Patriots wide receiver Phillip Dorsett (13) in the first half at Gillette Stadium. The Patriots defeated Miami 38-7. Mandatory Credit: David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports

This Pats team might be different than those we’ve grown accustomed to, however. What hasn’t changed, is Belichick’s penchant for zigging while the rest of the league zags. In the new NFL, full of spread offenses and 50 passes per game, New England is throwing it back to 1998 in a way that would make Jon Gruden jealous.

New England uses 21-personnel second most of any team in football. With more balance than perhaps ever before, the Patriots offense presents challenges that the Miami defense has not been able to deal with dating back to this pre-season.

Shrouded in disguise and mystery, the Patriots offense wants to accomplish two things: run the football successfully and take the underneath options that are afforded by today’s NFL mandate.

Defense:

As they are want to do, New England finds success in ways other teams can’t comprehend. Every good defense in the NFL unleashes an elite pass rusher, but not the Pats. Driven by smart, instinctive players in the back-seven, New England puts the clamps on opposing offenses when things become condensed in the red zone.

Matt Patricia is gone, but the scheme won’t deviate a whole lot from what Belichick has always done. The Pats defense will mix coverages, press receivers at the line-of-scrimmage and take away the best player on the opposing offense.

Pressure packages are few and far between, but Trey Flowers and company are disciplined in their rush schemes and find ways to create pressure with or without committing an extra body to bring pressure.

Combo and hybrid coverages are executed as well as any team in the league which, conveniently for New England, is the best way to beat Ryan Tannehill.

Tannehill must identify the Patriots ever-changing defensive fronts and get into the correct play at the line of scrimmage. In the first meeting back in September, Miami’s answer for the Patriots dropping seven or eight into coverage was deep, low-percentage shots.

It would behoove the Dolphins to work the middle, intermediate portions of the field – preferably with receivers and tight ends that offer size over speed.

The Players
Offense:

On yesterday’s Locked on Dolphins podcast, Mark Schofield described the precarious trajectory of Brady’s age-41 season. Brady hit a valley in a loss at Tennessee, but has since climbed into more of a plateau. Brady’s interception rate and passer rating are at their lowest since 2013 while his YPA hasn’t dipped this much since 2015.

James Devlin’s two touchdowns on Sunday provide a variety of issues for this Dolphins defense. His versatility, along with Sony Michel (112 yards in the first meeting) might make the running game Miami’s primary focus.

New England’s offensive line is healthy and playing at a high level. Dante Scarnecchia’s group surrendered just six pressures in Sunday’s win – five of which were mere hurries. The Pats interior is perhaps the best trio in football, but the tackles are both susceptible to the match-ups they will face Sunday.

Miami MUST win the Cam Wake v. Marcus Cannon and Robert Quinn v. Trent Brown match-ups.

Rob Gronkowski is more name than production at this stage. He has been slowed by a variety of injuries, taking away the most valuable asset Brady has come to know since Randy Moss.

Josh Gordon is Pro Football Focus’ 35th ranked receiver and Julian Edelman is 47th. Gordon is the big-play threat averaging 17 yards per catch while Edelman eats up the underneath coverage at 11.4 YPC. If Xavien Howard can’t play, Gordon could have a breakout showing.

Defense:

Devin McCourty has been the straw that stirs the New England drink for nearly a decade. He exemplifies that message of fundamental football in New England with just three missed tackles the entire season.

Sep 30, 2018; Foxborough, MA, USA; Miami Dolphins quarterback Ryan Tannehill (17) looks to pass against the New England Patriots in the second half at Gillette Stadium. The Patriots defeated Miami 38-7. Mandatory Credit: David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports

Patrick Chung and Duron Harmon round out the trio of the Patriots’ dime package at the position – Harmon allows a reception into his coverage area every 32.8 snaps.

Cornerback Stephone Gilmore has been worth every penny of his free-agent contract signed prior to the 2017 season. Quarterbacks targeting Gilmore have a passer rating of just 72.3 on the season.

Lawrence Guy has been a force this year with the 12th highest run-stop percentage among interior linemen. 20 of his 29 tackles have been within two yards of the line-of-scrimmage. Guy and Malcolm Brown make up a formidable tandem up front for New England’s multiple defensive fronts.

Trey Flowers is the Pats’ premiere edge rusher. Though Adrian Clayborn’s Pass Rush Productivity is higher (8.2%), Flowers leads the team with six sacks.

New England uses linebackers sparingly, but the two top choices are Kyle Van Noy (727 snaps) and Dont’a Hightower (572 snaps). They rank 58th and 62nd, respectively, according to PFF.

The Medical:

The Concerns:

Whether it was Carolina and Baltimore in the pre-season, or the Patriots back in September, the use of a fullback creates a multitude of problems for this Dolphins wide-9 scheme. Sony Michel had clear lanes to run through the last meeting and the inability to match up with the Patriots heavy-personnel raises concerns.

Miami had an advantage on the Patriots receivers with Xavien Howard in the line-up – but his highly questionable status for Sunday should strike fear in Dolphins Fans.

The Opportunities:

No longer an oddity, but rather a regularity, the Pats don’t like going to Miami. The change in climate calls for a 50-degree swing from Boston to Miami. If the Dolphins can establish a running game, they could pull the upset.

Miami must come up with an entirely new plan from the one devised back in the September meeting. Involving the tight ends, Devante Parker and even Brice Butler attacking between the numbers is the best way to soften up the Patriot defense.

This may sound like a given, but Miami’s offense has to convert red zone opportunities at a better rate than New England.

The Projected Result:

Everything about this game (from a match-up standpoint) points to the Patriots. The ability to attack the suspect linebacker-play with 21 or 12-personnel, the potential absence of Howard, things don’t look great for Miami.

On the other side of the ledger, the Miami meltdowns are a very real element for Brady and the Pats. Brady is 7-9 as a starter in Miami and, with a trip to Pittsburgh on deck, New England has bigger fish to fry than the swimming mammals of South Florida.

Adam Gase’s teams compete at Hard Rock Stadium regardless of the completion. There is a lot of bad blood between these teams and Miami always gets up for what amounts to the team’s annual “Super Bowl.”

The spread should be in the double digits, but history favors Miami and pushes it down to a one-score affair (-8). Miami covers that spread and has a chance to win the game late, but this one-score game tilts in favor of the road team.

Patriots 27
Dolphins 20

@WingfieldNFL

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    Melody

    December 6, 2018 at 8:55 am

    Good stuff as always. Dolphins have struggled in the redzone this year both on offense and defense. They have to come up with a backup plan if Howard can’t play. McTyer is not the answer. I’m not sure what the issues are with Maurice Smith but he does bring versatility to the secondary.

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Miami Dolphins

Fins Fall to Rivals, Officials – Dolphins Jets Week 14 Recap

Travis Wingfield

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Dolphins, Jets, officials all struggle Sunday in a walk-off winner for the home team

The decision to reverse an uncalled defensive pass interference on Cornerback Nik Needham is the story from an otherwise sloppy, forgettable game between two of the NFL’s oldest rivals. Yet, that call wasn’t even the most egregious decision adjudicated Sunday at the Meadowlands.

 

Stat Dolphins Jets
Total Yards 362 374
Rushing 122 112
Passing 240 262
3rd / 4thDown 4/13 (30.8%) 5/14 (35.7%)
Penalties 5 (48 yards) 5 (88 yards)
Sacks For 1 2
TOP 30:06 29:54

 

One of the just two touchdowns scored by either team was incorrectly ruled as such. Overturning an incompletion in which Demaryius Thomas failed to complete the catch on the way to the ground — because of a Needham pass break up — gave the Jets an extra four points and, ultimately, a victory.

The foul on Needham was confirmed as the correct decision by the league. It probably was, but it bailed the undeserving Jets out of a certain loss. New York was stuck in 3rd and 18 from its own 44-yard-line after Andrew Van Ginkel’s first career sack. With only 60 seconds remaining, a reception there puts the Jets into a long field situation, at best. Instead, New York were awarded a fresh set of downs and would inch closer before a 44-yard winner from Sam Ficken.

The Dolphins had many chances to overcome the hometown help, but failed to do so repeatedly. Stunningly short-handed on the offensive side (each of Miami’s top four wide receivers were out for one reason or another) Ryan Fitzpatrick couldn’t get it going on four separate trips inside the Jets 10-yard-line.

Miami entered the week as the third best red zone outfit, but followed up last week’s perfect 4-for-4 showing with a goose egg in the game’s most critical area.

With drives spanning 92, 67, 65, 62, 45, 36, and 56 yards, Miami’s ability to move the ball was rather astonishing. If we’re talking about the starting lineup the team entered training camp with, the Dolphins were on running backs number 4 and 5 Sunday, and wide receivers 5-7. One of those receivers arrive in Miami this past Thursday.

Concussions knocked Devante Parker and Albert Wilson out of the game. Michael Deiter played, but didn’t start the game, and Patrick Laird and Myles Gaskin are making a case for more significant roles in 2020.

The defense executed a bend-but-don’t-break game plan. New York put together drives of 74, 77, 62, 51 and 49 yards, but Miami also forced three punts (two three-and-outs), a turnover-on-downs, and picked off Sam Darnold for the eighth time in four career head-to-head games.

For the second time this season, Miami and its band of misfits outplayed a New York roster that was assembled for playoff contention. This time, however, Miami came up short, and it’s probably for the best. The Dolphins retain the fourth position in the 2020 NFL Draft, where a victory would have seen Miami slide all the back to the eighth spot at the close of week 14 business.

Let’s get to the individuals.

Quarterbacks

This was the worst game Ryan Fitzpatrick played in several weeks, even after it started off so strongly. Fitzpatrick was constantly under duress, and was forced to create improvisational success.

Fitzpatrick led the way in rushing with 65 yards on the ground. That brings his season total to 186 yards, just 15 behind the team’s leader in Mark Walton. Fitzpatrick aside, Miami’s three leading rushers on the season won’t contribute another yard (Kenyan Drake, Kalen Ballage and Walton) for the Dolphins this season.

Accounting for 16 of the offense’s 22 touchdowns, the only things Fitzpatrick isn’t doing are cooking the meals and flying the plane. Still, this was not his best showing. He was late and off-target on several occasions, and threw a number of interceptable passes.

The creativity off-script kept Miami in the game, just as did Fitzpatrick’s ability to quickly process the coverage, and make the corresponding play. He recognizes man coverage and a free rusher well enough to make the opposition pay with his legs, and he’s very deadly against zone looks. More on this in the wide receivers portion.

Running Backs

Patrick Laird has been a welcomed shot in the arm to a running game that’s dead on the vine. Miami’s run blocking leaves plenty to be desired, but The Intern (A.K.A. White Lightning) put together 48 yards on the ground. But he was also in the air, and everywhere, to the tune of 38 receiving yards, including an ankle-breaking sluggo route.

That was the only set of ankles Laird broke — quite literally.

Myles Gaskin didn’t have the production this week, but he showed the patience, vision and burst that made him a four-time 1,200-yard rusher at Washington. He’s a viable option next year as a change-of-pace back that can correctly identify the lanes on outside or inside zone.

Wide Receivers and Tight Ends

Devante Parker helps Fitzpatrick beat man coverage with his leaping and big-play ability, which was on display for Parker’s second and final catch of the game. When Fitzpatrick can identify his matchups, it makes the passing game dangerous against any coverage. But when the offense is down so many players, the matchups become few-and-far between.

Parker would leave the game after his head slammed to the turf. Devante tried to shake it off, but he was clearly woozy, and would not return.

Allen Hurns is the usual security blanket for Fitzpatrick against zone coverage, and he made a number of big plays despite playing through an ailment of his own. Hurns piled up 68 yards on five catches.

Isaiah Ford received an unexpected opportunity this week and ran with it. He made some noise after the catch and picked up 92 yards on six receptions. He displayed strong hands and toughness on a number of bang-bang receptions.

Mike Gesicki did not do well to follow up his career-day against the Jets in November, but that was more of a function of New York’s defense. Gesicki ran into brackets throughout the game, and Fitzpatrick missed him the one time he uncovered in the end zone.

Offensive Line

Michael Deiter saw his 100% snap record broken Sunday by losing the starting job to Keaton Sutherland. Sutherland had some moments in the run game; he shows a penchant for engaging, turning and sealing off some nice gaps in the run game.

Deiter returned to the lineup and got some work late, including a big hold that momentarily backed Miami out of field goal range.

Jesse Davis had his best game at right tackle last week, and did not put together back-to-back performances. He struggled once again to wall off the edge in the passing game, but he did seal the edge in the ground game a few times.

Evan Boehm was back in at right guard for Shaq Calhoun, but he had his worst game as a Dolphin. Boehm was constantly over-powered or beaten with quickness.

The same was true of Daniel Kilgore at center. Kilgore is asked to reach a lot and it’s a 50/50 proposition if he’s going to get there on any given play.

Defensive Line

Just as the run game got going for the first time since October, Miami had its best run-defense day of the year. The Jets ran the ball 32 times for an average of 3.5 yards per rush.

Davon Godchaux was at the forefront of the quality day from the front. He continues to overpower guards and centers in one-on-one situations and hold the point against doubles. He also walked the Jets guards into the quarterback a couple of times.

Christian Wilkins was in on five stops, but had a lot of bad reps getting rolled out of the gap.

Gerald Willis was involved a few times putting together his best showing in his young Dolphins career. He added his first QB hit.

Charles Harris still isn’t playing very much, but he made a play possible for Vince Biegel with a strong edge forcing the split zone tight end into the ball carrier.

Linebackers

Raekwon McMillan was back to doing his thing in this game. McMillan played his best, fastest game in a number of weeks. He constantly timed up the Jets snaps and knifed into the backfield to blow up a lead block, or go directly to the source and get the ball carrier.

Jerome Baker was off to a miserable start, but really turned things around in the second half. He took after McMillan with the aggressive, reckless abandon flying in against the run and blowing up blocks.

Vince Biegel has been the most pleasant surprise to this Dolphins team. He was in on nine stops, closed down the backside on runs away from him, and held the point on runs in his direction.

Andrew Van Ginkel showed the type of rush traits this scheme calls for on his first career sack. He worked up field, engaged the blocker, kept his eyes on the quarterback, and came off to get Sam Darnold to the ground when he tried to escape.

Defensive Backs

Nik Needham was involved on two plays that arguably proved to be the difference in the game, which is unfortunate because he was excellent otherwise. Needham was involved as a tackler, he undercut routes for big break ups on third down, and he played the ball extremely well.

Steven Parker made two huge plays in this game — one for the Dolphins, and one for the Jets. He picked off Darnold driving out of his deep half position for Miami’s lone takeaway. He also inexplicably gambled on the play that put the Jets in position for a game-winning field goal.

Ken Webster had a difficult day. The Jets went after Webster relentless and he was regularly a step late.

Jomal Wiltz continues to tackle efficiently, but he too was often a step late in coverage. The same was true of Ryan Lewis.

Recap

The passion Brian Flores showed at the end of the game is difficult to ignore. Far be it from me to compare myself to Coach, but passion has fueled the entire Locked On Dolphins venture and watching that man bear his heart and soul into this is the most admirable trait I’ve seen in a Dolphins Head Coach since the Don.

Flores cares. This stuff matters to him. It effects his pride and his spirit with the Dolphins lose games, and that personality is rubbing off on his team. This Miami Dolphins squad, the one that is comprised of nearly 50% undrafted free agents — because of shipping off or losing almost half the original starters to injury — is a two-point conversion and botched officiating away from a 5-4 record post-bye.

There are still a lot of areas to fix on this roster, especially to fully execute the defensive vision of Flores, but once he gets those parts, this will be a fun team to watch.

The Dolphins are already tough, smart, and disciplined. The last piece of that puzzle is some more talent.

With 14 draft picks (6 in the top 60) and nearly $130 million in cap space, those final ingredients will arrive in March and April.

@WingfieldNFL

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Miami Dolphins

The Miami Dolphins had a huge week of roster moves

Shawn Digity

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Isaiah Prince Miami Dolphins
Image courtesy of USA Today Sports

MIAMI (Locked On Dolphins) – Miami Dolphins make a myriad of roster moves

The Miami Dolphins made another handful of roster moves, which has been par for the course this year.

The Miami Dolphins have not been shy about their presence on the waiver wire. And leading into Week 14’s games, the team has once again claimed several new players to add into the mix.

Let’s address the moves in chronological order.

The first flurry of transactions included claiming and being awarded wide receiver Trevor Davis from the Oakland Raiders and running back Zach Zenner from the Arizona Cardinals.

The Green Bay Packers drafted Davis in the fifth round of 2016’s draft out of California, and he spent three seasons with the Packers before being traded to the Raiders for a 2020 sixth-round pick.

The Raiders waived Davis earlier this month.

Zenner, on the other hand, went undrafted in 2015, coming out of South Dakota State. He spent a bulk of his five-year career with the Detroit Lions but also spent time with the New Orleans Saints and Cardinals.

In the corresponding moves, running back Kalen Ballage was added to the Injured Reserve list, thus ending his season, and safety Montre Hartage was waived.

The Miami Dolphins Twitter account confirmed these transactions (and all others mentioned).

The league ratified the moves on December 3.

On December 4, the Miami Dolphins continued their roster churning with another claim and a practice-squad poach.

The team signed interior offensive lineman Evan Brown from the New York Giants practice squad.

Brown is in the midst of his second season in the NFL after the Giants originally signed him an undrafted free agent in 2018.

The Dolphins were also awarded wide receiver Mack Hollins from the Philadelphia Eagles.

Hollins spent his college career at the University of North Carolina before the Eagles drafted him the 2017 Draft’s fourth round.

To make room for Brown and Hollins, cornerback Ken Crawley, who was awarded to the Dolphins off the waivers at the end of October, and interior offensive lineman Chris Reed were waived.

The most recent move occurred on December 5 and included the release of sixth-round rookie offensive tackle Isaiah Prince.

The Dolphins drafted Prince out of Ohio State.

This move was made to clear a spot for another claimed player, Zach Sieler, from the Baltimore Ravens.

Sieler is a defensive tackle and was initially taken by the Ravens in the seventh round of the 2018 Draft.

All these moves, which featured four players being claimed and won off the waiver wire, are apropos of the Dolphins’ 2019 season.

The team has scoured the waiver wire every week with a fine-tooth comb, looking for hidden gems that could be developmental investments.

 

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Dolphins Jets Week 14 Preview

Travis Wingfield

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Dolphins seek to make it five straight over rival New York

Who: Dolphins (3-9) at Jets (4-8)
When: Sunday December 8, 1:00 East
Where: MetLife Stadium — East Rutherford, NJ
Weather: 42 degrees, partly cloudy
Vegas Slant: Dolphins +5.5

DolphinsJets

In the most Adam Gase event imaginable, the Jets followed up a three-game winning streak with an embarrassing, resounding defeat at the previously winless Bengals. Gase has been assured of job security until at least opening day 2020, but another run of losses to close out the season might change that thought.

The very fact that the Dolphins can leapfrog the Jets in the AFC East standings with a win — which would count for back-to-back sweeps of the Jets — is an indictment on the Gase program in New York. The Dolphins, a team made-up of 42% undrafted free agents, are within striking distance of a team that planned the offseason around the idea that they were a playoff outfit.

For the Dolphins, a victory over 8.5-point favorite Philadelphia Sunday has folks thinking Miami could rattle off a win streak down the stretch. A win could cost the Fins several spots in the draft next April, and three more December victories will take Miami out of the top 10 altogether.

With the once promising quarterback class inching closer to last year’s futile crop, maybe the best thing for Miami is to prove that they can beat these bad teams with their own short-handed roster.

Brian Flores has already won his rookie season with three victories. Miami’s preseason win-total projection from the books in Vegas was 4.5, and that was before the Laremy Tunsil and Minkah Fitzpatrick trades. With three victories to his credit, Flores has already exceeded expectations by developing talent, getting resurgence from several veterans, and improving this team nearly across the board from the first month of the season.

The key to a potential winning streak, is to do it convincingly. If Miami whips up on the Jets, Giants and Bengals, then Miami will be an offseason destination that attracts free agents. It will prove that Flores is capable of going 6-10 with indisputably the NFL’s worst roster, and provide the fan base with oodles of hope heading into the 2020 season.

The Scheme:

Offense:

This portion of the preview serves as a pleasant reminder that we don’t have to dissect Gase’s system any longer — at least not for the home team. The story is the same; minimal utilization of analytics, a conservative approach that replaces creativity in the run game with screen passes, and an offense that constantly throws the football short of the sticks.

All offseason, Gase talked about the abilities of Sam Darnold and how his presence afforded the coach to be more aggressive. Still, the Jets offense ranks near the bottom in air-yards, and every major offensive category.

Gase’s run scheme became more diverse in 2018 when the Phins hired Eric Studesville to coordinate the rushing attack, but with Le’Veon Bell in New York, Gase reverts back to exclusive zone concepts. Plenty of outside zone, complemented by split-zone, the Jets have operated in two-back sets this year, but mainly in short-yardage. That’s also the situation where the Jets unveil some gap-scheme runs.

The passing game will feature a lot of three-by-one alignments where the Jets will try to capitalize on backside isolation, and three-man combinations to the play-side that are designed to free up one receiver.

Late last season, Gase started deploying more 12-personnel, but was almost exclusively an 11-personnel offense prior to the bye week. This year, with the Jets, he’s back to the nearly-exclusive 11-personnel approach using one back and one tight end on 80% of the Jets snaps.

The Jets rank 31st in total offense, 30th in rushing, 31st in passing, and 28th in scoring offense.

Defense:

Gregg Williams might be the only NFL personality more stubborn than Gase. Operating primarily from a traditional 3-4 base, the Jets will often leave two or three linebackers on the field regardless of the offensive personnel.

The way Williams diversifies his proverbial portfolio comes through pressure packages. He’s going to blitz, blitz, and then blitz some more. Sending an extra rusher at a 38.4%-clip, only the Ravens, Browns, Cardinals and Bucs blitz more than Williams. He’ll dial up zero-pressure (no safety help), and use his best player (Jamal Adams) in a variety of roles down around the line-of-scrimmage.

Using edge pressure will create one-on-one opportunities inside for Quinnen Williams. Jordan Jenkins gets plenty of opportunities as the overhang, outside backer in odd fronts.

The Jets rank 6th in total defense, 1st in rushing, 19th in passing, and 19th in scoring defense.

The Players:

Offense:

Sam Darnold entered the NFL with the label of turnover prone quarterback. With 25 career interceptions and 10 fumbles, Darnold averages 1.59 potential turnovers per game. Seven of those interceptions came against the Dolphins, including an egregious decision inside the five-yard-line that led to a Jomal Wiltz interception in the first meeting this season.

Still, Darnold offers a sharp post-snap mind. Despite seeing ghosts against this same defensive scheme as Miami in that notorious Monday night New England game (with the opposite end of the spectrum from a talent standpoint), Darnold’s next good game against Miami will be his first. He’ll have to displace the Miami defenders with his eyes and body-positioning in the pocket, something he’s more than capable of doing. The Dolphins inability to create pressure all year should serve the Jets offense well.

The Jets are one of the few offensive lines in the league that makes Miami look decent up front. Adding three, past-their-prime veterans to the group was the most Adam Gase special, and he’s paid the price. Kelechi Osemele was cut after the team tried to force him to play through a serious shoulder injury, and Ryan Kalil and Alex Lewis are proving why they were cut (or about to be cut before a trade) by their former teams. Chuma Edoga is a rookie, so he has an excuse, but Brandon Shell has been a bad tackle for years.

Jamison Crowder had the best day of all Jets receivers last time around, and he figures to be in a position to do the same Sunday. He’s a shifty, savvy route runner from the slot and Miami’s secondary continues to lose players each week.

Defense:

Jamal Adams is New York’s best player, but he’s questionable for this game. Adams is a game-wrecker. He changes the way teams call protection up front, and acts as an additional ‘backer in the run-game. Ryan Fitzpatrick will have to I.D. Adams on every play.

Adams’ counterpart, Marcus Maye, has had a strong 2019 season. Teams are finding little success when targeting him in coverage, but he will miss his fair share of tackles.

Quinnen Williams and Steve McClendon are both mountains in the middle of the Jets defense. Daniel Kilgore is not a good matchup for these two players, and things could get dicey for Miami up the gut. Kilgore has always struggled with power and that pair for the Jets provides plenty of it. Miami will have to double either of these guys to move them off the point.

Rookie Folorunso Fatukasi has been one of the Jets quality acquisitions of the offseason. The 2018 sixth-round pick has been a rotational player, but he’s been among the Jets most efficient run defenders.

Trumaine Johnson and Daryl Roberts make up perhaps the league’s worst perimeter tandem, but Brian Poole has been one of the best in the league in the slot, but he’s in the concussion protocol.

The Medical:

Update Friday

The Opportunities:

It would be foolish to do anything other than going back to the well from last week, or the previous Jets game for that matter. The Jets perimeter corners and linebackers can’t cover, and with a hobbled — if at all — Jamal Adams, Devante Parker and Mike Gesicki are in for big days once more. Keep an eye on Allen Hurns as well. Gregg Williams is going to blitz a lot and Hurns’ ability to uncover quickly inside could be valuable to Ryan Fitzpatrick.

On the other side, getting Darnold to do what he does — turn the ball over — will be the key for Miami. Perhaps this is a chance for the Dolphins pass rush to get healthy, they sacked Darnold three times last go-round.

The Concerns:

The Jets run defense is stout and Miami can’t run the ball on anyone. That’s been the case all year, however, and that one dimensional offense won’t work weekly. Fitzpatrick has done well to protect the ball since the bye week, but poor weather has a way of bringing out the not-so-fun aspect of Fitzmagic.

If Darnold is afforded the opportunity to stand in the pocket and survey the Dolphins defense, it’ll make for a long day. The Jets line and Dolphins pass rush is the antithesis of an immovable object up against an unstoppable force.

The Projected Outcome:

Expect Gase to pull out his best game plan of the year. We thought that might be the case in Miami, but that was a road game, and we all know how Gase teams perform on the road. The Jets last home date was a drubbing of the Oakland Raiders, and Miami’s reliance on the passing game in cold weather could prove problematic.

This game could turn into another shootout with neither pass defense offering much resistance.

Dolphins 28
Jets 30

@WingfieldNFL

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