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What Can We Learn from Miami’s Pre-Draft Meeting History?

Travis Wingfield

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Job interviews are stressful; particularly when they proceed over the course of a four-month period. Once a player declares himself eligible for the NFL’s Annual Selection Meeting it’s a grueling grind up until that triumphant moment when the player his name is finally.

The process includes multiple physical tests putting the player’s athletic prowess and conditioning to the test. It’s the mental strain, however, that might prove most challenging as the prospect will meet with roughly half of the league’s teams. Those meetings feature intense sessions testing a wide range of intellect and social maturity.

Keeping tabs on these meetings is difficult. For every reported meeting there are likely three more instances where a player talks with a team off the record. From Saturdays in the fall, to the 30 official visits granted by the league, the Dolphins will vet somewhere between 300-500 players during this innumerable process.

Going as far back as Chris Grier’s promotion to General Manager, I have gathered the data on players that met with Miami in an official capacity, and which of those players wound up on Miami’s roster.

The sources for this project are scattered. Walter Football was the primary source, with our own Kevin Dern’s sheet incorporated, and our own due diligence. We’ll start with 2016.

Dolphins 2016 Reported Draft Meetings:

Position / Player School
QB Paxton Lynch Memphis
QB Connor Cook Michigan State
QB Jake Ruddock Michigan
QB Brandon Doughty Western Kentucky
RB Devontae Booker Utah
RB Ezekiel Elliot Ohio State
RB Travis Greene Bowling Green
RB Kenyan Drake Alabama
RB Chris Swain Navy
WR Laquon Treadwell Ole Miss
WR Herb Waters Miami
WR Leonte Carroo Rutgers
WR Daniel Braverman Western Michigan
WR Rashawn Scott Miami
WR Devin Fuller UCLA
WR Robby Anderson Temple
TE Austin Hooper Stanford
iOL Vadal Alexander LSU
iOL Spencer Drango Baylor
iOL Joshua Garnett Stanford
iOL Ted Karras Illinois
iOL Jack Allen Michigan State
iOL Isaac Seumalo Oregon State
OT Germain Ifedi Texas A&M
OT Shone Coleman Auburn
OT Brandon Shell South Carolina
OT Keith Lumpkin Rutgers
OT Rees Odhiambo Boise State
DE Ryan Brown Mississippi State
DE DeForest Buckner Oregon
DE Kevin Dodd Clemson
DE Noah Spence Eastern Kentucky
DE Shilique Calhon Michigan State
DE Shaq Lawson Clemson
DE Emmanuel Ogbah Oklahoma State
DT Vernon Butler LA Tech
DT Trevon Coley FAU
DT Quinton Jefferson Maryland
DT Ufomba Kamalu Miami
DT Greg Milhouse Jr. Campbell
LB Myles Jack UCLA
LB Beniquez Brown Mississippi State
LB Su’a Cravens USC
LB Jordan Jenins Georgia
LB Joe Walker Oregon
LB Deion Jones LSU
LB Dadi Nicolas Virginia Tech
LB Anthony Sarao USC
CB Mackensie Alenxander Clemson
CB William Jackson Houston
CB Eli Apple Ohio State
CB Xavien Howard Baylor
CB James Bradberry Samford
CB Brien Boddy-Calhoun Minnesota
CB Lloyd Carrington Arizona State
CB Richard Leonard FIU
CB Ryan Smith NC State
S Deon Bush Miami
S Kevin Byard Middle Tennessee
S Sean Davis Maryland

 

A pair of third-round picks (Drake, Carroo), a second-rounder (Howard), a seventh-rounder (Doughty) and an undrafted free agent (Scott) went from pre-draft visit to donning the aqua and orange.

Laremy Tunsil never had an official meeting — probably because he was a presumed top-five pick prior to the infamous bong mask.

Jakeem Grant, Jordan Lucas, and Thomas Duarte never met with the ‘Phins but were each picks in rounds 6-7.

The Dolphins traded up for Xavien Howard in the second round and did the same with Leonte Carroo in the third.

Scott was the only one of the 12 UDFA signings that met with Miami pre-draft.

Dolphins 2017 Reported Draft Meetings:

Position/Player School
QB Chad Kelly Ole Miss
QB Brad Kaaya Miami
QB Alex Torgersen Penn
RB Brandon Ratcliff Louisville
RB Shane Smith San Jose State
RB Shaquille Cooper Fort Hayes State
RB Jakhari Gore FIU
WR Ryan Switzer North Carolina
WR Mack Hollins North Carolina
WR Travis Rudolph Florida State
WR Dede Westbrook Oklahoma
WR Trent Taylor LSU
WR Teldrick Morgan Maryland
WR Derrick Griffin Texas Southern
WR Josh Malone Tennessee
WR Damore’ea Stringfellow Mississippi State
WR Stacey Coley Miami
WR Nicholas Norris Connecticut
WR Malcolm Lewis Miami
WR Jesus Wilson Florida State
WR JoJo Natson Akron
TE OJ Howard Alabama
TE David Njoku Miami
TE Darrell Daniels Washington
TE Jonnu Smith FIU
TE Andrew Avgi Western Oregon
TE Evan Engram Ole Miss
TE Michael Roberts Toledo
TE Anthony Auclair Laval
iOL Dan Feeney Indiana
iOL Forrest Lamp Western Kentucky
iOL Isaac Asiata Utah
iOL Danny Isadora Miami
iOL Chris Muller Rutgers
iOL Ethan Pocic LSU
iOL Kyler Fuller Baylor
iOL Barrett Gouger Vanderbilt
OT Sami Tevi Utah
OT Dan Skipper Arkansas
OT Taylor Moton Western Michigan
DE Taco Charlton Michigan
DE Daeshon Hall Texas A&M
DE Jordan Willis Kansas State
DE Avery Moss Youngstown
DE Trey Hendrickson FAU
DE Charles Harris Missouri
DE Bryan Cox Jr. Florida
DE Dietrich Wise Arkansas
DT Jonathan Allen Alabam
DT Malik McDowell Michigan State
DT Chris Wormley Michigan
DT Eddie Vanderdoes UCLA
DT Charles Walker Oklahoma
DT Stevie Tu’ikolovatu USC
DT Josh Banks Wake Forrest
DT Averee Robinson Temple
DT Pat Richard Maine
DE Samson Kafovalu Colorado
DT Winston Craig Richmond
DT Monty Nelson North Carolina State
LB Tyus Bowser Houston
LB Haason Reddick Temple
LB TJ Watt Wisconsin
LB Raekwon McMillan Ohio State
LB Alex Anzalone Florida
LB Jarrad Davis Florida
LB Dylan Cole Missouri State
LB Anthony Walker Northwestern
LB Elijiah Lee Kansas State
LB Vince Biegel Wisconsin
LB Jordan Herdman South Florida
LB Praise Martin-Oguike Temple
LB Chase Allen Southern Illinois
LB Carroll Phillips Illinois
CB Kevin King Washington
CB Jalen Tabor Florida
CB Gareon Conley Ohio State
CB Chidobe Awuzie Colorado
CB Fabian Moreau UCLA
CB William Likely Maryland
CB Corn Elder Miami
CB Josh Green Connecticut
CB Desmond King Iowa
CB Adrian Colbert Miami
CB Howard Wilson Houston
CB Jhavon Williams UCONN
CB Shaquill Griffin UCF
S Jabril Peppers Michigan
S Obi Melifonwu UCONN
S Josh Jones NC State
S David Jones Richmond
S Justin Evans Texas A&M
S Marcus Maye Florida
S Rudy Ford Auburn
S Orion Stewart Baylor
S Jamaal Carter Miami
S Marcus Williams Utah
S Tyson Graham South Dakota
S A.J. Leggett West Georgia

 

Miami lands six players from its 2017 prospect meets list. This time the Dolphins’ first-rounder (Harris) was a pre-draft visit; just as were the second-rounder (McMillan), fifth-rounder (Asiata), and three UDFAs (Lewis, Stringfellow, Allen).

Two of Miami’s best picks from this class (fifth and sixth-round DTs Davon Godchaux and Vincent Taylor) did not meet with the Dolphins prior to the draft.

Third-round pick Cordrea Tankersley and seventh-round pick Isaiah Ford did not meet with Miami prior to the draft.

Referring back to 2016’s focus on positions of need, Miami entered this draft with a glaring hole at defensive tackle opposite Ndamukong Suh. The Dolphins hosted 12 DT prospects but went with two that weren’t on that list.

The search for Xavien Howard’s running mate was a priority as the team likely knew Byron Maxwell wasn’t long for the team, while the endless search to find a counter-part for Reshad Jones continued at safety (to fill in for T.J. McDonald during his eight-game suspension).

Miami’s most interesting player visits came at wide receiver. With 14 players in-tow, despite emergence from Devante Parker, Jarvis Landry, and a resurgence from Kenny Stills, Miami’s specific visits were telling regarding Landry’s long-term future. Switzer and Taylor were two of the purest slot options in the entire class.

Dolphins 2018 Reported Draft Visits:

Position/Player School
QB Baker Mayfield Oklahoma
QB Alex McGough FIU
QB Josh Allen Wyoming
QB Josh Rosen UCLA
QB Kurt Benkert Virginia
QB Lamar Jackson Louisville
QB Luke Falk Washington State
QB Mason Rudolph Oklahoma State
RB Sony Michel Georgia
RB Rashad Penny San Diego State
RB Ralph Webb Vanderbilt
RB Mark Walton Miami
RB Kalen Ballage Arizona State
RB Ito Smith Southern Miss
WR Brandon Shed Hobart
WR Calvin Ridley Alabama
WR DaeSean Hamilton Penn State
WR Javon Wims Georgia
WR Jeff Badet Oklahoma
WR Quan Jones Baylor
WR Saeed Blacknail Penn State
TE Chris Herndon Miami
TE Dallas Goedert South Dakota State
TE Hayden Hurst South Carolina
TE Troy Fumagalli Wisconsin
OT Kolton Miller UCLA
OT Mike McGlinchey Notre Dame
OT Nick Gates Nebraska
OT Rick Leonard Florida State
OG Braden Smith Auburn
OG Skyler Philips Idaho State
DE James Crawford Illinois
DE Javon Rolland-Jones Arkansas State
DE Marcell Frazier Missouri
DT Christian LaCouture LSU
DT Josh Banks Wake Forest
DT Joshua Frazier Alabama
DT Kendrick Norton Miami
DT PJ Hall Sam Houston
DT Rashad McIntosh Miami
DT Vita Vea Washington
LB Bobby Jones Northern Illinois
LB Darius Leonard South Carolina State
LB Fred Warner BYU
LB Ja’Whaun Bentley Purdue
LB Kendall Donnerson Southeast Missouri State
LB Matthew Thomas Florida State
LB Oren Burks Vanderbilt
LB Quentin Poling Ohio
LB Osband Thompson Tuskegee
LB Roquan Smith Georgia
LB Rashaan Evans Alabama
LB Skai Moore South Carolina
LB Trayvon Williams Georgia Southern
LB Uchenna Nwosu USC
CB Chris Lammons South Carolina State
CB Denzel Ward Ohio State
CB Devron Davis UTSA
CB D’Montre Wade Murray State
CB Jonathan Owens Missouri Western
CB Joshua Jackson Iowa
CB Terrell Bonds Tennessee State
CB Tony Brown Alabama
S Trayvon Henderson Hawaii
S Justin Reid Stanford
S Damon Webb Ohio State
S De’Andre Coley Arkansas
S David Jones Richmond

 

Miami drafted only two of the players of their visits list (Kalen Ballage and Quentin Poling). The Dolphins even met with a pair of kickers, neither of which was seventh-round pick Jason Sanders.

Luke Falk and Kendrick Norton wound up on Miami’s roster, but both made stops in separate NFL cities before winding up in South Florida.

The resources dedicated to the linebacker position was the most interesting portion of this story – aside from the quarterbacks. Miami met with 14 linebackers, literally all of the first round prospects at the position, and came away with Jerome Baker in the third-round (not on their list of meetings) and Quentin Poling in the seventh-round.

Miami had the option to draft Lamar Jackson and probably could’ve been more aggressive in pursuing Josh Rosen, but chose to side out on both.

The tight end decision also bears pondering as Miami did not meet with Mike Gesicki, but did have a private workout with Dallas Goedert. Goedert went one pick after Gesicki went off the board to the Dolphins.

Not a single one of Miami’s UDFAs, in 2018, met with Miami prior to the draft.

Draft Date Since 2016 (Chris Grier at GM)

Year Draft Picks Picks from Visits List UDFAs from Visits List Total Players from Visits List
2018 8 2 0 2
2017 7 3 3 6
2016 8 4 1 5
Total 23 8 4 13

 

The rounds of those picks from the visits list is as follows:

 

Round Number of Players from Visits List Selected Since 2016
1 1
2 2
3 2
4 1
5 5
6 0
7 2

 

The biggest takeaway from this study is Miami’s propensity to meet with a lot of players at presumed positions of need. Under Chris Grier, the Dolphins will essentially tell you which position they intend to attack based on the reported visits. By the same token, there appears to be some false flags in the mix as we saw with the 2018 quarterback class.

Here are Miami’s 2019 reported visits:

QB Kyler Murray – Oklahoma
QB Dwayne Haskins – Ohio State
QB Drew Lock – Missouri
QB Daniel Jones – Duke
QB Jarrett Stidham – Auburn
QB Will Grier – West Virginia
QB Brett Rypien – Boise State
QB Jordan Ta’amu – Ole Miss
QB Tyree Jackson – Buffalo
QB Easton Stick – North Dakota State
QB Taylor Cornelius – Oklahoma State
QB Jalen McClendon – Baylor
QB Taryn Christion – South Dakota State
RB Josh Jacobs – Alabama
RB David Montgomery – Iowa State
RB Darrell Henderson – Memphis
RB Elijah Holyfield – Georgia
RB Devine Ozigbo – Nebraska
RB Devin Singletary – Florida Atlantic
RB Tyrone Gray – Miami (local)
RB Travis Homer – Miami (local)
RB Nico Evans – Wyoming
FB Alec Ingold – Wisconsin (30 visit)
FB Rob Ritrovato – Temple
WR Riley Ridley – Georgia
WR Andy Isabella – UMass
WR Emmanuel Hall – Missouri
WR Johnnie Dixon – Ohio State (30 visit)(local)
WR Justin Hobbs – Tulsa
WR Darrell Langham – Miami (local)
WR Juston Christian – Marist
WR Gary Jennings – West Virginia (30 visit)
WR Trenton Irwin – Stanford (30 visit)
WR Marquise Brown – Oklahoma
WR Nyquan Murray – Florida State
TE Kendall Blanton – Missouri
TE Kahale Warring – San Diego State
TE Ravian Pierce – Syracuse (local)
TE Dax Raymond – Utah State
TE Charles Scarff – Delaware
TE Andrew Beck – Texas
TE Trevon Wesco – West Virginia (30 visit)
OT Jawaan Taylor – Florida (30 visit)
OT Andre Dillard – Washington State
OT Koda Martin – Syracuse
OT Aaron Monteiro – Boston College
OT Chidi Okeke – Tennessee State
OT Ryan Pope – San Diego State
OT Max Scharping – Northern Illinois
OT Brandon Hitner – Villanova
OT Jonah Williams – Alabama
OT Yodney Cajuste – West Virginia (30 visit)
OT Tyree St. Louis – Miami (local)
OT Patrick Mekari – Cal (30 visit)
OT Greg Little – Mississippi
OT Oli Udoh – Elon
OG Dru Samia – Oklahoma
OG Chris Lindstrom – Boston College
OG Tyler Bowling – Tulsa
OG Phil Haynes – Wake Forest
OG Bunchy Stallings – Kentucky
OG Louie Csaszar – Villanova
OG Venzell Boulware – Miami (local)
OG Micah Kapoi – Wisconsin
OG Nate Davis – Charlotte
OG Fred Johnson – Florida
OC Chris Gaynor – TCU
OC Lamont Gaillard – Georgia
OC Ryan Anderson – Wake Forest
OC Tyler Gauthier – Miami (local)
OC Nate Trewyn – Wisconsin-Whitewater
DE Nick Bosa – Ohio State
DE Montez Sweat – Mississippi State (30 visit)
DE Jachai Polite – Florida
DE Jaylon Ferguson – Lousiana Tech (30 visit)
DE Charles Omenihu – Texas
DE L.J. Collier – TCU (30 Visit)
DE Zach Allen – Boston College
DE Jordan Brailford – Oklahoma State
DE Immanuel Turner – Louisiana Tech
DE Chase Winovich – Michigan
DE Jalen Jelks – Oregon (30 visit)
DE Oshane Ximines – Old Dominion (30 visit)
DE Maxx Crosby – Eastern Michigan (30 visit)
DE Rashan Gary – Michigan
DE Clelin Ferrell – Clemson
DT Quinnen Williams – Alabama
DT Ed Oliver – Houston
DT Dexter Lawrence – Clemson
DT Jerry Tillery – Notre Dame
DT Armon Watts – Arkansas
DT Terry Breckner – Missouri
DT Jordan Bradford – Louisiana Tech
DT Albert Huggins – Clemson
DT Michael Dogbe – Temple
DT Trysten Hill – UCF (30 visit)
DT Fred Jones – Florida State (local)
DT Gerald Willis – Miami (local)
DT Khairi Clark – Florida (local)
DT Olive Sagapolu – Wisconsin
DT Jeffrey Simmons – Mississippi State (30 visit)
DT Davier Edwards – Colorado
LB Justin Hollins – Oregon (30 visit)
LB Ben Banogu – TCU
LB Sione Takitaki – BYU (30 visit)
LB Joe Dineen – Kansas
LB Mike Smith – Miami (local)
LB Sutton Smith – Northern Illinois
LB Tyree Horton – Grand Valley State (local)
LB Gary Johnson – Texas
LB Ty Summers – TCU
LB Tre Watson – Maryland (30 visit)
LB Te’von Coney – Notre Dame
LB Terrill Hanks – New Mexico State (30 visit)
LB Kaden Elliss – Idaho (30 visit)
LB Jahlani Tavai – Hawaii (30 visit)
LB D’Andre Walker – Georgia
LB Devin Bush – Michigan (30 visit)
LB Ricky Neal Jr. – Northern Iowa
CB Byron Murphy – Washington
CB Greedy Williams – LSU
CB Rock Ya-Sin – Temple
CB Blace Brown – Troy
CB Derrick Baity – Kentucky
CB Ka’dar Hollman – Toledo (30 visit)
CB Sean Bunting – Central Michigan
CB Xavier Crawford – Central Michigan
CB Jhavonte Dean – Miami (local)
CB Montre Hartage – Northwestern
CB Donnie Lewis Jr. – Tulane (30 visit)
CB Julian Love – Notre Dame
CB Trayvon Mullen – Clemson (30 visit)
CB Rishard Causey – UCF (local)
CB Jimmy Moreland – James Madison (30 visit)
CB Isaiah Johnson – Houston
CB Deandre Baker – Georgia
CB Jamel Dean – Auburn (30 visit)
CB Derrek Thomas – Baylor
CB Iman Marshall – USC
DS Tyree Kinnel – Michigan
DS Mike Edwards – Kentucky
DS Sheldrick Redwine – Miami (local)
DS Jaquan Johnson – Miami (local)
DS John Battle – LSU (local)
DS Robbie Grimsley – North Dakota State
DS Juan Thornhill – Virginia
DS Corrion Ballard – Utah

This could shape up to be a very defensive-heavy draft based on that list. The offensive line is curiously underrepresented while the running backs, receivers, and tight ends are almost completely vacant.

We are just two days away, ‘Phins fans. Buckle up — the NFL’s best weekend of the offseason is upon us and we’ll have you covered every step of the way at Locked On Dolphins.

@WingfieldNFL

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Miami Dolphins

Why there are discrepancies in the Miami Dolphins projected draft picks

Shawn Digity

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Miami Dolphins NFL Draft
Image courtesy of USA Today Sports

MIAMI DOLPHINS (Locked On Dolphins) – Why there are discrepancies in the Miami Dolphins projected draft picks

I check the draft order updates as soon as I can every week, once the dust has settled on another slate of games. I know I’m not the only one, either.

After the completion of all the Week 12 games, where the Dolphins were downed by the Cleveland Browns, there were some major “upheavals” in the draft order.

Washington slithered away with a close victory over the Lions and got their second win of the season. Coupled with the Dolphins loss, they are both 2-9 now.

This is vital for the draft order, and it’s also essential that the Redskins won against the Dolphins in Week 6 because if they share the same strength of schedule, that will prioritize the Dolphins with the earlier pick.

That’s not important yet, though. But first things first, there are currently three teams with a 2-9 record: Redskins, Dolphins, and Giants. This means that the appropriate draft order will go to the next qualifying tiebreaker, the strength of schedule.

It’s eyebrow-raising because despite the strength of schedule theoretically being the same value across the board, there are discrepancies in the Dolphins projected draft pick on different sites.

In some cases, the Dolphins get the third pick, and in other instances, they get the fourth. NFL.com, for example, has assigned the Dolphins an SoS (strength of schedule) at .562 and the fourth overall pick, but Tankathon gives them an SoS of .506 and the third pick.

So what gives?

The strength of schedule values shouldn’t waver since it’s based on the win-loss record of the opponents of any given team, so there shouldn’t be multiple solutions.

I did a little digging, and the answer surprisingly simple.

NFL.com generated its strength of schedule using all the played games up to the most recently completed week of contests, in this case, Week 12.

Tankathon, on the other hand, uses the entire 16-game schedule for each team regardless of the number of games having not been played.

NFL.com’s is the most accurate while the season is ongoing, but Tankathon’s gives a bigger-picture range of where the SoS will eventually finish. It gains accuracy as the season wanes but is misleading earlier on in the year.

Both sites will meet in the middle with the same value once the season is over, but for now, either method can be beneficial to look at. The Dolphins having the fourth pick, though, is the most accurate account.

UPDATE: Tankathon has since updated its SoS to reflect the Bills victory on Thanksgiving Day. Their win counts twice when factoring it in the Dolphins’ SoS; this has resulted in the Dolphins having a slightly better strength of schedule compared to Washington and bumped the Fins down to the fourth pick in both methods.

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NFL Draft

Scouting College Football’s Top 2020 Quarterback Prospects – Week 13

Travis Wingfield

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Recapping Week 13 of the College Football Season

During the college season, here on Locked On Dolphins, we’re going to keep an eye on quarterbacks all throughout the country. Our primary focus will be on the big four, the options that Miami will likely choose from with an early pick in the 2020 draft.

Those quarterbacks are:

Tua Tagovailoa Scouting Report
Jake Fromm Scouting Report
Justin Herbert Scouting Report
Jordan Love Scouting Report

2019 Week 1 Recap
2019 Week 2 Recap
2019 Week 3 Recap
2019 Week 4 Recap
2019 Week 5 Recap
2019 Week 6 Recap
2019 Week 7 Recap
2019 Week 8 Recap
2019 Week 9 Recap
– No Week 10 Recap
2019 Week 11 Recap
2019 Week 12 Recap

*LSU’s Joe Burrow has been added to the prospect watch list.

We’ll go in chronological order from when the games were played.

Week 13 Recap

Jake Fromm vs. Texas A&M, Win 19-13
Stats: 11/23 (47.8%) 163 yards (7.09 YPA) 1 TD

Georgia hosted the A&M in a torrential downpour, which prompted Fromm to wear a glove on his throwing hand. The result of the new hand attire, a handful of dreadful misses for the junior quarterback.

Fromm removed the glove and heated up late in the first half. When he’s in need of a big play Fromm tends to go outside the numbers on back-shoulder throws, and he hits them with remarkable consistency. He remains a tough out on third downs as he wins with his anticipation and ball placement.

This season was supposed to serve as an opportunity for Fromm to solidify himself at QB2, but you won’t see him in that tier with many pundits, if any at all. He’s limited from a physical traits standpoint, and his true value will be revealed in the combine meetings and on the white board.

Joe Burrow vs. Arkansas, Win 56-20
Stats: 23/28 (82.1%) 327 yards (11.68 YPA) 3 TD

Tonight was a great culmination of what Joe Burrow is as a prospect. He’s as shifty pocket manager that can get away from pressure while maintaining downfield vision. He’s an accurate thrower that excels at finding passing lanes through innate spatial awareness.

He’s also equipped with a relatively weak arm. His first touchdown pass was severely under-thrown, but as Ja’Marr Chase tends to do, he bailed the play out with a Randy Moss-like reception. Burrow floated a few deep shots that fluttered out of his hand.

There’s no doubt that there are situations and schemes in the NFL that could maximize Burrow’s skill set. I don’t think he’s a scheme diverse, homerun pick, but he’s got a lot of the goods.

Justin Herbert at Arizona State, Loss 31-28
Stats: 20/36 (55.6%) 310 yards (8.61 YPA) 2 TD, 2 INT

At the risk of sounding redundant, Justin Herbert’s play refuses to change my opinion about his game. Poor results in big spots (on the road, in primetime with a chance to essentially punch a ticket to a College Football Playoff play-in game). His inconsistent mechanics lead to considerable lapses in accuracy, and his decision making demonstrates a lack of progression as a quarterback. When a potential top-five pick returns to school, and the shortcomings remain the same, that’s a major red flag.

Herbert a bad performance in Tempe snowball in the second half. Bad decision after bad decision, inaccurate throw after inaccurate throw, and another failed attempt at a potentially defining game. Herm Edwards’ defense hasn’t played well recently, but it’s an NFL structured scheme, one that Herbert would see a lot at the next level, hence the gravity of this road test.

Herbert has the look to me of a quarterback that’s going to get somebody fired. His physical traits, and the consequential expansion of the playbook, will tantalize a staff to stick with him far behind the leash he will deserve, but the consistent shortcomings in the non-negotiable aspects of the position will lead to continual disappointment.

Jordan Love vs. Boise State, In Progress

It takes a special talent to captivate an east coast crowd that’s viewing a 50-point drubbing at one in the morning. That’s what Jordan Love did on Saturday night (Sunday morning) in Logan, UT against the Boise State Broncos. Love made the one big mistake (pick six) that has been following him through the 2019 college football season, but he also made the countless jaw-dropping throws that have solidified him as my personal QB2 this process.

Every week, Love shows us the special talent that is only captured by three of four human beings walking this earth. Mahomes, Murray, Wison, Love — that’s probably it as far as the short stops playing QB with rare arm talent. The flexibility and strength of his arm allows him to put the football on quite literally any blade of grass on a 100-yard-by-53-yard football field.

The elusive nature by which he can escape pressure, paired with that arm, will expand the playbook of whichever play caller gets their hands on this specimen. Love will need some time as he still struggles with processing the middle of the field, but the upside is undeniable.

Week 13 Conclusion

Early Sunday morning, Ian Rappaport tweeted a story that Tua Tagovailoa is more likely to endure a bear attack than he is to suffer the same fate of Bo Jackson with his degenerative hip condition. Because of that, and the tireless work ethic that comes attached to Tua, he’s not moving from QB1 on my list — he’s still far and away the best.

I’m also solidifying Jordan Love as my QB2. He’s probably the most likely to return to school, and could throw his hat in the ring as the first overall pick in 2021 if he lands with Oklahoma, Alabama, or another big-time program. Scouting is about finding out what the play CAN do, not what he can’t do. And the things that Love can do are unique to him in this draft class. They’re unique to him in the history of college football, quite frankly.

I’m all the way out on Justin Herbert — but that was pretty much always the case. Same story. Failure against pressure (phantom or real), another stinker in a big primetime showdown. Inconsistent mechanics leading to flawed accuracy. The G.M. that falls for this fool’s gold will be on the unemployment line before Herbert reaches his second contract.

Joe Burrow is quietly humming along during his Heisman campaign. His accuracy and play making ability stood out all season, but so does the lack of drive on his downfield throws. The arm limitations, and the fact that I believe he’s scheme dependent (will be awesome if selected in the right situation, which is definitely not Zac Taylor and the Bengals (but would work with Miami)), lands Burrow at QB3.

Jake Fromm settles in as QB4. He might consider a return to campus as his Bulldog offense has bogged down time-and-time again. Fromm wins with processing and accuracy, but his arm is on Joe Burrow’s level, and the inclement weather in Athens Saturday really impacted the way he threw the football.

Travis Wingfield’s Final Top 5 (Will not change between now and the end of the season)

1. Tua Tagovailoa
2. Jordan Love
3. Joe Burrow
4. Jake Fromm
5. Justin Herbert

Week 14 Schedule

Fromm at Georgia Tech, Noon ABC
Love at New Mexico, 4:00 Facebook
Burrow vs. Texas A&M, 7:00 ESPN
Herbert vs. Oregon State, TBD

@WingfieldNFL

Additional Prospect Videos

Yetur Gross-Matos – Penn State Edge

Tyler Johnson – Minnesota Wide Receiver 

Antoine Winfield Jr. – Minnesota Safety

Rashod Bateman – Minnesota Wide Receiver (Class of 2021)

Shaun Wade – Ohio State Safety/Slot Corner

Malik Harrison – Ohio State Outside Linebacker

A.J. Dillon – Boston College Running Back

J.R. Reed – Georgia Safety

Shane Lemieux – Oregon Left Guard

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Scouting College Football’s Top 2020 Quarterback Prospects – Week 12

Travis Wingfield

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Recapping Week 12 of the College Football Season

During the college season, here on Locked On Dolphins, we’re going to keep an eye on quarterbacks all throughout the country. Our primary focus will be on the big four, the options that Miami will likely choose from with an early pick in the 2020 draft.

Those quarterbacks are:

Tua Tagovailoa Scouting Report
Jake Fromm Scouting Report
Justin Herbert Scouting Report
Jordan Love Scouting Report

2019 Week 1 Recap
2019 Week 2 Recap
2019 Week 3 Recap
2019 Week 4 Recap
2019 Week 5 Recap
2019 Week 6 Recap
2019 Week 7 Recap
2019 Week 8 Recap
2019 Week 9 Recap
– No Week 10 Recap
2019 Week 11 Recap

*LSU’s Joe Burrow has been added to the prospect watch list.

We’ll go in chronological order from when the games were played.

Week 12 Recap

Tua Tagovailoa vs. Mississippi State, Win
Stats: 14/18 (77.8%) 256 yards (14.22 YPA) 2 TD

Today was a collective “L” for the football community. One of the best collegiate players, and widely praised good guys, Tua Tagovailoa suffered a hip injury that leaves his football future in question.

What started out as an ordinary onslaught of explosive plays — a product of perfectly placed passes — ended in potential tragedy. Reports say that Tua’s hip is both dislocated, with a fracture of the wall that retains the ball joint. This injury calls for immediate surgery and significant recovery time, if a football career is possible at all.

Tagovailoa will do everything in his power for a full recovery, and hopefully the advances in modern medicine can allow him to make a triumphant return to the gridiron.

Jordan Love at Wyoming, Win 26-21
Stats: 18/29 (62.1%) 282 yards (9.72 YPA) 2 TD, 2 INT

This game was my favorite quarterback tape to watch this season. Jordan Love exhibited the sometimes unfathomably unique arm-talent that has endeared him to scouts nationally. After two interceptions — one a bad read, another bad luck — Love showed the shortstop-like arm, supreme athleticism, and general freaky traits that have scouts drooling.

The arm-strength to squeeze the football into a tight window from 40 yards away, the rare elasticity to sling it on a line across his body while on the move, the quick release to get the ball out in the face of pressure…it looks like he’s throwing a baseball.

The added element of a designed run package and RPO game, paired with the threat of throwing the ball to any blade of grass on the field, coaches will line up to get their hands on this prospect.

Jake Fromm vs. Missouri, Win 27-0
Stats: 13/28 (46.4%) 110 yards (3.93 YPA) 3 TD

Fromm hit his best throw of the season in another big SEC road victory. Few quarterbacks have the number of scalps that Fromm keeps in his back pocket, and he displayed tremendous poise in another hostile environment.

At times, the crowd noise was deafening, yet Fromm communicated his line checks and audibles with urgency and a steady heartbeat. He made cutch, accurate throws on third down, and beat the defense with his pre-snap prowess.

Fromm has quiet feet when he gets to the top of his drop. That’s not a trait he shares with a lot of the new-age, successful quarterbacks in the NFL. Kyler Murray went first in the draft for his ability to glide weightlessly about the pocket, creating passing lanes.

While Fromm is capable of mitigating some deficiencies with his ability to get the offense into the right play, and accurate passing, he’s not going to erase free rushers with his athleticism, and he’s not going to overcome situations with a fastball throw.

Joe Burrow at Ole Miss, Win 58-37
Stats: 32/42 (76.2%) 489 yards (11.64 YPA) 5 TD, 2 INT

And in one afternoon, Joe Burrow is left with nothing to prove. The now heavy favorite to come off the board with the first pick, the second half of Miami’s season would have to take some considerable turns to get the LSU Quarterback.

Burrow remains as cool as ever in this one. He rushed his Tiger offense out to a big lead with a couple of impressive improvisational plays. The big day was saddled by the two turnovers, but Burrow ends the day as the new QB1 due to Tua’s medical situation.

Justin Herbert vs. Arizona, 10:30 ESPN
Stats: 20/28 (71.4%) 333 yards (11.89 YPA) 4 TD, 1 INT

If this was your first viewing experience of Justin Herbert, you probably came away convinced he’s a top-10 draft pick — and he will be. If you’re a regular to his tape, this game was more of the same — flashes of brilliance when the circumstances permit, but the same inconsistencies in the most important aspects of the game.

Arizona’s defense hasn’t stopped a nose bleed this year, and they sure as hell weren’t going to stop the draft’s most physically impressive specimen behind the country’s best offensive line. Herbert’s long touchdown throws displayed the hand-cannon that has scouts conjuring up the prototypical quarterback build — particularly the toss in the second half.

On the rare occasions where Arizona got heat, you saw Herbert’s lack of quick-twitch to get off the spot, without the inherent ability to keep his eyes downfield to keep the play alive. You saw Herbert make an egregious decision to throw the ball into coverage (the INT was dropped) on a first-and-goal play from the two-yard-line.

The problem with Herbert, is that this has been the story for over 30 games. He still has no signature wins or moments, and the Oregon offense is still predicated on the running and screen game.

Herbert’s best bet at the next level is a run-heavy offense that can utilize his premiere weapon — throwing on the move. Lining up in 12-personnel (2 tight ends) and allowing Herbert to get out in space to throw into layers or flood concepts on the move will be the smoothest transition for the Oregon QB to have some success.

I’m of the belief that you have to put Herbert in an absolutely ideal situation, because he’s not going to mitigate your issues offensively.

Week 12 Conclusion

Reports from the University of Alabama doctor responsible for tending to Tagovailoa say the quarterback will make a full recovery, but he is certainly in for a long rehab process. If anyone can come back from this, it’s Tagovailoa, though his draft stock will surely be impacted. If Tua enters the draft and clears all the medical hurdles, he’ll still be a first-round pick.

Miami might be fortunate if Tagovailoa is still the target. With Brian Flores willing his team to underdog victories, the chances of obtaining the first pick was becoming grim, but so too are Tua’s chances at going off the board number one.

The Dolphins will have a difficult decision to make, though an apparent contingency plan is developing behind Tua.

Jordan Love is making progress the last two weeks in his overall effectiveness, and the highlights he produced today were utterly absurd. Though he has shortcomings in his approach for the game and playing the quarterback position, his physical tools give him — far and away — the highest upside in the class.

Miami’s interesting draft season took a jump to a whole other level of intrigue with the events of Saturday.

Week 13 Schedule

Fromm vs. Texas A&M, 3:30 CBS
Burrow vs. Arkansas, 7:00 ESPN
Love vs. Boise State, 10:30 CBSSN
Herbert at Arizona State TBD

@WingfieldNFL

Additional Prospect Videos

A.J. Epenesa – Iowa Defensive End 

Bravvion Roy – Baylor Defensive Tackle

Julian Blackmon – Utah Safety (former corner, invited to Mobile for the Sr. Bowl)

Ben Bredeson – Michigan Left Guard

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