Connect with us

Miami Dolphins

Miami Dolphins 2018 Schedule Breakdown

Travis Wingfield

Published

on

Future opponents are known years in advance in the NFL. With the exception of two games decided by divisional standing-finish, fourteen opponents are pre-determined based on the schedule rotation. The order in which those games will occur, like everything else the NFL does, has become a primetime event.

While the luck of the draw applies for the most part (in-season injuries, particular teams playing their best/worst ball at a certain time of year, etc.) the order of the games provides intriguing details.

Traveling for a Thursday night game, for instance, is an extreme disadvantage for the visitor. The famed trap-game can occur when a team faces a lesser opponent before taking on a heavyweight. Lastly, for a team like the Dolphins, weather implications are always worth noting.

We will do a deeper dive into what each of these opponents offer in a summer-series titled, “Know The Enemy.” There, we will explore additions and subtractions, coaching principles, schemes, weaknesses, strengths – everything about that team.

This column refers to the favors, or lack thereof, that the NFL gave the Dolphins based purely on travel, trap games, etc.

Oct 8, 2017; Miami Gardens, FL, USA; Miami Dolphins Cornerback Bobby McCain (28) reacts after making a tackle during the first half against the Miami Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

Oct 8, 2017; Miami Gardens, FL, USA; Miami Dolphins Cornerback Bobby McCain (28) reacts after making a tackle during the first half against the Miami Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

Week 1 – Tennessee Titans, Sunday 9/9 1:00 PM EST – Hard Rock Stadium

Titans’ Sandwich Game:

Week 2 – vs. Texans

Week one is typically impervious to traps, travel accommodations or any extenuating circumstances. The Titans were a playoff team in 2017 and have back-to-back divisional showdowns with upstart Texans and defending champions South champion Jaguars in week three. Playing the media’s punching bag (Miami) could be viewed as a walk-in-the-park.

Week 2 – @ New York Jets, Sunday 9/16 1:00 PM EST – Met Life Stadium

Jets’ Sandwich Games:

Week 1 – @ Lions

Week 3 – @ Browns (Thursday)

This is the Jets most important early-season game. The home-opener, potentially facing an 0-2 start, with a home divisional loss, is certain to bring out the Jets’ A-game. However, teams that play a game four days later (Thursday primetime games) traditionally struggle in the previous contest. With the Jets on the road for their week 3 primetime game, game-planning could bleed over and cause a lapse in fundamentals.

Week 3 – Oakland Raiders, Sunday 9/23 1:00 PM EST – Hard Rock Stadium

Raiders’ Sandwich Games:

Week 2 – @ Broncos

Week 4 – vs. Browns

This is the beginning of a lot of travel for the Raiders. After a cross-country trip to Miami, Oakland goes back to California for two, then goes to London for the International Series. Add the Raiders record in one-o-clock east coast start-times and this is a recipe for a Dolphins victory.

Week 4 – @ New England Patriots, Sunday 9/30 1:00 PM EST – Gillett Stadium

Patriots’ Sandwich Games:

Week 3 – @ Lions (SNF)

Week 5 – vs. Colts (Thursday)

As is the case with the week 2 game vs. the Jets, the Pats have a short-week following this contest. Add a primetime game in week 3 and the Dolphins are essentially the meat of an “under-the-lights” sandwich. There aren’t enough advantages in existence that makes picking against the Pats in Foxboro a wise decision.

Week 5 – @ Cincinnati Bengals, Sunday 10/7 1:00 PM EST – Paul Brown Stadium

Bengals’ Sandwich Games:

Week 4 – @ Falcons

Week 6 – vs. Steelers

Pittsburgh-Cincinnati games are always slugfests. Ideally, you’d catch the Bengals AFTER playing the Steelers, but that looming rivalry could play into the trap scenario here. For Miami, back-to-back road games to the Northeast isn’t favorable – at least this is the only instance of said trip on the schedule.

Week 6 – Chicago Bears, Sunday 10/14 1:00 PM EST – Hard Rock Stadium

Bears’ Sandwich Games:

Week 5 – BYE WEEK

Week 7 – vs. Patriots

The first of two opponent’s coming off a bye the Bears figure to be as close to full-strength in this game as they will be all year. Given the Bears’ lack of recent success, overlooking teams isn’t a reality. Playing in South Florida heat will be an adjustment for the Monsters of the Midway.

Week 7 – Detroit Lions, Sunday 10/21 1:00 PM EST – Hard Rock Stadium

Lions’ Sandwich Games:

Week 6 – BYE WEEK

Week 8 – vs. Seahawks

Leaving the air-conditioned confines of Ford Field is never easy for Matt Stafford’s Detroit Lions. Like the Bears, the Lions will have to deal with fourth-quarter fatigue as they adjust to the climate. Coming off a bye week, and the ability to institute tendency breakers, always serves as an advantage. For Miami, playing on the road the following Thursday creates a greater challenge.

Week 8 – @ Houston Texans, Thursday 10/25 8:20 PM EST – NRG Stadium

Texans’ Sandwich Games:

Week 7 – at Jaguars

Week 9 – at Broncos

Traveling on a short-week is a tall-order for any NFL team. Miami faces a nearly impossible task, especially if Deshaun Watson is fully recovered from his torn ACL. The Texans play one of the NFL’s most physical teams just four days prior, however. Miami could be facing a beat-up squad in Houston.

Week 9 – New York Jets, Sunday 11/4 1:00 PM EST – Hard Rock Stadium

Jets’ Sandwich Games:

Week 8 – at Bears

Week 10 – vs. Bills

Sandwiched between two underwhelming opponents, the Dolphins figure to get the Jets best effort for the second time in 2018. Miami is coming off a mini-bye of sorts and can start making adjustments from their self-scouting department with the extra time.

Week 10 – @ Green Bay Packers, Sunday 11/11 1:00 PM EST – Lambeau Field

Packers’ Sandwich Games:

Week 9 – at Patriots

Week 11 – at Seahawks

This is the biggest trap game on the schedule. Despite Seattle coming back to the pack a little bit, these have been the two most consistent franchises in the league the last half-decade (New England and Seattle). The Dolphins beat a superior Packers team at Lambeau in 2010, and Green Bay is prone to slumps. This is the Dolphins first potential for a cold-weather game.

Oct 1, 2017; London, Middlesex, ENG; Miami Dolphins running back Kenyan Drake (32) runs for an early first down during the first quarter of the game between the New Orleans Saints and the Miami Dolphins at Wembley Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Steve Flynn-USA TODAY Sports

Week 11 – BYE WEEK

Week 12 – @ Indianapolis Colts, Sunday 11/25 1:00 PM EST – Lucas Oil Stadium

Colts’ Sandwich Games:

Week 11 – vs. Titans

Week 13 – at Jaguars

Fresh off a bye week, and facing a team that has bookend games against divisional foes, this might be the game most tilted in the Dolphins favor. Andrew Luck’s mysterious shoulder issues could either result in a fully-rested quarterback, or a third straight season on injured reserve.

Week 13 – Buffalo Bills, Sunday 12/2 1:00 PM EST – Hard Rock Stadium

Bills’ Sandwich Games:

Week 12 – vs. Jaguars

Week 14 – vs. Jets

Playing a team one week after an affair with a physical opponent is always auspicious. Typically, all trends are thrown out with division rivalries, but that aspect is amplified in the Miami-Buffalo series. If the Dolphins want to surprise this season, it’s imperative to win games like this.

Week 14 – New England Patriots, Sunday 12/9 1:00 PM EST – Hard Rock Stadium

Patriots’ Sandwich Games:

Week 13 – vs. Vikings

Week 15 – at Steelers

Like the Packers game, this is an ideal trap scenario for a team that figures to finish atop the conference yet again. The Pats will be looking to avenge last season’s week 14 loss in Miami, despite playing its biggest threat the following week, and a physical opponent the prior game.

Week 15 – @ Minnesota Vikings, Sunday 12/16 1:00 PM EST – US Bank Stadium

Vikings’ Sandwich Games:

Week 14 – at Seahawks

Week 16 – at Lions

Week 14 could serve as a jolt or a death-blow to Miami’s season. Heading into one of the toughest buildings to play in the NFL is a tall-task, especially coming all the way up from South Florida.

Week 16 – Jacksonville Jaguars, Saturday or Sunday 12/22 or 12/23 TBD – Hard Rock Stadium

MIAMI GARDENS, FL - NOVEMBER 27: Miami Dolphins Defensive End Cameron Wake (91) celebrates after sacking San Francisco 49ers Quarterback Colin Kaepernick (7) along with Miami Dolphins Linebacker Kiko Alonso (47), Miami Dolphins Defensive Tackle Ndamukong Suh (93) and Miami Dolphins Linebacker Jelani Jenkins (53) during the NFL football game between the San Francisco 49ers and the Miami Dolphins on November 27, 2016, at the Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL. (Photo by Doug Murray/Icon Sportswire)

MIAMI GARDENS, FL – NOVEMBER 27: Miami Dolphins Defensive End Cameron Wake (91) celebrates after sacking San Francisco 49ers Quarterback Colin Kaepernick (7) along with Miami Dolphins Linebacker Kiko Alonso (47), Miami Dolphins Defensive Tackle Ndamukong Suh (93) and Miami Dolphins Linebacker Jelani Jenkins (53) during the NFL football game between the San Francisco 49ers and the Miami Dolphins on November 27, 2016, at the Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL. (Photo by Doug Murray/Icon Sportswire)

Jaguars’ Sandwich Games:

Week 15 – vs. Redskins

Week 17 – at Texans

Dealing with the third consecutive final-four participant from 2017 seems like a cruel prank, but that’s a reality for the 2018 Dolphins. If things go the Jaguars’ way in the AFC South, this could potentially be a meaningless game for Miami’s in-state foe. The two team’s divisional match-ups in week 17 eliminate any trap scenario.

Week 17 – @ Buffalo Bills, Sunday 12/30 1:00 PM EST – New Era Field

Bills’ Sandwich Game:

Week 16 – at Patriots

This game very well could decide second place in the AFC East. There’s also a legitimate chance that both teams are playing for nothing more than pride.

If the Dolphins want to shock the NFL landscape and get back to the post-season, they will need a strong start. Of course, nobody knows what any of these teams are at this point. Typically, playing the tougher part of the schedule early in the season is ideal (better chance to catch a team before they develop their chemistry and identity). It would certainly behoove the Dolphins to stack some wins early on.

We will have an in-depth look at what each of these team’s presents from a match-up stand-point in the “Know The Enemy” series. Keep an eye out for that after the draft.

@WingfieldNFL

Advertisement
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Miami Dolphins

Josh Rosen 2018 Passing Chart – Week 17 at Seattle

Travis Wingfield

Published

on

Football, more so than any other sport, requires context to tell the full story. Box scores provide the casual fan with a general idea of the cumulative result of any given game, but without isolating each player’s performance, many details go unnoticed.

This project is entirely based around isolating the play of Josh Rosen. Traditional data points will tell you that his rookie season was one of the worst in the history of the league. Watching each drop back multiple times over, breaking down the most impactful plays, and charting the data that tells the true story, this is the 2018 Josh Rosen charting project.

Jump To:

Week 4 vs. Seattle
Week 5 at San Francisco
Week 6 at Minnesota
Week 7 vs. Denver
Week 8 vs. San Francisco
Week 10 at Kansas City
Week 11 vs. Oakland
Week 12 at LA Chargers
Week 13 at Green Bay
Week 14 vs. Detroit
Week 15 at Atlanta
Week 16 vs. LA Rams
Week 17 at Seattle

Week 17 at Seattle –

By the time this season finale came to an end the entire Cardinals operation had to breathe a sigh of relief. A disaster season, that came to a crashing conclusion, was finally in the rearview. For Josh Rosen, the last month of the season was a recurring nightmare. Rosen threw 146 passes in December and the only one that crossed pay dirt was a busted coverage in this Seattle game.

Some of Rosen’s strong suits didn’t travel to the Pacific Northwest. Throwing into contested windows, play-action passing, and third down conversions each brought back less than satisfactory returns.

The Cardinal passing offense converted 3-of-14 3rd downs. Rosen was 2-of-14 for 23 yards on contested throws and 5-of-10 for 56 yards on play pass.

Rosen was chucking-and-praying once again. The average air yards per throw tallied 10.8 yards, while the Arizona receivers only amassed 51 yards after the catch (34.2% of Rosen’s passing total).

The short passing game was far more fruitful than the vertical attacks.

 

Portion of the Field Accurate Pass/Number of Passes
20+ yards 0/3 (0%)
11-19 yards 0/3 (0%)
0-10 yards (or behind LOS) 11/16 (68.8%)

 

The game was littered with mistakes from the Cardinals QB. Rosen registered 14 mistakes (11 from accuracy, 2 ball security issues, and 1 poor read). Rosen lost two fumbles and had two would-be interceptions dropped by the Seattle defense.

The personnel deployment featured more versatility than recent weeks. Rosen’s passes were supplemented by the following personnel packages.

 

11-personnel 31 snaps
12-personnel 3 snaps
21-personnel 4 snaps

 

As has been the case all season, Rosen was under frequent pressure. Seattle arrived for 11 pressures (6 sacks, 3 hits, 2 hurries) at an average time from snap-to-pressure of 2.19 seconds.

The busted coverage touchdown was Rosen’s one red-zone completion (1-of-3). He was in the gun for 25 snaps and under-center for 13.

Another week, another low conversion rate. The Cardinal passing game converted 8-of-38 plays into first downs (21.1%)

It’s difficult to imagine a more trying rookie season than the one Rosen experienced. The offensive line play was poor, the only consistent pass catcher was Larry Fitzgerald, and Rosen had his own share of rookie mistakes to compound things.

This game goes into the losing performance category marking eight consecutive games that Rosen failed to reach the winning performance category.

 

2018 Performance Results Number of Games
Winning Performance 2 (SEA, SF)
Inconsequential Performance 3 (@MIN, @LAC, @ATL)
Losing Performance 7 (@SF, DEN, @KC, OAK, @GB, DET, LAR, @SEA)

Winning Performance – The QB played well enough to garner a victory. He limited mistakes and made plays in crucial situations.
Inconsequential Performance – More of a game-managing role, the QB didn’t have the big plays, but mistakes were limited.
Losing Performance – The QB limited his team’s ability to win the game with his performance.

@WingfieldNFL

Continue Reading

Miami Dolphins

Josh Rosen 2018 Passing Chart – Week 16 vs. LA Rams

Travis Wingfield

Published

on

Football, more so than any other sport, requires context to tell the full story. Box scores provide the casual fan with a general idea of the cumulative result of any given game, but without isolating each player’s performance, many details go unnoticed.

This project is entirely based around isolating the play of Josh Rosen. Traditional data points will tell you that his rookie season was one of the worst in the history of the league. Watching each drop back multiple times over, breaking down the most impactful plays, and charting the data that tells the true story, this is the 2018 Josh Rosen charting project.

Jump To:

Week 4 vs. Seattle
Week 5 at San Francisco
Week 6 at Minnesota
Week 7 vs. Denver
Week 8 vs. San Francisco
Week 10 at Kansas City
Week 11 vs. Oakland
Week 12 at LA Chargers
Week 13 at Green Bay
Week 14 vs. Detroit
Week 15 at Atlanta
Week 16 vs. LA Rams
Week 17 at Seattle

 

Week 16 vs. LA Rams –

For the second consecutive game Josh Rosen didn’t finish under-center for the Cardinals. In a blowout loss, where it seemed like the entire game plan revolved around making life easy on Josh Rosen, Arizona still managed to get ran out of the building. Mike Glennon completed the final series for the Red Birds offense.

Rosen threw the ball only 23 times, but scrambled more than he has all season. The game plan also featured the least amount of variety, from a personnel grouping standpoint, all season.

 

11-personnel 30 snaps
12-personnel 1 snap

 

Rosen’s typical third down heroics didn’t show up. The Cardinals converted only 2-of-10 third downs in the passing game (one a QB scramble). Converting, as it has been all season, was a challenge in general — Arizona converted just 6-of-31 drop backs (19.4%).

Rosen was in the shotgun almost exclusively (3 under-center, 28 in the gun). This led to a limited play-action passing game (only one throw from play pass).

The four mistakes attributed to Rosen were largely deep shots. He missed on short pass, but two of the three inaccuracies came on balls down the field. One of those deep shots was an ill-advised throw into coverage despite a wide open Larry Fitzgerald coming across the formation (seen in the video thread).

Rosen’s depth splits were as follows:

 

Portion of the Field Accurate Pass/Number of Passes
20+ yards 0/3 (0%)
11-19 yards 0/3 (0%)
0-10 yards (or behind LOS) 11/16 (68.8%)

 

More than half of Rosen’s 87 passing yards came from YAC (54%). The average depth of Rosen’s passes was 9.22 air yards per throw.

Throwing into tight window was a futile effort. Rosen completed 1-of-7 contested throws for 7 yards. Pressure was a regular fixture, yet again, as Rosen was under duress on 11 drop backs (4 sacks, 5 hits, 2 hurries). The average time from snap-to-pressure was 2.30 seconds.

The war of attrition seems to have finally broken the Cardinals spirit. The team’s execution was lacking all year, but this game was something of a “white flag” effort from the coaching staff. Rosen gets tabbed with a losing performance for a lack of big-time plays, a few mistakes, and an awful holistic result.

 

2018 Performance Results Number of Games
Winning Performance 2 (SEA, SF)
Inconsequential Performance 3 (@MIN, @LAC, @ATL)
Losing Performance 6 (@SF, DEN, @KC, OAK, @GB, DET, LAR)

Winning Performance – The QB played well enough to garner a victory. He limited mistakes and made plays in crucial situations.
Inconsequential Performance – More of a game-managing role, the QB didn’t have the big plays, but mistakes were limited.
Losing Performance – The QB limited his team’s ability to win the game with his performance.

@WingfieldNFL

Continue Reading

Miami Dolphins

Josh Rosen 2018 Passing Chart – Week 15 at Atlanta

Travis Wingfield

Published

on

Football, more so than any other sport, requires context to tell the full story. Box scores provide the casual fan with a general idea of the cumulative result of any given game, but without isolating each player’s performance, many details go unnoticed.

This project is entirely based around isolating the play of Josh Rosen. Traditional data points will tell you that his rookie season was one of the worst in the history of the league. Watching each drop back multiple times over, breaking down the most impactful plays, and charting the data that tells the true story, this is the 2018 Josh Rosen charting project.

Jump To:

Week 4 vs. Seattle
Week 5 at San Francisco
Week 6 at Minnesota
Week 7 vs. Denver
Week 8 vs. San Francisco
Week 10 at Kansas City
Week 11 vs. Oakland
Week 12 at LA Chargers
Week 13 at Green Bay
Week 14 vs. Detroit
Week 15 at Atlanta
Week 16 vs. LA Rams
Week 17 at Seattle

 

Week 15 at Atlanta –

We’ve reached the point in the season where the Cardinals coaching staff had to make a switch to prevent further damaging their 21-year-old quarterback. Josh Rosen, under duress all game, with very little help from the route concepts and plan to attack the Atlanta defense, was pulled for Mike Glennon in the fourth quarter.

The Falcons pass rush would’ve crippled the most grizzled veteran in the NFL; it completely debilitated Rosen. The Cardinal QB was under pressure 15-of-27 drop backs (6 sacks, 6 hits, 3 hurries) with an average snap-to-pressure time of 2.17 seconds.

Atlanta’s unrelenting pressure led to a season-low in average air yards per attempt (4.6 AYPT). The Arizona receivers picked up 82 yards after the catch counting for 62.1% of Rosen’s passing total.

Once again, a lopsided scoreboard forced Arizona into very little variety from a personnel grouping standpoint. Rosen was 4-of-5 with 37 yards on non-11-personnel calls. The issue there — Arizona was always in 11-personnell.

 

11-personnel 22 snaps
12-personnel 4 snaps
21-personnel 1 snap

 

Rosen only committed two mistakes in the game (one accuracy, one a poor decision). The biggest mistake was an example of nervous antics in the pocket and a decision Rosen would prefer to have back (available in the Twitter thread).

Rosen was under-center just 5 times (gun 22), and only threw from play action three times; Rosen was 2-of-3 with 13 yards on play pass.

The Arizona offense converted only 18.5% (5-of-27) passing plays into first downs. Throwing into contested windows was a 50-50 proposition — Rosen threw for 68 yards on 4-of-8 passing into tight windows.

Rosen’s depth splits were as follows:

 

Portion of the Field Accurate Pass/Number of Passes
20+ yards 1/1 (100%)
11-19 yards 2/3 (66.7%)
0-10 yards (or behind LOS) 12/15 (80%)

 

It was a miserable day for the Cardinals all the way around. Rosen never stood much of a chance to make a big time paly, or to make a game-changing mistake — but the one time he did make a crucial mistake, the game was already out of reach. This showing goes in the inconsequential column.

 

2018 Performance Results Number of Games
Winning Performance 2 (SEA, SF)
Inconsequential Performance 3 (@MIN, @LAC, @ATL)
Losing Performance 5 (@SF, DEN, @KC, OAK, @GB, DET)

Winning Performance – The QB played well enough to garner a victory. He limited mistakes and made plays in crucial situations.
Inconsequential Performance – More of a game-managing role, the QB didn’t have the big plays, but mistakes were limited.
Losing Performance – The QB limited his team’s ability to win the game with his performance.

@WingfieldNFL

Continue Reading
Advertisement

LATEST

Advertisement
Advertisement

Trending