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Miami Dolphins

Mock Off-Season

Travis Wingfield

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January is nearing its end and the NFL’s new league year is just six weeks away. For the Miami Dolphins, another year of reasonable turnover is on the horizon as the team preps for another draft class and group of free agents.

Since Adam Gase’s arrival, the Dolphins average 5-6 free-agent additions per off-season. Couple that veteran group with a rookie class and you’re looking at 12 (give or take) new Dolphins donning the aqua and orange come September.

That falls right in line with the average roster turnover rate around the league. 20% of the team shipped off and a new batch filling those vacancies as quickly as they open.

So, it’s Friday. News is slow. Everybody who is anybody is locked in on the tape study of all these new potential players. What better time than to execute a mock off-season?

In this piece, we will cover everything the Dolphins face in the coming months. Unrestricted free-agency, cutting players currently under contract and yes, a seven-round mock draft for the Miami Dolphins.

Let’s begin.

Miami’s own unrestricted free-agents: (Information via sportrac.com)

Position Player 2017 Cap Hit
QB Jay Cutler $10,000,000
DE William Hayes $4,750,000
LB Koa Misi $4,250,000
S Nate Allen $3,400,000
OG Jermon Bushrod $3,000,000
TE Anthony Fasano $2,750,000
S Michael Thomas $1,797,000
RB Damien Williams $1,797,000
QB Matt Moore $1,775,000
LS John Denney $980,000
CB Alterraun Verner $980,000
LT Sam Young $900,000
WR Jarvis Landry $868,728
QB David Fales $690,000
S Walt Aikens $658,977
K Cody Parkey $645,000
DE Terrance Fede $568,988

From that list, there are some obvious names to move on from. Jay Cutler, Koa Misi, Nate Allen, Jermon Bushrod, Matt Moore and Alterraun Verner won’t be back.

The highest priority names on the list are Jarvis Landry, Williams Hayes, Cody Parkey, Damien Williams, Terrance Fede and John Denney. All six of them will be made offers commensurate with my price in this scenario.

The group of fringe players that will be allowed to test the market are Walt Aikens, David Fales, Sam Young, Michael Thomas and Anthony Fasano.

With the expectation that Landry and Williams will test their value, and find deals that they like, we are saying goodbye to both in this simulation.

Jan 1, 2017; Miami Gardens, FL, USA; Miami Dolphins wide receiver Jarvis Landry (14) throws his helmet to the ground drawing a penalty after he scored a touchdown during the second quarter of an NFL football game against the New England Patriots at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports

William Hayes, Terrance Fede and Cody Parkey become the top priorities for two reasons. The defensive end market has the potential to dry-up quickly and the Dolphins are dangerously close to being in huge trouble at this important position. For Cody Parkey, he was superb in 2017. Good kickers can be found anywhere, but not having a good one isn’t an option, so Parkey gets a long-term deal. Add John Denney, to that point as well, as I can’t recall the last time he messed up a snap.

Of the fringe players, Michael Thomas and David Fales will be made offers. Thomas for his special-teams prowess and Fales to provide a viable camp arm. Fasano will either retire or find work elsewhere and Sam Young will be kept on speed-dial in-case our priority plans for the swing tackle position doesn’t work out. If he accepts the same contract he was playing under, he will be welcomed back regardless.

Returning: Hayes, Thomas, Parkey, Fede, Fales, Denney, Young.

Next come the player cuts. Miami had its fair share of under-performing players in a disappointing 6-10 campaign. Fortunately, for Miami, several of those players have large cap hits that can easily be vacated when the new league year begins.

These players are:

Position Player 2018 Savings
C Mike Pouncey $7,000,000
TE Julius Thomas $4,600,000
LB Lawrence Timmons $6,250,000
G Ted Larsen $1,108,332

Total savings: $18,958,332

Not a bad number for three players that were simply atrocious in 2017, and a fourth that couldn’t even show up for the first game (by doing that, he voided several guarantees in his contract – so thanks for that, Lawrence).

This leaves the Dolphins with nearly $30 million in cap space heading into free-agency. The option of restructuring Ryan Tannehill and Ndamukong Suh’s contracts could save the team another $10-$20 million.

I’ll save my opinions of Executive Vice President Mike Tannenbaum, but I do agree with one of his primary operating procedures. His approach to fill holes in free-agency, and opening up the draft for taking the best players, is wise. There is no quicker path to a bad draft class than picking based on need.

This part of the project is where things get hairy. We don’t know who will be retained by other teams but, like I said, it’s Friday and this is just for fun.

The primary positions I’m attacking in free agency are:

Left guard

Center

Tight End

Linebacker

I’d like to be in the defensive end market, but the class is feast or famine. With Ndamukong Suh on the books, I’m not spending Olivier Vernon-money on anybody short of J.J. Watt. DeMarcus Lawrence and Ziggy Ansah figure to cash in massive pay-days. I would kick the tires on Ansah, but I don’t think Miami would be able to afford his demands.

Left Guard: This is my primary focus in free agency. Miami needs to add veteran experience to this position to help young starters Laremy Tunsil and Jesse Davis. Forgoing the rumors of potential cuts, I’ll operate entirely off the currently listed unrestricted free agents (eliminating Josh Sitton of the Bears).

SIGNED: Josh Sitton – 2018 hit – $6,000,000 (Chicago – 2017 cap figure = $7,250,000)

That $6 million figure comes from the comparable players at his position. The Chiefs recently signed guard Laurent Duvernay-Tardif to a deal worth just under $6 million per year, and the Browns gave Joel Bitonio the same deal. Fulton was the 15th ranked guard via PFF, and this contract would make him the 18th highest paid guard in the league.

Center: Interior offensive line play has been a problem for years in Miami. This goes against Adam Gase’s mantra in the past, but I believe he is an adaptable coach. With the addition of Eric Studesville, the Dolphins are going to want to shore up the run game with athletic linemen that can execute a variety of blocking schemes.

SIGNED: Ryan Jensen – 2018 hit – $9,000,000 (Baltimore – 2017 cap figure = $1,797,000)

And just like that, Miami has a top level offensive line. Using the money saved on Jarvis Landry (and more directly, Mike Pouncey) to reshape the interior offensive line. Jensen is a nasty dude capable of executing multiple blocking schemes. This deal would make him the sixth highest paid center in football. Jensen was ranked 9th among centers via PFF.

Jan 3, 2016; Cincinnati, OH, USA; Baltimore Ravens center Ryan Jensen (66) scrums with Cincinnati Bengals cornerback Adam Jones (24) in the first half at Paul Brown Stadium. The bengals won 24-16. Mandatory Credit: Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports

Tight End: This is one of the more important positions in Adam Gase’s offense. Isolating the backside of the formation with a mismatch piece is imperative in the three-by-one set Gase incorporates so often. It would also behoove Miami to find better inline blocking from the position.

SIGNED: Darren Fells – 2018 hit – $3,000,000 (Detroit – 2017 cap figure = $1,000,000)

Continuing the theme of building a better protection unit, Fells comes over for Detroit with a significant pay raise. He’s going to man a lot of Miami’s 12 personnel packages as a force in the running game and as an occasional red zone option in the passing game.

Linebacker: Miami must remake this unit despite shelling out large contracts prior to 2017. Kiko Alonso was dreadful in his second year in Miami, Lawrence Timmons has already been dismissed (in this scenario) and Raekwon McMillan was hurt on his first play as a professional.

SIGNED: Tahir Whitehead – 2018 hit $6,000,000 (Detroit – 2017 cap figure = $4,000,000)

Whitehead earned a pay raise and, given his experience playing in the same defense Miami uses, it makes sense that Miami would be the team that gave it to him. He’s relatively position diverse, but could slide in for Kiko Alonso to minimize his reps en-route to becoming a three-down linebacker.

Dec 24, 2017; Cincinnati, OH, USA; Detroit Lions outside linebacker Tahir Whitehead (59) defends against Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Andy Dalton (14) at Paul Brown Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports

That will do it for the high-to-mid-level contracts divvied out for Miami. There will certainly be lower-level signings to the team to bolster depth and special teams. But these are the four starters I’m focusing my re-load on.

I’m left with $6 million in spending for additional free-agents, rookie class and in-season emergencies. This may require a restructure for Tannehill or Suh to pull it off, but it’s more than feasible.

Up next, the mock draft. We’ve solidified the offensive line and bolstered the tight end and linebacker positions. We kept the band together at defensive end, but we lost a running back and receiver that were heavy contributors to the team. Kenyan Drake’s emergence figures into the decision at running back. At receiver, it’s time to find out what we have in Leonte Carroo and Jakeem Grant.

2018 Miami Dolphins mock draft:

*Trade back from 11 to 29 with Jacksonville for the Jaguars second round pick in 2018, and first round pick in 2019.

Round Position Player School
1 TE Mark Andrews Oklahoma
2 RB Sony Michel Georgia
2 WR Anthony Miller Memphis
3 DE Chad Thomas Miami
4 LB Uchenna Nwosu Southern Cal
4 QB Brandon Silvers Troy
6 RB/H-back Jaylen Samuels North Carolina State
7 S Siran Neal Jacksonville State
7 OT Brett Toth Army

This gives us a 53-man roster of:

Jan 1, 2018; Pasadena, CA, USA; Oklahoma Sooners tight end Mark Andrews (81) runs against the Georgia Bulldogs in the second quarter in the 2018 Rose Bowl college football playoff semifinal game at Rose Bowl Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Robert Hanashiro-USA TODAY Sports

Quarterback: Ryan Tannehill, Brandon Silvers, David Fales

Running Back: Kenyan Drake, Sony Michel, Jaylen Samuels

Wide Receiver: Kenny Stills, Devante Parker, Anthony Miller, Jakeem Grant, Leonte Carroo

Tight End: Mark Andrews, Darren Fells, Marqueis Gray, AJ Derby

Starting Offensive Line: Laremy Tunsil, Zach Fulton, Ryan Jensen, Jesse Davis, Ja’Wuan James

                Reserves:            Sam Young, Isaac Asiata, Jake Brendel, Brett Toth

Defensive End: Cam Wake, Charles Harris, William Hayes, Andre Branch, Terrance Fede, Chad Thomas

Defensive Tackle: Ndamukong Suh, Jordan Phillips, Davon Godchaux, Vincent Taylor

Linebacker: Raekwon McMillan, Tahir Whitehead, Kiko Alonso, Stephone Anthony, Uchenna Nwosu, Chase Allen

Cornerback: Xavien Howard, Cordrea Tankersley, Bobby McCain, Tony Lippett, Torrey McTyer

Safety: Reshad Jones, T.J. McDonald, Siran Neal, Michael Thomas, Maurice Smith

I’m sure this will be remade several times over from now until April, and we obviously have to gauge interest in my free agent class, but money typically talks. If the Rams can revamp an entire receiver room in one off-season (top three WRs were elsewhere in 2016), then Miami can remake their offense this off-season.

Submit your roster re-makes to me on Twitter @WingfieldNFL and we’ll discuss the best ones on the podcast.

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Miami Dolphins

Miami Dolphins Week 9 Monday Morning Thoughts

Jason Hrina

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Image Credit: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

Tua Tagovailoa has IT.

Brian Flores is THE guy.

And I have to admit, Chris Grier has done a phenomenal job.

After an exciting 34-31 victory over the Arizona Cardinals (5-3), the Miami Dolphins (5-3) solidified themselves as a legitimate playoff team in the AFC. Sure, you can say we’re getting a bit cocky – we’ve watched our team falter plenty of times before. But do you get the sense that these are the same Dolphins we’ve been watching this century?

Right now, are you skeptical or optimistic?

Do you have butterflies because you’re nervous or because you’re excited?

Do you think the Dolphins are trying to survive each game or do you have confidence that they’ll win?

Coming off of 4-straight victories, it’s easy to feel like we’re on top of the world, but this team looks different. It feels different. They act different.

Below are a few thoughts following Miami’s promising 34-31 victory over the Arizona Cardinals.

Monday Morning Thoughts

Tua Tagovailoa is the franchise quarterback we’ve been waiting for

Admit it, when they originally ruled that throwaway an interception, you saw shades of every failed quarterback to come since Dan Marino.

That play was so comically bad that it easily could have defined Tua’s career if it didn’t pan out. Thankfully, it was ruled that the receiver’s foot was out-of-bounds and it was an incomplete pass – but imagine the memes that would have been unleashed if Miami lost this game and that play counted.

But, it didn’t count….and the Dolphins didn’t lose….and Tua Tagovailoa out-dueled Kyler Murray when it mattered most.

When the Dolphins needed a game-winning drive, Tua delivered. When Kyler Murray had an opportunity to tie it, he didn’t (along with an obscure Zane Gonzalez kick).

Tua’s elite pocket presence, accuracy, decision-making, and ball placement were all on display. And none of that accounts for the plays he made with his legs.

If you’re a Dolphins fan, you’re thrilled with what you saw. And though it’s only a small sample size, I think we can all exhale – he looks like he’s the guy.

Byron Jones is still a damn good Cornerback

After three-straight dominant performances, Byron Jones was a bit humbled this game. We’re so used to watching him shut down opposing receivers that a game like this really sticks out.

He was absolutely burned by Christian Kirk on a beautiful deep ball from Kyler Murray late in the first quarter, but that wasn’t his worse play.

Dolphins fans and Byron Jones both thought he hauled in his first interception since October, 2017. Instead, Darrell Daniels’ first career touchdown reception is one of the highlights of the year as he snatches the ball right out of Jones’ hands.

I mean, Byron Jones had that ball in his hands for an interception, and before they hit the ground Darrell Daniels steals it into his possession. AND somehow had his knee down so it would count as a catch. Crazy.

Miami’s (really, it’s Brian Flores’) now infamous “zero” boom-or-bust scheme is susceptible to the long-ball, as our corners are expected to cover their receivers 1-on-1; with no safety help behind them. So far this season, it has worked tremendously to their advantage (as seen below)

But, if your coverage isn’t on par, this will happen:

With all of that said, Byron Jones is still a great cornerback in this league. Was this a bad game? Definitely. But I don’t expect this to become a trend. Lets not take for granted the elite secondary we currently have.

Christian Wilkins should NOT stop celebrating

Just please celebrate responsibly.

One of the reasons Dolphins fans adore Christian Wilkins is because of his infectious personality. He’s notoriously running in and celebrating every offensive touchdown with his team. His trash talking is innocently intimidating. The way he pumps his team up is perfect for any locker room culture. On top of the fact that he’s a pretty good defensive tackle.

Which is why I want him to keep celebrating – and I want him to continue celebrating excessively.

Preston Williams‘ unfortunate injury during a touchdown celebration is a huge reason why professional coaches like to contain their million-dollar players. Not just on the field, but off the field as well. It makes sense, they’re valuable commodities, but Wilkins’ spirit is too valuable to douse.

If something like this happens again, then we can talk about stifling his excitement, until then….celebrate smarter.

Xavien Howard’s “penalties” tell half the story

Xavien Howard was tasked with shadowing DeAndre Hopkins, and he ended up accounting for more penalty yards (43) than receiving yards against him (30).

The real testament to Howard’s coverage throughout the game? DeAndre Hopkins, one of the best wide receivers in the league, didn’t see a single target in the first half of the game.

A couple (terrible) penalties shouldn’t overshadow the fact that Xavien Howard and Byron Jones may be the best cornerback tandem in the league.

The Miami Dolphins need a Running Back in the worst way

Jordan Howard‘s 8-yard run on the last drive of the game – which helped seal the victory – was his biggest play as a Miami Dolphin. Up to that point, I was kind of rooting for Howard to continue his 1 YPC average. If you take away that 8-yard run (EASILY his longest of the year), Howard has gained 25 rushing yards on 27 rushing attempts (0.93 YPC).

Rookie Salvon Ahmed had a solid game, with 7 carries for 38 yards (5.4 YPC). I’m not sure how reliable he is, but he can’t be worse than Howard. If Matt Breida is available for next week’s game against the Los Angeles Chargers, I’m sure Howard will once again be inactive, giving Ahmed another shot to prove himself.

We probably should have given Austin Jackson the week off

Austin Jackson returned to the lineup for the first time in 4 weeks (due to a foot injury) and was “ok”. He was beat on a few plays, but it’s evident he wasn’t 100%. I wouldn’t make any presumptions based off of this game; if anything, the reps help from an experience/mental perspective.

Jason Sanders is a stud

Jason Sanders connecting on 56 and 50-yard field goals are that much more impressive when you take into account that weird Zane Gonzalez miss (where he was short from 49 yards).

The conspiracy floating around is that the ball died (on Gonzalez’s kick) because the roof was open. Yet, Sanders made his 50+ yard field goals with room to spare.

Today’s the day we will never take Jason Sanders for granted as he surpassed Olindo Mare‘s franchise record of 19-straight field goals made.

The Miami Dolphins are going to “have to” extend Emmanuel Ogbah

I think we all would love to see a contract extension, but it’s bordering on a “necessity” at this point. Not just because we want to lock up a top-notch defensive end, but because he’s going to (rightfully) demand more financial security.

Though it always felt like he was on a one-year deal, this is technically the first year of a 2-year, $15m contract for Emmanuel Ogbah, but there’s no guaranteed money tied to 2021 – and there’s no way he’s playing like a $7.5m defensive end.

Jordan Phillips averages $10m a year with his recent contract, and I think it’s fair to say that Ogbah is worth more than that. Expect a holdout if the Dolphins don’t give him a raise and an extension this offseason. That’s not to say we should be concerned – I think Miami will look to make this extension a priority – but if they don’t see eye-to-eye expect a holdout to occur.

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Miami Dolphins

The Miami Dolphins – A Tale of Two Franchises

Jason Hrina

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Image Credit: Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

Football is a team sport.

Wins don’t individually define a quarterback’s success.

Yet everyone agrees that the only way to win in the NFL is to have a quarterback that is better than (just about) every other franchise in the sport.

Once you have an upper-echelon quarterback, then you can talk about the nuances of creating a team. Whether it’s surrounding that quarterback with the proper talent, ensuring you’ve built the right scheme around them, or complimenting them with a staunch defense to complete a championship run, developing an entire roster means nothing if you don’t have a quarterback that can lead you to the playoffs.

38 years ago, the Miami Dolphins selected a quarterback that would revolutionize the NFL.

A man decades before his time, the immediate success Dan Marino brought us – after 13 championship-caliber years with Bob Griese – shielded us from the horrors of football purgatory. Maybe it’s this curse of #13 that has us clamoring for football relevance after almost 50 years without a Super Bowl Championship.

We watched our franchise devolve from the model of perfection to a team without an identity; floundering desperately to find a viable quarterback for two decades.

And with one swift decision, the Dolphins simultaneously expunged their football idiocy of years past and exhibited the type of football prowess that should lead them to salvation.

Image Credit: South Florida Sun Sentinel

As we’re destroying the team for wasting 2nd & 5th-round picks on Josh Rosen, we’re praising them for building the foundation for future success. Gone are these false prophets of yesteryear, as the real prodigy we’ve all been yearning for is one step closer to leading the helm.

Once Tua Tagovailoa was selected 5th-overall in the 2020 NFL draft, Rosen’s exile was cemented. He was never going to have an opportunity to make it here, it was always going to be Tua Tagovailoa backing up Ryan Fitzpatrick. The grizzly, 13-year veteran handles the nuances of a young football team while the young, energetic and extremely talented rookie spends valuable time learning and developing.

That move…that single transaction…will forever symbolize the moment the Miami Dolphins transitioned from football purgatory to football relevance.

The Purgatory We Built

No one remembers the cost of a successful trade.

Off the top of your head, what did the New York Giants trade to swap Philip Rivers for Eli Manning? How much did Carson Wentz cost the Philadelphia Eagles when they traded up for him? I bet you all remember the litany of picks the Washington Football Team paid for Robert Griffin III, or how badly the Chicago Bears missed on Mitch Trubisky when they gave up a bunch of picks to move up from #3 to #2.

It’s because mistakes are always magnified for franchises that fail. As a fan base, we’ve been groomed to remember all the negative aspects of our favorite football team, because that’s all we’ve known for the better half of our adult lives.

After trudging through this wasteland for so long, we are finally ready to move past all of the detrimental mistakes that have cost us 20+ years of our lives – including the Josh Rosen trade.

Sure, you have your classics like failing to draft (and then sign) Drew Brees, drafting Ronnie Brown over Aaron Rodgers with the 2nd-overall pick, drafting Jake Long over Matt Ryan with the 1st-overall pick, and trading a 2nd-round pick for A.J. Feeley.

It’s not that the Dolphins haven’t tried, it’s just that they have failed almost mightily when doing so.

I respect that Miami was aggressive in their pursuit of Josh Rosen – or for any of the other quarterbacks they’ve attempted to put under center – but their aggression was either misguided, ill-informed, or even desperate at best.

A year prior to Rosen’s draft-day trade, another draft-day trade was occurring – one that would transcend the Baltimore Ravens organization for the prolonged future. With the 32nd pick in the draft, the Ravens selected Lamar Jackson – a quarterback some Dolphins fans wanted with the team’s 11th-overall pick.

To move back into the first round and secure a quarterback with the 5th-year option, all Baltimore had to give up was an additional 2nd-round pick (see the full trade at the end of the article).

With their draft-day trade, the Baltimore Ravens landed an MVP.
With their draft-day trade, the Miami Dolphins landed a quarterback that was released for nothing.

Again, I don’t fault the Dolphins for being aggressive, but their pursuit was often awry.

The frustrating part of all of this may be that this team actually “spent” both in assets and money, they just didn’t seem to take that extra step at the right time.

Spending 2nd-round picks was fine 3 years in a row (with Chad Henne, John Beck and Pat White), but spending 2nd-round picks then became “too much” when they could have moved up in the 2017 draft to select Patrick Mahomes or Deshaun Watson – instead, they stayed put at #22 and drafted Charles Harris.

Think about it, Miami’s best quarterbacks since Dan Marino were:

  • Castaway by the New York Jets (and subsequently got his shoulder destroyed like everyone predicted)
  • (Allegedly) Forced upon us by Stephen Ross because he knew what a new quarterback would inject into a flat-lining brand (ie: making $$)

Between Chad Pennington and Ryan Tannehill there is 1 playoff appearance and 0 playoff wins.

There are definitive reasons why the Dolphins are executing a rebuild in 2019-2020 – after attempting to rebuild numerous times already this century – and you can say that lots of it has to do with the Head Coaches that have been in place.

Watching Ryan Tannehill lead the Tennessee Titans to the AFC Championship came was the most-conflicted I’ve felt in a long time as a Dolphins fan. I was thrilled he was able to prove himself, but frustrated that my team was once again watching from the couch.

Heck, for all the praise we give Brian Flores, he couldn’t get Minkah Fitzpatrick to buy into his system – ultimately losing a near-Defensive MVP player to an organization that has been breathing success since the Dolphins’ perfect 1972 season.

Miami hasn’t lacked talent – it’s why they’re constantly hovering around 8-8. The problem is, they lack the most important piece on the football field combined with the right leader to mold them. Which explains why they constantly sit around 8-8.

The Future We Created

But thoughts of perpetual 8-8 seasons are a thing of the past. The Dolphins may have drafted their future franchise quarterback back in April, but they officially rolled out their #1 prize just a few days ago. Coincidentally, just 3 days after Rosen was released.

The timing is likely coincidental, but who says omens have to be a bad thing?

This Dolphins team is young (thanks to Chris Grier), determined (courtesy of Brian Flores’ mindset), talented (after accumulating so many draft picks) and they’re wise beyond their years.

With a bounty of draft picks at their disposal once again in 2021, and with a franchise quarterback seemingly set to take over by season’s end, the future for the Miami Dolphins looks EXTREMELY bright.

After most “experts” predicted the Dolphins would go nearly winless – some even calling for criminal investigations to be conducted – Flores showed off his leadership and led Miami to a 5-11 record.

If the worst roster in the NFL can win 5 games, what can an improved roster accomplish?

Last year, there were too many holes on the roster to count. Now, you’re desperate to find a missing piece. In 12 months, we’ve gone from cringe-worthy to dynasty-bound in some expert’s eyes.

So have the Dolphins finally returned to football relevance?

If this team really identified the right Head Coach, and if Tua’s hip can stay healthy, then there’s no reason why the Miami Dolphins aren’t about to embark on a successful crusade that takes the rest of the NFL by storm.

Earlier this year, we lost one of the greatest leaders to ever bless our organization. In honor of the all-time wins leader, the Miami Dolphins will wear a patch signifying Don Shula’s record-setting 347 career wins.

And who knows, maybe this renaissance is Shula’s last gift to an organization – and a community – that he spent his life already giving so much to. The symbolism would be all-too coincidental otherwise.

The Baltimore Ravens/Lamar Jackson Trade:

Yes, I understand every other team passed on Jackson. I also understand the Ravens passed on him once when they selected Hayden Hurst with the 25th-overall pick that year, but Baltimore has built a championship-caliber organization over the past two decades, while the Dolphins have accomplished one playoff win – I think they’ve earned the benefit of the doubt here.

The Lamar Jackson trade can be broken down like this:

  • Baltimore traded pick 52 (2nd-round) to move up to 32nd-overall (1st)
  • Baltimore also sent Philadelphia pick 125 in the deal, but they received pick 132 in return – a downgrade of 7 spots in the 4th-round.
  • Otherwise, all Baltimore spent was a 2nd-round pick in 2019 (which ended up being pick #53).

Full trade:

Eagles Receive Picks: 52 (2nd), 125 (4th) and pick 53 (2nd) in the 2019 draft
Ravens Receive Picks: 32 (1st) and 132 (4th)

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Miami Dolphins

There’s A Fine Line Between Being A Genius & Being Dumb in the NFL

Jason Hrina

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Image Credit: Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

Think Brian Flores & Chris Grier aren’t smart?

After successfully navigating through all of the pre-draft smokescreens better than teenagers can survive the high school rumor mill, the Miami Dolphins are in a position to flourish for the next decade.

Yes, it’s something we’ve said before almost annually, but this time, there’s a clear foundation that will allow the roots of this franchise to prosper.

We’ve Heard This Before

Tony Sparano blossomed under the Bill Parcells‘ coaching tree in Dallas, bringing with him an aura of prominence and a pedigree for smash mouth football.

After a miraculous 10-game turnaround that took Miami from #1 overall in the draft to division winners, fans felt they had the proper leadership in place.

That was soon debunked when the Dolphins followed an 11-5 (2008) season with 7-9 (2009), 7-9 (2010) and 6-10 (2011). It’s not that any of us feel that Sparano was a bad coach, but it was more-than-evident that he was handicapped at the quarterback position.

The Dolphins go 11-5 in 2008 because their quarterback was the runner-up in the MVP race, and they falter to 7-9 after that because they decided to build around Chad Henne.

Good coach, but poor coaching decisions.

From there, the Dolphins hired one of the best human beings on the planet – Joe Philbin. The notorious problem with Philbin was: he couldn’t lead a football team.

Failing to rein in Vontae Davis‘ hangovers, everything regarding Richie Incognito, the Chad Ochocinco saga (check out this damning ESPN article from 2012, which gives you a glimpse into how the player’s felt about Philbin early on), and all of the Mike Wallace drama. Those football teams had some decent talent, yet were never better than a mediocre 8-8 in Philbin’s 4 years.

Great person, but terrible with people.

Adam Gase then took a 1-4 season and made the playoffs at 10-6. All the optimism surrounding Ryan Tannehill seemed justified, and we were ecstatic for the future. But we came to learn that Gase’s coaching talents resembled more of a glorified offensive coordinator, which left players feelings ostracized and without a sense of direction – especially those on defense.

Like Philbin, Gase wanted a group of players that followed him, rather than developing a strategy that tailored to his players’ strengths. He traded away (or failed to re-sign) productive players drafted by Grier in years past, just because he couldn’t handle them.

After a 10-6 start to his coaching career (2016), we watched our hopes dwindle to 6-10 (2017) – accompanied with $10m worth of embarrassing Jay Cutler highlights – and then 7-9 (2018) after the “quarterback guru” couldn’t get any production out of a 2019 Pro Bowl & AFC Championship quarterback in Ryan Tannehill.

Offensive visionary, but he couldn’t see past his own shortcomings.

So Why is This Different?

This would be the definition of insanity….if it meant that we were following the same trend.

Yes, we understand the eternal caveat that we won’t know for sure until we see the results, but after a successful 2019 – and a stellar 2020 draft that features plenty of starting potential – we’re not going too far out on a limb to say that they have our trust.

Going into a vital 2020 NFL draft where the team held 3 first-round picks, the Miami Dolphins’ future rested solely on the leis of Tua Tagovailoa. For months we were on edge, because, as Dolphins fans, we just figured they would screw it up. But once they secured their quarterback of the future, the plan was simple: protect him.

Not only was the plan to build a wall in front of him, but Grier and Flores identified that some of these positions take more time to develop than others. Rarely do offensive and defensive linemen jump right in and become dominant players. The difference between pancaking teenagers in college to moving a mountain-of-a-man in the NFL is colossal.

Rookies go through such a strenuous process to improve their draft stock – immediately after completing a full college season – that they are burned out by the time their rookie year is over. That’s exactly what happened to Michael Deiter towards the end of last season; it’s no surprise we see their performance start to slide after putting in so much work throughout the year.

Drafting Austin Jackson (18th-overall pick), Robert Hunt (39th), and Solomon Kindley (111th) means Miami is giving their rookies time to grow before being asked to protect their most-important asset since Dan Marino.

Instead of a trying to learn the nuances of the NFL with a rookie quarterback, they can learn how an offensive play is properly setup, executed and audibled under a veteran, Ryan Fitzpatrick.

When it comes time to protect Tua Tagovailoa in 2021, they won’t have to worry if they understood the protection, if they’ll make a rookie mistake, or if they’ll naively and unintentionally do something embarrassing or costly. They’ll be able to focus on executing the play properly, giving Tua an ample amount of time to handle his own “rookie” adjustments.

With Raekwon Davis, the Dolphins acquire another player at a position that tends to need some time to grow. This move makes me wonder what the future holds for Davon Godchaux, who is expected to receive a very nice payday in free agency after this season, but for now, Miami can rely heavily on Godchaux and their 2019 1st-round pick, Christian Wilkins. Davis has the opportunity to learn under these two as he prepares to take on a much bigger role in 2021.

With their final 1st-round pick, Miami selected another young player at a cornerstone position. The adjustments rookie cornerbacks need to make when guarding an NFL receiver are somewhat substantial, and Noah Igbinoghene will be able to learn and make these adjustments while covering the opponent’s third or forth receiver – with the added security that he has an array of established and Pro Bowl veterans behind him.

This might hint at an ugly and somewhat inconsistent 2020 season, as roughly half of this roster is new to the team, but all of these young players will start to excel as Tua begins to transition into our full-time starting quarterback.

Which means the Miami Dolphins are ready to make a legitimate playoff run in 2021.

Is it possible all of these risks falter? Of course! Austin Jackson just turned 21 years old, and he wasn’t viewed as the best left tackle in college last season – he is a projection. Noah Igbinoghene wasn’t viewed as a 1st-round caliber cornerback, as most “experts” think he’s restricted to covering the slot rather than becoming a boundary corner. And then you have the general, inevitable fact that some of these picks just won’t pan out.

But we watched players like Mike Gesicki, DeVante Parker, Raekwon McMillan, Vince Biegel and Nik Needham take the “next step” under Brian Flores stewardship. It only makes us wonder who he’ll coach up next.

Now that Flores is more-comfortable as a sophomore coach, and the team understands his “win no matter what” philosophy, Miami should naturally thrive in year two….right?

Like all of these other coaches before him, Flores is an absolute genius after year one. And like all those coaches before him, he’s one season away from looking like a dunce.

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