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Re-drafting in the Adam Gase Era – 2016

Skyler Trunck

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With the bye week and Miami looking down the barrel of another mediocre season-finish, I thought I’d take a different approach to analyzing this team.  That approach would be the always-fun hypothetical of re-drafting in the Adam Gase era (since 2016), and the impact those players could have on today’s Miami Dolphins team.

Today we look at the 2016 NFL Draft.

Disclaimer:  There are a lot of solid players available when Miami was on the clock in almost every pick Miami had.  However, to keep things simple, we’ll only be looking at players that would help today’s team (not the team Miami fielded in 2016) and players available between that pick and Miami’s next pick.  Granted, Miami needs help almost everywhere, but to give you an example, if Miami has the choice between a player like an interior linemen or a safety, the interior linemen will be the choice due to the current, injured state of the line.

 

Round 1 – Pick 13

Miami’s Selection: Laremy Tunsil – LT

Redo Selection: Laremy Tunsil – LT (Miami Dolphins)

There are very few players on this current roster that could be considered elite or approaching elite status.  Laremy Tunsil is one of them. In addition to how talented Tusnil is, he is a huge need for this team. Here’s a look at what this team looks like without Tunsil:

Yikes.

There are players picked before Tunsil I’d swap him out for (such as Carson Wentz, Joey Bosa, or Jalen Ramsey), but those players weren’t on the board at pick 13.  I also wouldn’t move Tunsil for a player like Karl Joseph, Corey Coleman, or Taylor Decker, who were the three picks after him.

There are a few other intriguing players who would be available at this pick, such as William Jackson, Kenny Clark, or Myles Jack, but a tackle who can do what Tunsil can do is something that’s hard to pass on.

 

Round 2 – Pick 38

Miami’s Selection: Xavien Howard – CB

Redo Selection: Michael Thomas – WR (New Orleans Saints)

Of this hypothetical, this choice is by far the most difficult.  Xavien Howard is a star in the making, and like Tunsil, is one of the few players Miami can build around for the future.

This is honestly a toss-up, but Michael Thomas is currently the #1 receiver in football according to PFF (grade of 91.0).  If not the best receiver, I don’t think many can argue he’s not one of the top 5 today.

Sure, it doesn’t hurt having Drew Brees throw you the football, but true #1 receivers like Thomas have a strong impact on the game and aren’t easy to find.

Again, if Miami were to re-do this and choose Xavien Howard over Michael Thomas, you’d hear no complaints from this corner.  However, with an offense who has lost Albert Wilson for the year, and with players like Jakeem Grant, Kenny Stills, and Devante Parker missing significant time, a receiver is a large need for this team.

 

Round 3 – pick 73

Miami’s Selection: Kenyan Drake – RB

Redo Selection: Kendall Fuller – CB (Kansas City Chiefs via Washington Redskins)

Given Miami has a pick at 86, there is only a small window of players picked after 73 to re-do this pick on.  Although Kenyan Drake is a nice weapon for this offense, in recent weeks, his touches have decreased and Miami is still running the ball fairly sufficiently.

Again, one of those picks where it’s hard to argue if you stick with your Miami player or re-do the selection, but with passing over Xavien Howard in the second round, you’ll need a corner to fill that spot.  Kendall Fuller isn’t quite on Howard’s level, but he’ll be an ample replacement.

Fuller has found most of his success in the slot.  Miami’s current slot corner, Bobby McCain, has missed a lot of time and may not be available after the bye.  Fuller would be a welcomed addition to this secondary.

 

Round 3 – pick 86

Miami’s Selection: Leonte Carroo – WR

Redo Selection: Joe Schobert – LB (Cleveland Browns)

Miami doesn’t have another pick until round 6, so the board is wide open for players to take here, and I’m sure Miami would love a chance to redo this pick.

There are a bunch of ways you can go with this pick, Tyreek Hill, Dak Prescott, Jordan Howard, etc.  There are exactly 100 players selected between this pick and Miami’s next.

However, the biggest bang for your buck is Joe Schobert, current linebacker for the Cleveland Browns.  Schobert is currently ranked second among all linebackers according to PFF coming off a 2017 Pro Bowl campaign.

He registered 144 tackles last year and is currently on pace for over 100 despite missing the last three games.  The best part about Schobert, is he is ranked first among linebackers by PFF metrics in coverage — something Miami would love improvement on in their linebacking corps.

A strong argument could be made for Dak Prescott given the Tannehill injury, but does he experience the same success he has/did in Dallas with Miami’s beat-up offense?  He’s shown in Dallas he excels with talent around him, but not quite as good when the talent takes a hit.  Does this remind you of anyone you know?

There are too many questions for me around Prescott to stray away from the sure-fire pick in Schobert.

 

Round 6 – pick 186

Miami’s Selection: Jakeem Grant – WR

Redo Selection: Jakeem Grant – WR (Miami Dolphins)

Again, another short window before Miami’s other pick in the 6th round.  There aren’t a lot of sure-fire players in this gap to make Miami move on from Jakeem Grant.  Grant is becoming a good weapon for this Miami Dolphins offense, and despite the injuries, there isn’t anyone else worthy of this pick.

 

Round 6 – pick 204

Miami’s Selection: Jordan Lucas – S

Redo Selection: Ted Karras – G (New England Patriots)

We’re getting to the point of the draft where Miami has a lot of selections and there isn’t a good talent pool to choose from as far as starting players go.

Ted Karras is one of those players that doesn’t start, but he has a role as a back-up.  He’s slotted as a backup interior lineman for New England, and in the time he’s played these last couple years, he’s grading out in the mid 70’s according to PFF.

Miami could use a starter here, but with all the injuries sustained, a solid backup guard like Karras is hard to pass on.

 

Round 7 – Pick 223

Miami’s Selection: Brandon Doughty – QB

Redo Selection: Stephen Weatherly – DE (Minnesota Vikings)

Between this selection and Miami’s next selection, there are only 3 players on an active roster.  Among those three are a punter and two defensive ends.

Stephen Weatherly is one, and current Miami Dolphins defensive end, Jonathan Woodard, is the other (selected by the Jacksonville Jaguars).  Weatherly is playing meaningful snaps in Minnesota, where Woodard is mostly only seeing the field due to other significant injuries.

Both are similar in that you’d like to have both as backups, but Weatherly takes a slight edge after starting 6 games this year, recording 22 tackles and 3 sacks.

 

Round 7 – pick 231

Miami’s Selection: Thomas Duarte – TE

Redo Selection: Austin Blythe – G (LA Rams via Indianapolis Colts)

With this pick being Miami’s last, this hypothetical gives Miami the luxury of dipping into the undrafted pool.  However, Miami doesn’t need to go that far with this pick. Interior offensive lineman, Austin Blythe, picked by the Indianapolis Colts (now on the LA Rams) is the obvious selection.

Blythe is ranked #2 among guards according to PFF and is having an all-pro caliber year.  The offensive line Miami is fielding right now is laughable, and finding a quality guard, let alone a top-tier guard in the seventh round is a no-brainer at this point.


I think the only obvious pick that would turn this team from mediocre to a sure-fire contender is a high-quality quarterback, and Miami saw none of those prospects in the picks they had.  Redoing this draft would probably net this team another win or two, but more importantly, set them up from a strong future.

With 253 players chosen and many more to sign as undrafted free agents, I’m sure there is something you, the reader, feel differently about.  I’d be interested to hear your take!  Follow me on Twitter @skylertrunck and let me know what you think.

Skyler has been a fan of the Dolphins as far as his memory takes him. Hailing from a small town in Iowa, his passion for the Dolphins is only contested by his love of the game. Having coached football for 4 years, he continues to follow and study the game.

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Miami Dolphins have exercised Laremy Tunsil’s fifth-year option

Shawn Digity

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Laremy Tunsil USA Today Sports
Laremy Tunsil taking on Khalil Mack. Image courtesy of USA Today Sports

Miami Dolphins have exercised Laremy Tunsil’s fifth-year option

The headline says it all; the Miami Dolphins have picked up Laremy Tunsil’s rookie contract fifth-year option. All 2016 first-round draftees are up for fifth-round options and the dominoes have started to fall with Tunsil.

The announcement tweet, which can be seen below, was broken on Twitter by Armando Salguero and shouldn’t come as a huge surprise to Dolphins fans. Laremy Tunsil is one of the key cogs of the team and will be the cornerstone of an otherwise enfeebled offensive line that will likely be addressed in next week’s Draft.

Laremy Tunsil is the surest thing on the Dolphins o-line in a unit that has seen better days and will require two to three new starters. While Tunsil was a no-brainer for the Dolphins to pick up that fifth-round option on, they’ll likely have to extend him at some point, which won’t come cheap since he’s one of the rising stars at left tackle.

But Laremy Tunsil is secured through the 2020 season. I hope between now and then the Dolphins spearhead an extension and get Tunsil locked up a little bit longer. Success in the trenches will start with Tunsil at left tackle and the Fins can fill in the rest during the draft.

Laremy Tunsil will realistically become the highest-paid left tackle at some point in the next few years, and the Dolphins would be wise to get ahead of the curve for that. I think that will happen.

The current frontrunner for left-tackle contracts is the Oakland Raiders’ Trent Brown, and he is making an APY (average per year) of $16.5 million with. The top ten left tackles are making from the aforementioned $16.5 million to $12 million for Green Bay’s David Bakhtiari, Kansas City’s Eric Fisher, and Cincinnati’s Cordy Glenn.

There’s an average APY of $14 million, but I expect Laremy Tunsil to eventually be well above that average when the time comes–I foresee the Dolphins making him the highest paid left tackle, remember. Full guarantees on those top-ten contracts are running between $16 and $36 million, so there’s much more variability with those portions of the contract.

Good and great left tackles aren’t cheap. Laremy Tunsil will break the bank in a few years and will be the highest paid left tackle if the Miami Dolphins intend on making him their franchise LT for years to come.

Laremy Tunsil was drafted by the Miami Dolphins in the 2016 NFL draft after an unfortunate and unfair draft-day tumble that gave the team a golden opportunity. The 2016 class has proven to be extremely fruitful (for the most part). Along with Tunsil, Xavien Howard, Kenyan Drake, and Jakeem Grant were selected in the second, third and sixth rounds, respectively, and all have made major contributions in one form or another.

Exercising Tunsil’s fifth-year option is good news for Fins fans. It’s not a blockbuster trade or a splash signing, but taking care of the best players already on the team before it snowballs out of control a la Jarvis Landry or Ju’Wuan James is a step in the right direction. And while exercising Tunsil’s option is an obvious choice, it’s still an encouraging sign nonetheless.

All contractual information courtesy of Over the Cap.

 

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Miami Dolphins

Brian Flores’ Pre-Draft Update

Jason Hrina

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Image Credit: Miami Dolphins / Jason Hrina

Get used to this mantra, Miami Dolphins fans: Adapt or Die.

You might not find it printed on training camp t-shirts for the team to sport around, but you can expect head coach Brian Flores to repeat this line often. It’s about to become ingrained in both us and the players.

Flores spoke briefly with reporters before the team finished up their 3-day “voluntary” workout and prepares for the upcoming NFL draft.

If you’ve heard these kind of comments before, it’s because Flores has nailed the proper, cliche  press conference etiquette. Answers are “insightful”, but vague. He gives you an answer while also laying out all other possibilities. That said, he’ll sometimes respond with some sarcasm and wit that’ll reassure you that there is a personality inside of him.

If there is one thing we can take away from Flores’ demeanor and message, it’s that he isn’t about to tolerate the type of locker room culture that festered under Adam Gase. There will be both accountability and self-reflection; and that’s reassuring after witnessing Gase deflect blame to everyone but himself.

With the most important day of the offseason just one week away, we take a look at what Flores had to say at his press conference earlier this morning:

On the Draft:

Most important measuring tool?:

“Combination of production. Height. Weight. Speed. Intangibles. Fit. There’s a myriad of things there. To say it’s just one thing that’s important…they’re all important.”

“Is one more important than the other, I’d say no.”

“It’s the total fit of the player and how we feel they’ll fit with our team.”

Combine/Visits, what do you get out of it?:

“Try to get to know the person, that’s a big part of this.”

“Sometimes people see players as just players. You want to know about their mom, their dad, who was an important person in their life. What kind of adversity they have faced before. Does that person fit your style as a coach, your locker room, the culture you’re trying to build as a team. When you sit down with a player, you’re just trying to get to know him.”

I think Dolphins fans know this all too well after the Dez Bryant/Jeff Ireland prostitution episode back in 2010.

Flores’ Influence in the Draft:

“Chris and I definitely work well together. We speak the same language….when we come together it’s the same (language)”

“Have had (and) will have discussions on different scenarios (throughout the draft)”

On his New/Hybrid Defense:

What kind of players do you need for your Hybrid defense?:

“We need good players.”

“I think as a coach, you get a good player, (and you ask yourself) what does he do well? You try and do that.”

“That’s the good thing about having a versatile scheme, it fits a good player.”

“You try and get the best player and I feel me and my staff can fit what we’re going to do around that player.”

“Some guys are going to have a better fit than others, but you have to put the whole fit together.”

On Identity of this Team:

“You know, call it what you want.”

“I’m going to get my team to play hard. Play together. Play with good fundamentals and technique. Play as a team. Put the team first. You have to try and get 11 guys to play together and that’s a hard thing to accomplish as a coach.”

“That’s my goal, you can call it whatever you want. ‘The Patriot Way’….to me, it’s just good football.”

Flores seems to understand that he’s going to live under Bill Belichick‘s shadow for awhile, especially if he is unsuccessful. Seems like he’s also getting a little tired of it….and I kind of like it. I’m glad he’ll have this chip on his shoulder to prove that he isn’t just a Belichick clone. Then again, judging by all Flores has gone through, he doesn’t need this chip to drive him.

Does he expect his players to be on time?:

“If you’re early, you’re on time, if you’re on time, you’re late, and if you’re late you’re forgotten.”

“Is it a rule, no, it’s my personal mantra.”

“I have a lot of respect for time. I think it’s precious; we shouldn’t take it for granted. If you want to stay on schedule you have to stay on time.”

“We have a schedule, it’s laid out pretty well.”

There is absolutely no bull**** from Brian Flores when it comes to practice! That’s not to say Adam Gase or any of the other prior head coaches were more-lenient, but you get the feeling that Flores isn’t going to tolerate players who believe they are bigger than the team.

Gase showed a similar coaching style when he traded Jay Ajayi and released players like Byron Maxwell and Jordan Phillips, but that never translated to a productive locker room culture. It’ll be interesting to see how Flores’ style compares.

On His “Right-Hand Man”:

“Pick any of the 20 guys, they’re all my right-hand men.”

“We work well together. (We) try and put a staff together that embodies what I want our team to reflect.

“I want to be tough, I want to be smart, I want to work well together.”

On Mike Gesicki:

“Mike is a good, young player. Talented. Like everyone else on this team, there are places he can improve, develop, get better. As a young player, there’s a lot of room for development. Mike’s working hard. We see what everyone else sees: he has size, speed, can catch the ball.”

On Raekwon McMillan and Jerome Baker:

“Raekwon is big. Fast. Physical. (Has) good leadership. Smart. Can play a few different positions. (A) good, young player.”

“Jerome is another skilled player. Fast. Good tackler. Raekwon is a good tackler as well. Smart. Can do a few different things. Can cover; which, obviously in this league, going in a passing direction, it’s good to have an LB that can cover.”

“We’re glad to have them both.”

On Jake Rudock and Luke Falk:

“Like everyone else, they’re working hard. They are doing everything possible to try and improve their techniques, fundamentals. Footwork. Ball Handling. They’re doing a really good job. All 3 quarterbacks.”

“We’re excited to see what they can do moving forward.”

Flores couldn’t be more generic with the assessment of his players. Even going back to when he discussed Charles Harris at a previous press conference, Flores tends to speak about his players vaguely, as if to avoid tipping his hand in any regard.

From a player’s perspective, it’s nice to know your coach won’t throw you under the bus and will keep things private. From our fan perspective, it means we just have to go through every possible adjective and scenario with him. He’s not lying when one of them has to be true.

On his Mother’s Passing:

“It was hard. She’s someone I think about on a daily basis. Wish she was here to enjoy this with us, but she’s with me all the time.”

“She wouldn’t’ want me to dwell or be upset and she would want me to have peace.”

“I’m sad. I’m unhappy. I miss her. But I have peace knowing I did everything I can to make her proud.”

On New Surprises as a Head Coach:

“(I have had) A lot of conversations with head coaches around the league…one thing they said is something would come across your desk every day.”

“(That’s) kind of my approach coming in, being adaptable. A mantra of our team: ‘adapt or die’.”

“Part of (the job) is allowing other people to lead.”

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Miami Dolphins

Miami Dolphins 2019 Vegas Slant Schedule Breakdown

Travis Wingfield

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Future opponents are known years in advance in the NFL. With the exception of two games decided by divisional standing finish, fourteen opponents are determined based on the schedule rotation. The order in which those games will occur, like everything else the NFL does, has become a primetime event.

While the luck of the draw factors heavily (in-season injuries, particular teams playing their best/worst ball at a certain time of year, etc.) the order of the games provides intriguing details.

Traveling for a Thursday night game, for instance, is an extreme disadvantage for the visitor. The infamous “trap game” can occur when a team faces a lesser opponent before taking on a heavyweight. Lastly, for a team like the Dolphins, weather implications are always worth noting.

This column refers to the favors, or lack thereof, that the NFL gave the Dolphins based purely on travel, trap games, etcetera.

Week 1 – BALTIMORE RAVENS – September 8, 1:00 EST Hard Rock Stadium
Ravens Sandwich Game: Week 2 Cardinals

September victories are difficult to come by for teams visiting Hard Rock Stadium. The Dolphins haven’t lost such an affair since 2015 with a multitude of early-season upsets under the franchise’s belt this century (2014 vs. New England and 2005 vs. Denver, most notably).

Baltimore’s ground-and-pound attack could have a converse affect, however, as the Dolphins defensive conditioning will have to be on-point from the word go.

Week 2 – NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS – September 15, 1:00 EST Hard Rock Stadium
Patriots Sandwich Games: Week 1 vs. Pittsburgh, Week 3 vs. NY Jets

Dec 9, 2018; Miami Gardens, FL, USA; Miami Dolphins running back Kenyan Drake (32) runs the ball after a flea flicker play to score a touchdown to defeat the New England Patriots at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

New England’s 2018 meltdown in Miami came one week prior to a trip to Heinz Field. Now, the Pats will travel back to Tom Brady’s house of horrors in Miami one week after kicking the season off in primetime against those same Steelers.

This won’t serve as a trap game given the recent outcomes of games between these two teams, but Miami is catching the Pats at the right time. Over the last two seasons New England are just 4-4 in the first quarter of the schedule (September games), a .250-point decrease in winning percentage from their cumulative record.

Week 3 – @ Dallas Cowboys – September 22, 1:00 EST AT&T Stadium
Cowboys Sandwich Games: Week 2 @ Washington, Week 4 @ Saints

This is a classic trap game for the Cowboys. Coming off a game with its biggest rival, then heading to the toughest building to play in, in the NFC, the opportunity for Miami to steal a road win against a sleep-walking favorite is in the cards.

Week 4 – Los Angeles Chargers- September 29, 1:00 EST Hard Rock Stadium
Chargers Sandwich Games: Week 3 @Texans, Week 5 Broncos

The early time slot for a west coast team is one of the biggest advantages, statistically, in football. The Chargers historically struggle in Miami but the talent discrepancy is probably too great for any of these advantages to factor in.

Week 5 – BYE WEEK

After a week-11 bye last year, Miami gets the burden of an early off-week. The Dolphins will play out the string for 12 weeks with zero breaks in between.

Week 6 – Washington – October 13, 1:00 EST Hard Rock Stadium
Washington Sandwich Games: Week 5 @Patriots, Week 7 49ers

A let down following a potential beat down in New England bodes well for Miami. Washington is probably the one team on this entire schedule that Miami can matchup with from a talent perspective.

Week 7 – @ Buffalo Bills – October 20, 1:00 EST New Era Field
Bills Sandwich Games: Week 6 BYE, Week 8 Eagles

Miami’s first game against a team coming off a bye, in a building that has only provided the setting for one Miami win in the last five years, this one stacks the deck against the Dolphins.

Week 8 – @ Pittsburgh Steelers – October 28, 5:25 EST MONDAY Heinz Field
Steelers Sandwich Games: Week 7 BYE, Week 9 Colts

Another game, another opponent coming off of a bye. The Steelers will have the benefit of a 15-day break prior to lacing it up for Miami in primetime. The Dolphins road primetime woes should be noted as well – Miami are 0-for-it’s-last 8 in those games.

Week 9 – New York Jets – November 3, 1:00 EST Hard Rock Stadium
Jets Sandwich Games: Week 8 @Jaguars, Week 10 Giants

Dec 23, 2018; Miami Gardens, FL, USA; Miami Dolphins head coach Adam Gase looks on during the first half against the Jacksonville Jaguars at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

The Adam Gase game will certainly have both teams on notice. The man that holds a grudge like no other will certainly have this date circled on his calendar, as will the countless Dolphins players that grew tired of Gase’s shtick. This might be the most entertaining football game Miami plays all season.

Week 10 – @ Indianapolis Colts – November 10, 1:00 EST Lucas Oil Stadium
Colts Sandwich Games: Week 9 @Steelers, Week 11 Jaguars

With a potentially crucial divisional game on-deck with the Jaguars, the Colts could fall victim to overlooking Miami here. The Colts are a difficult out in that building and are quietly building up one of the most talented rosters in the AFC.

Week 11 – Buffalo Bills – November 17, 1:00 EST Hard Rock Stadium
Bills Sandwich Games: Week 10 @Browns, Week 12 Broncos

Divisional games rarely adhere to traditional trap procedures. Ideally the Dolphins would catch the Bills in September, but the week-7 trip to Western New York offsets the lack of weather advantages. This game should see peak effort from both teams.

Week 12 – @ Cleveland Browns – November 24, 1:00 EST First Energy Stadium
Browns Sandwich Games: Week 11 Steelers (TNF), Week 13 @Steelers

Somehow the NFL has this strange scheduling procedure where teams play each other twice over a three-week period. Cleveland sandwiches its two games with the Steelers with a home date against your Miami Dolphins – that’s the ultimate trap.Cleveland’s benefit comes from having 10 days to prepare for Brian Flores and Miami.

Week 13 – Philadelphia Eagles – December 1, 1:00 EST Hard Rock Stadium
Eagles Sandwich Games: Week 12 Seahawks, Week 14 Giants

With a pivotal NFC matchup on the front end, and a divisional game on the backend, Philadelphia is in a potential trap game situation. The Dolphins home field advantage serves as another beneficial factor in this game as the weather contract between Philadelphia and Miami, in December, is stark.

Week 14 – @ New York Jets – December 8, 1:00 EST Met Life Stadium
Jets Sandwich Games: Week 13 @Bengals, Week 15 @Ravens (TNF)

The game before a road trip on a short week typically favors the opposition – that’s the spot the Adam Gase finds himself in here when the Jets welcome Miami to the Meadowlands. With two NFC games bookending this game for the Dolphins, this is a great spot for Miami to steal a road win.

Week 15 – @ New York Giants – December 15, 1:00 EST Met Life Stadium
Giants Sandwich Games: Week 14 @Eagles, Week 16 @ Washington

This is a trap game for both teams, believe it or not. A non-conference game, sandwiched by two divisional games, has the makings for a let down on either side. If the season plays out as expected, this game could have massive implications on the race for Tua Tagovailoa.

Week 16 – Cincinnati Bengals – December 22, 1:00 EST Hard Rock Stadium
Bengals Sandwich Games: Week 15 @Patriots, Week 17 Browns

Like the previous game, this might set up as a draft positioning game. Both teams that figure to finish at, or near, the bottom of their respective divisions, playing out the string with rookie coaches, there isn’t much of an advantage to take away from this one.

Week 17 – @ New England Patriots – December 29, 1:00 EST Gillette Stadium
Patriots Sandwich Games: Week 16 Bills

For the second consecutive year, the Patriots finish the season with two divisional home games – seems fishy, doesn’t it? The only potential saving grace here, for the ‘Phins, is that New England could have the AFC East wrapped up, as they typically do every year.

 

This is, no doubt, a difficult road to hoe for Miami. The order of the games, the stacks of road trips, it’s a lot to put on the plate of a first year head coach trying to set a foundation.

The troops of the tank train should be satisfied with this gamete — it likely puts Miami in a hole that will be difficult to climb out of, especially given Ryan Fitzpatrick’s medical history.

For more on this schedule, tune in to the Locked On Dolphins podcast – your daily dose of Miami Dolphins football.

@WingfieldNFL

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