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Tank Tracker Vol. 4: Miami Dolphins coming off bye, Redskins a threat?

Shawn Digity



Miami Dolphins Tua Tagovailoa
Image courtesy of USA Today Sports

Tanking can be hard. It can be even harder to keep up with all the movers and shakers that go with it. Tank Tracker is here to keep you updated with all the newest headlines as it pertains to the Miami Dolphins tank as they walk through the valley of the shadow of death. Let’s keep things rolling with Volume 4; we’ll talk about a compensatory update, Washington possibly joining the tank race and the new draft order.

Draft Order Update

This week’s draft order update sees the Miami Dolphins take a hit, but it’s by no fault of the Fins, though. Since they were on a bye, it allowed the Bengals and Redskins to rush ahead with more losses. Both the Bengals and Redskins are sitting at 0-5, and they take the first and second slots, respectively.

The Miami Dolphins currently have the third spot, according to The New York Jets have the same overall record but have the fourth pick. There’s nothing particularly interesting in this case since the strength of the schedule cleared up the order.  I’ve mentioned the strengths of their schedules before, and it gave the Dolphins the edge in this case since they had the lower of the two, .650. The Jets have an SoS of .700.

Long Division

Let’s pretend that both teams have the same strength of schedule. Things get chaotic very fast since they’re division rivals. The next determinant after the strength of the schedule is conditional based on the teams being in the same division or conference.  When that’s the case, the order determination would have to go to the second tiebreaking protocol to determine the order, which is also the playoff qualifying tiebreaking methodology. It would be used inversely for the draft order, though.

Since the Jets and Dolphins are in the same division, the conditions are met for the actuation of the second (divisional) tiebreaker. Hold on, now things get confusing. The first subparameter for the second tiebreaker is head-to-head records between the two teams.

The Dolphins and Jets haven’t played, so they’re both 0-0, and now we have to go to the second subparameter. This will not always be the case, and sometimes one team will have swept the two-game series between their interdivisional rival. But teams with the same interdivisional record would then have to move on to the interconference records (third tiebreaker).

Luckily, that’s where things end. The Jets have a worse divisional record than the Dolphins. The Jets are 0-2 in the AFC East after losses to the Bills in Week 1 and the Patriots in Week 3. The Dolphins are only 0-1 in the AFC East with their Week 2 loss to the Patriots.

S0, if it came down to it and the Jets and Dolphins had the same SoS, the Jets would end up with the third pick, and the Dolphins would have the fourth.


The Washington redskins fired Jay Gruden on Monday after five seasons and a 0-5 start to the season. That, of course, brought up the topic of a Washington tank. It appears that with no wins, that the Redskins could pose a threat to the Dolphins plans.

Tua Bowl I is scheduled for this Sunday, October 13, at 1 p.m. EST. While the Redskins might not be trying to lose, they’re also not very good and could cause the Dolphins to “drop” from first-overall consideration in the draft order if they best the Fins.

If the Dolphins lose, though, then carry on your merry way. As long as the tank is in full swing, then keep yourself up to date with the LOD’s scouting reports on the most prominent quarterbacks and a mock free agency. Win or loss this week, the Dolphins are still taking a first-round quarterback and spending big in the FA market.

Comp and Circumstance

Are the Miami Dolphins in danger of losing their third-round compensatory projection for Ja’Wuan James? The short answer is yes. James left during the Broncos’ Week 1 game, and it doesn’t look like he’ll be back this week after being off the field since Week 2. Nick Korte of Over the Cap has projected the line of demarcation at six games missed for James. According to Korte’s formula, if James is out for six games in 2019, then the Dolphins third-round comp would become a fourth-rounder.

While no one has perfectly replicated the NFL’s official compensatory formula, Over the Cap has done an excellent job of re-creating it, and have often been right on their predictions. I am mentally preparing myself for the fourth and not a third since James will be missing another game this week against the Chargers.

On the Clock Mock 3

OK, we’re back with a new mock. I added a fourth-round this week, and I kept the Classic setting and used the Fanspeak big boards, which was just updated. Here’s the link if you want to make your own on Fanspeak’s free-to-use simulator, but there is also a premium model that adds new features and settings. It’s a fun way to play GM and draft the guys you want. Here’s who I took in the third rendition.

The Miami Dolphins have the first pick in this draft order, but I’m rolling with it. Tua Tagovailoa is my first pick again. That will be the case as long as he’s available to the Dolphins. The second first-rounder, the pick from the Steelers and eighth overall, is Tristan Wirfs. That was a no-brainer in my books; he’ll start Day 1. The third first-rounder, the Texans pick and 25th overall, ended up being Jeffrey Okudah.

As much as I want to believe that Okudah could be available at 25, I don’t think there’s any shot he drops that far. He’s, in my opinion, the best cornerback of the class.

Tyler Biadasz is another guy I want on the Miami Dolphins. He’s a plug-and-play guy, and I want to leave the 2020 Draft with at least two of those guys to instantly start on the offensive line. Shaq Quarterman was a BPA pick, but I’d like for the Dolphins to pick up a linebacker at some point, so why not?

Locked On Dolphins Podcast

On Tuesday’s Locked On Dolphins podcast, host Travis Wingfield has a special guest, Ian Wharton. Subscribe and give it a listen!



I am an Ohio University alum and I’ve been living in Pittsburgh for the last two years. I’ve been a Dolphins fan since I was a kid and I picked them because I liked the old-school logo. It grew from that as I got older and I luckily caught the tail end of Dan Marino’s career. It’s stuck ever since and now I’m an upstart, wild-and-free Dolphins beat writer, loving every second of it.

1 Comment

1 Comment

  1. Avatar

    Daniel Meehan

    October 8, 2019 at 10:25 pm

    Not a big fan of that mock draft.

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Miami Dolphins

Local Residents Sue Miami Dolphins over F1 Race Track

Jason Hrina



Image Credit:

This may be the last thing on the mind of Miami Dolphins fans everywhere, but there seems to be a prominent legal battle taking place in South Florida.

A new Formula 1 race track was recently approved (by a 6-6 vote) to be “built” around Hard Rock Stadium, with races beginning in 2021.

While city officials press to approve the new track, local residents are up in arms about the potential race. F1 cars are notoriously loud, and as we mentioned above, these races aren’t contained within an arena or stadium.

City officials believe this will bring in additional revenue for Miami and the surrounding area, as annual races are expected to be held around Hard Rock Stadium for the next 10 years. The local populous is arguing that these races are too loud for local streets, and will cause an enormous amount of disturbance and will be detrimental to the environment. Overall, this will cause a “serious degrade to their quality of life.”

Just so you can have a reference, F1 engines tend to run between 130-145 decibels. If you go to a concert and stand relatively close to an amplifier, you’re only dealing with about 100-110 decibels. The average lawn mower is about 90 decibels. Needless to say, these engines are LOUD.

Unlike NASCAR, Formula 1 (F1) race tracks are essentially “created” using local roadways that are already in place. Though there is obviously a lot of preparation that goes into “creating” the course (to ensure the safety of racers and fans alike), no new venues need to be built.

With that said, the City of Miami Gardens and Miami Dolphins owner Stephen Ross are attempting to host the race solely on Hard Rock Stadium grounds. Given Ross’ ownership in the land surrounding Hard Rock Stadium, it’s possible this race doesn’t officially occur on any public roads.

To give some background, Stephen Ross attempted to buy F1 a couple of years ago, but the sale ended up going to another group. Though he didn’t win the bid, he reached an agreement with the new owners and is now one step closer to making the Miami Grand Prix a reality.

Tom Garfinkel, President and CEO of the Miami Dolphins, issued the following statement on behalf of the approved 6-6 decision:

This recent vote was the biggest hurdle potentially preventing the Miami Grand Prix from happening. Though the legal battles aren’t over, it seems unlikely that the decision to host F1 races will be reversed.

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Miami Dolphins

Miami Dolphins Sign Tight End Michael Roberts

Jason Hrina



Image Credit: Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

The Miami Dolphins are beginning to bulk up the depth of their roster as they head into free agency.

According to Mike Garafolo of the NFL Network, the Dolphins have signed tight end Michael Roberts. The exact terms of the contract are currently unknown.

Originally a 4th-round pick by the Detroit Lions, Roberts has served mostly as a backup tight end; accumulating 146 yards on 13 receptions in 23 active games between 2017-2018.

Roberts was placed on injured-reserve towards the end of the 2018 season with a shoulder injury, and was traded to the New England Patriots for a conditional 2020 7th-round pick prior to the 2019 season. Due to medical reasons, the trade was voided a couple of days later.

The Green Bay Packers claimed Roberts off of waivers, but he was subsequently released by the Packers two days later for failing a physical. Roberts was not active for any games in 2019.

Signing Roberts doesn’t necessarily mean the Dolphins aren’t going to pursue tight ends in free agency or in the draft. Mike Gesicki is the only “lock” to make the 2020 roster, as Durham Smythe‘s blocking ability might not survive if the Dolphins find themselves in an advantageous situation at the position.

Look at this as a way for Miami to get ahead of evaluations.

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Miami Dolphins

A second Dolphins mock draft from someone who doesn’t watch football

Shawn Digity



J.K. Dobbins 2020 NFL Draft
Image courtesy of USA Today Sports

(Locked On Dolphins) – Last week, Person A dazzled us with their blind mock draft, and now we’re back with the next entry in the series.

Person B is ready to go with their mock.

Keep in mind that all the blind mock draft contributors have little to no knowledge of the NFL.

I had all the contributors standardize their boards and the process so that everyone was on an even playing field.

They all used The Draft Network’s mock draft simulator with seven rounds, the predictive board, and had to choose the players manually.

Without further ado, here’s Person B’s mock draft.

(1) 5. Tua Tagovailoa – QB, Alabama
(1) 18. J.K. Dobbins – RB, Ohio State
(1) 26. Terrell Lewis – Edge, Alabama
(2) 39. Lloyd Cushenberry III – iOL, LSU
(2) 56. Xavier McKinney – S, Alabama
(3) 70. Rashard Lawrence – iDL, LSU
(5) 135. Chase Claypool – WR, Notre Dame
(5) 144. Justin Herron – OT, Wake Forest
(5) 147. Terrell Burgess – S, Utah
(6) 165. Lamar Jackson – CB, Nebraska
(6) 177. Jacob Breeland – TE, Oregon
(7) 223. David Reese II – LB, Florida

As I did with Person A, I reached out to Person B to get their reasoning behind the selections.

Me: “I noticed that you took Tua [Tagovailoa]. What led you to that decision with the fifth pick?”

Person B: “I knew the Dolphins wanted to get a QB, and Tua has been talked about so much that I just went with him.”

Me: “Which of your other selections did you feel particularly good about?”

Person B: “I need you to send me the link to my draft. I forgot who I picked since it took five attempts.”

[resends mock draft to Person B]

“I like my J.K. Dobbins pick. O-H-. And Rashard Lawrence. Because I figure he’s pretty good since LSU was really good this year.”

Me: “Your picks are really good. I’d put yours ahead of Person A. But it’s almost suspiciously good. Did you put your thumb on the scale somewhere along the line?”

Person B: “Well, by my 5th attempt (1 and 2: I didn’t select manual mode, 3: I didn’t pick 7 rounds from the drop-down menu, 4: I completed, but the site froze, and I lost everything), I figured out that I should probably pick from the top of the list first because if you don’t then those players just go like hotcakes.

So, I just matched up the positions the Dolphins needed to fill with the players highest on the list, and if I recognized a name or team, I would select them over someone I had never heard of.”

Me: “OK, well, we’re all out of time. Do you have any parting messages for Dolphins fans?”

Person B: “Well, I think the Dolphins are on the right track, and I hope that all of the true blue fans who have hung in with them for all these years will get to see another Super Bowl in the near future. GO FINS!”

And that wraps things up with Person B.

What are your thoughts on Person B’s mock draft? Leave a comment or tweet your thoughts at me directly on Twitter (@DIGITYnodoubt).

Tune in next time for Person C’s mock…

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