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Miami Dolphins

Week 8: Power Rankings Round Up and Staff Predictions

Gabe Hauari

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The Dolphins defense got gashed in last week’s 32-21 loss to the Detroit Lions, and adding injury to insult, Miami lost their two most productive receivers in Kenny Stills and Albert Wilson. While Stills looks like he’ll only miss a couple of games, Wilson has been placed on injured reserve and is done for the season. Let’s see what Miami’s loss to Detroit did to their national perception:

ESPN:

Last week: 15

This week: 18

NFL.com:

Last week: 19

This week: 21

Bleacher Report:

Last week: 17

This week: 23

CBS Sports:

Last week: 11

This week: 15

Sports Illustrated:

Last week: 14

This week: 21

Again, nothing too drastic happened with the rankings. The biggest drop came from Sports Illustrated, where Miami dropped seven slots from 14 to 21. CBS Sports continues to be the highest outlet on the Dolphins, ranking them at 15.

The Dolphins now face one of the toughest things to do in football: a road game on a short week. Miami travels to Houston to face the red hot Texans in a battle of two teams trying to maintain a winning record. The winner goes to 5-3 and can position themselves well for the home stretch, while the loser falls to 4-4.

What will happen on the Thursday Night Football showdown between these two teams? Here’s what our staff thinks:

Andrew Mitchell:

Dolphins have the injury bug in a bad way and to make matters worse they are on a short week. Brock Osweiler will face his former team and be looking to prove they gave up on him too soon.

With Houston at home and the Dolphins on a short week, I don’t see this going well for Miami.

The offense’s success has a low ceiling so for now the difference between us winning and losing is our defense. 

Matt Burke and Co. really need to right the ship and get things back on track. Houston has a blueprint on how to beat us with a strong run game so look for that to happen. 

Unfortunately the defense will buckle again in my opinion. I can’t see us doing too great on offense to where the defense can benefit. 

Prediction: Texans 27, Dolphins 17

Will Rogers:

The Dolphins are hurting right now and what makes this week worse is they are getting little rest from Sunday’s game to Thursday’s game. 

A noticeable concern this week is their wide receiving corp. Albert Wilson was just placed on IR and Kenny Stills is hurt and will not be playing. In place of these two will be Devante Parker, who should finally be active. 

One player the Dolphins need to look out for is Deshaun Watson. I could easily see him scrambling around and tiring out the Dolphins defense. 

In order to win this game the Dolphins need to get the pressure going against Watson. Last week that pressure was nonexistent so hopefully it will change this week. 

Prediction: Texans 24, Dolphins 21

Jordan Alberti:

It is time for the tragic Thursday Night Football Dolphins to return to action. Their most recent performance on TNF was a 40-0 loss to the Ravens last year that included the decapitation of Joe Flacco.

With the injuries piling up at a rapid pace for the Dolphins, I expect a loss to move the Dolphins to 4-4 on the year. Osweiler will be returning to the team who gave him the massive 4 year, $72 million deal after his Super Bowl run with the Broncos. The injuries will be too much for Miami to overcome on a short week and they will fall in easy fashion to the Texans.

Deshaun Watson should have an easy game as Matt Burke likely won’t come out with a good game plan, because when does he? And the Dolphins will fail to get to an injured Watson, allowing him to throw the ball and run at his leisure, creating problems all night. Easy win for the Texans.

Prediction: Texans 24, Dolphins 7

Skyler Trunck:

In grade school, we were taught every story has a climax, and a story isn’t complete without one. If this season were to have a climax, this game would be it.

This game is a huge test on all levels on the national stage. Unlike recent weeks where an opposing team strength matched up well against a Miami weakness, this week sees a rare week where this isn’t the case.

Can head coach Adam Gase prepare an injury-riddled team on a short week in prime time and deliver a riveting performance? Can Miami’s star players beat Houston’s stars play-in play-out? Can Miami show the national media the 3-0 start wasn’t a fluke?

The stage has never been brighter for this Miami team. A win against a team with a 4 game winning streak will only positively affect the narrative and course for this team.

It doesn’t have to be pretty. It just needs to happen, or it may be time to begin talking plans for the off-season.

Prediction: Miami 21, Houston 20

Jason Hrina:

The Texans come into this game as a heavy favorite, and probably for all the right reasons. After starting 0-3 they’re on an impressive 4-game winning streak; defeating the Jaguars, Cowboys and Colts (and Bills…) along the way.

Miami is banged up on both sides of the ball. The team is relying on a less-than-100% Cameron Wake to provide some (any) kind of pass rush for this defensive line. They’re also relying on fan-favorite DeVante Parker to step up for the injured Albert Wilson and Kenny Stills.

If Miami is lucky, they might be able to snatch this game from the Texans. Their secondary will be able to handle Houston’s passing game, the question becomes whether or not Miami’s linebackers bounce back after a poor game against the Lions.

Not much is pointing in the right direction for Miami, and come Friday morning, the 3-0 start will be a distant memory.

Prediction: Texans 30, Dolphins 17

Gabe Hauari:

The guys touched on pretty much everything so I’ll keep this fairly short. The Dolphins have injuries all over the place, the defense looked terrible against the Lions last week, and Miami has a horrible track record recently during primetime games.

The Texans are one of the hottest teams in the NFL and they have the benefit of playing at home on a short week. Deshaun Watson has been battling a chest injury, but he’s been healthy enough to play.

The only scenario I can see Miami winning this game is if the defense plays lights out and Brock Osweiler can manage the offense, allowing Kenyan Drake and Jakeem Grant to make explosive plays and not turn the ball over.

There is just too much stacked against the Dolphins right now for me to comfortably pick a Miami victory.

Prediction: Texans 24, Dolphins 17

Travis Wingfield: 

Check out Travis’ preview piece here: https://www.lockedondolphins.com/dolphins/dolphins-at-texans-week-eight-preview/

A lifelong Dolphins fan, Gabe graduated from Virginia Commonwealth University in December of 2017 with a bachelors of science in mass communications, with a concentration on print & online journalism. He has interned with Source Media in New York City and with the Courier Journal in Louisville, Kentucky. When not watching sports, you can catch Gabe in line at Chipotle or Chick-Fil-A or binge-watching some of his favorite TV shows, such as It's Always Sunny in Philadelphia, Archer, or Impractical Jokers. You can follow him on Twitter @GabeHauari.

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Miami Dolphins

Josh Rosen 2018 Passing Chart – Week 17 at Seattle

Travis Wingfield

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Football, more so than any other sport, requires context to tell the full story. Box scores provide the casual fan with a general idea of the cumulative result of any given game, but without isolating each player’s performance, many details go unnoticed.

This project is entirely based around isolating the play of Josh Rosen. Traditional data points will tell you that his rookie season was one of the worst in the history of the league. Watching each drop back multiple times over, breaking down the most impactful plays, and charting the data that tells the true story, this is the 2018 Josh Rosen charting project.

Jump To:

Week 4 vs. Seattle
Week 5 at San Francisco
Week 6 at Minnesota
Week 7 vs. Denver
Week 8 vs. San Francisco
Week 10 at Kansas City
Week 11 vs. Oakland
Week 12 at LA Chargers
Week 13 at Green Bay
Week 14 vs. Detroit
Week 15 at Atlanta
Week 16 vs. LA Rams
Week 17 at Seattle

Week 17 at Seattle –

By the time this season finale came to an end the entire Cardinals operation had to breathe a sigh of relief. A disaster season, that came to a crashing conclusion, was finally in the rearview. For Josh Rosen, the last month of the season was a recurring nightmare. Rosen threw 146 passes in December and the only one that crossed pay dirt was a busted coverage in this Seattle game.

Some of Rosen’s strong suits didn’t travel to the Pacific Northwest. Throwing into contested windows, play-action passing, and third down conversions each brought back less than satisfactory returns.

The Cardinal passing offense converted 3-of-14 3rd downs. Rosen was 2-of-14 for 23 yards on contested throws and 5-of-10 for 56 yards on play pass.

Rosen was chucking-and-praying once again. The average air yards per throw tallied 10.8 yards, while the Arizona receivers only amassed 51 yards after the catch (34.2% of Rosen’s passing total).

The short passing game was far more fruitful than the vertical attacks.

 

Portion of the Field Accurate Pass/Number of Passes
20+ yards 0/3 (0%)
11-19 yards 0/3 (0%)
0-10 yards (or behind LOS) 11/16 (68.8%)

 

The game was littered with mistakes from the Cardinals QB. Rosen registered 14 mistakes (11 from accuracy, 2 ball security issues, and 1 poor read). Rosen lost two fumbles and had two would-be interceptions dropped by the Seattle defense.

The personnel deployment featured more versatility than recent weeks. Rosen’s passes were supplemented by the following personnel packages.

 

11-personnel 31 snaps
12-personnel 3 snaps
21-personnel 4 snaps

 

As has been the case all season, Rosen was under frequent pressure. Seattle arrived for 11 pressures (6 sacks, 3 hits, 2 hurries) at an average time from snap-to-pressure of 2.19 seconds.

The busted coverage touchdown was Rosen’s one red-zone completion (1-of-3). He was in the gun for 25 snaps and under-center for 13.

Another week, another low conversion rate. The Cardinal passing game converted 8-of-38 plays into first downs (21.1%)

It’s difficult to imagine a more trying rookie season than the one Rosen experienced. The offensive line play was poor, the only consistent pass catcher was Larry Fitzgerald, and Rosen had his own share of rookie mistakes to compound things.

This game goes into the losing performance category marking eight consecutive games that Rosen failed to reach the winning performance category.

 

2018 Performance Results Number of Games
Winning Performance 2 (SEA, SF)
Inconsequential Performance 3 (@MIN, @LAC, @ATL)
Losing Performance 7 (@SF, DEN, @KC, OAK, @GB, DET, LAR, @SEA)

Winning Performance – The QB played well enough to garner a victory. He limited mistakes and made plays in crucial situations.
Inconsequential Performance – More of a game-managing role, the QB didn’t have the big plays, but mistakes were limited.
Losing Performance – The QB limited his team’s ability to win the game with his performance.

@WingfieldNFL

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Miami Dolphins

Josh Rosen 2018 Passing Chart – Week 16 vs. LA Rams

Travis Wingfield

Published

on

Football, more so than any other sport, requires context to tell the full story. Box scores provide the casual fan with a general idea of the cumulative result of any given game, but without isolating each player’s performance, many details go unnoticed.

This project is entirely based around isolating the play of Josh Rosen. Traditional data points will tell you that his rookie season was one of the worst in the history of the league. Watching each drop back multiple times over, breaking down the most impactful plays, and charting the data that tells the true story, this is the 2018 Josh Rosen charting project.

Jump To:

Week 4 vs. Seattle
Week 5 at San Francisco
Week 6 at Minnesota
Week 7 vs. Denver
Week 8 vs. San Francisco
Week 10 at Kansas City
Week 11 vs. Oakland
Week 12 at LA Chargers
Week 13 at Green Bay
Week 14 vs. Detroit
Week 15 at Atlanta
Week 16 vs. LA Rams
Week 17 at Seattle

 

Week 16 vs. LA Rams –

For the second consecutive game Josh Rosen didn’t finish under-center for the Cardinals. In a blowout loss, where it seemed like the entire game plan revolved around making life easy on Josh Rosen, Arizona still managed to get ran out of the building. Mike Glennon completed the final series for the Red Birds offense.

Rosen threw the ball only 23 times, but scrambled more than he has all season. The game plan also featured the least amount of variety, from a personnel grouping standpoint, all season.

 

11-personnel 30 snaps
12-personnel 1 snap

 

Rosen’s typical third down heroics didn’t show up. The Cardinals converted only 2-of-10 third downs in the passing game (one a QB scramble). Converting, as it has been all season, was a challenge in general — Arizona converted just 6-of-31 drop backs (19.4%).

Rosen was in the shotgun almost exclusively (3 under-center, 28 in the gun). This led to a limited play-action passing game (only one throw from play pass).

The four mistakes attributed to Rosen were largely deep shots. He missed on short pass, but two of the three inaccuracies came on balls down the field. One of those deep shots was an ill-advised throw into coverage despite a wide open Larry Fitzgerald coming across the formation (seen in the video thread).

Rosen’s depth splits were as follows:

 

Portion of the Field Accurate Pass/Number of Passes
20+ yards 0/3 (0%)
11-19 yards 0/3 (0%)
0-10 yards (or behind LOS) 11/16 (68.8%)

 

More than half of Rosen’s 87 passing yards came from YAC (54%). The average depth of Rosen’s passes was 9.22 air yards per throw.

Throwing into tight window was a futile effort. Rosen completed 1-of-7 contested throws for 7 yards. Pressure was a regular fixture, yet again, as Rosen was under duress on 11 drop backs (4 sacks, 5 hits, 2 hurries). The average time from snap-to-pressure was 2.30 seconds.

The war of attrition seems to have finally broken the Cardinals spirit. The team’s execution was lacking all year, but this game was something of a “white flag” effort from the coaching staff. Rosen gets tabbed with a losing performance for a lack of big-time plays, a few mistakes, and an awful holistic result.

 

2018 Performance Results Number of Games
Winning Performance 2 (SEA, SF)
Inconsequential Performance 3 (@MIN, @LAC, @ATL)
Losing Performance 6 (@SF, DEN, @KC, OAK, @GB, DET, LAR)

Winning Performance – The QB played well enough to garner a victory. He limited mistakes and made plays in crucial situations.
Inconsequential Performance – More of a game-managing role, the QB didn’t have the big plays, but mistakes were limited.
Losing Performance – The QB limited his team’s ability to win the game with his performance.

@WingfieldNFL

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Miami Dolphins

Josh Rosen 2018 Passing Chart – Week 15 at Atlanta

Travis Wingfield

Published

on

Football, more so than any other sport, requires context to tell the full story. Box scores provide the casual fan with a general idea of the cumulative result of any given game, but without isolating each player’s performance, many details go unnoticed.

This project is entirely based around isolating the play of Josh Rosen. Traditional data points will tell you that his rookie season was one of the worst in the history of the league. Watching each drop back multiple times over, breaking down the most impactful plays, and charting the data that tells the true story, this is the 2018 Josh Rosen charting project.

Jump To:

Week 4 vs. Seattle
Week 5 at San Francisco
Week 6 at Minnesota
Week 7 vs. Denver
Week 8 vs. San Francisco
Week 10 at Kansas City
Week 11 vs. Oakland
Week 12 at LA Chargers
Week 13 at Green Bay
Week 14 vs. Detroit
Week 15 at Atlanta
Week 16 vs. LA Rams
Week 17 at Seattle

 

Week 15 at Atlanta –

We’ve reached the point in the season where the Cardinals coaching staff had to make a switch to prevent further damaging their 21-year-old quarterback. Josh Rosen, under duress all game, with very little help from the route concepts and plan to attack the Atlanta defense, was pulled for Mike Glennon in the fourth quarter.

The Falcons pass rush would’ve crippled the most grizzled veteran in the NFL; it completely debilitated Rosen. The Cardinal QB was under pressure 15-of-27 drop backs (6 sacks, 6 hits, 3 hurries) with an average snap-to-pressure time of 2.17 seconds.

Atlanta’s unrelenting pressure led to a season-low in average air yards per attempt (4.6 AYPT). The Arizona receivers picked up 82 yards after the catch counting for 62.1% of Rosen’s passing total.

Once again, a lopsided scoreboard forced Arizona into very little variety from a personnel grouping standpoint. Rosen was 4-of-5 with 37 yards on non-11-personnel calls. The issue there — Arizona was always in 11-personnell.

 

11-personnel 22 snaps
12-personnel 4 snaps
21-personnel 1 snap

 

Rosen only committed two mistakes in the game (one accuracy, one a poor decision). The biggest mistake was an example of nervous antics in the pocket and a decision Rosen would prefer to have back (available in the Twitter thread).

Rosen was under-center just 5 times (gun 22), and only threw from play action three times; Rosen was 2-of-3 with 13 yards on play pass.

The Arizona offense converted only 18.5% (5-of-27) passing plays into first downs. Throwing into contested windows was a 50-50 proposition — Rosen threw for 68 yards on 4-of-8 passing into tight windows.

Rosen’s depth splits were as follows:

 

Portion of the Field Accurate Pass/Number of Passes
20+ yards 1/1 (100%)
11-19 yards 2/3 (66.7%)
0-10 yards (or behind LOS) 12/15 (80%)

 

It was a miserable day for the Cardinals all the way around. Rosen never stood much of a chance to make a big time paly, or to make a game-changing mistake — but the one time he did make a crucial mistake, the game was already out of reach. This showing goes in the inconsequential column.

 

2018 Performance Results Number of Games
Winning Performance 2 (SEA, SF)
Inconsequential Performance 3 (@MIN, @LAC, @ATL)
Losing Performance 5 (@SF, DEN, @KC, OAK, @GB, DET)

Winning Performance – The QB played well enough to garner a victory. He limited mistakes and made plays in crucial situations.
Inconsequential Performance – More of a game-managing role, the QB didn’t have the big plays, but mistakes were limited.
Losing Performance – The QB limited his team’s ability to win the game with his performance.

@WingfieldNFL

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